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Game Notes: Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans (Oct 6, 2024)

It’s a big AFC showdown Sunday at 1pm with the Buffalo Bills squaring off against the Houston Texans in a battle of 3-1 teams. Their most recent collision saw the Bills besting the Texans 40-0 on Sunday, October 3, 2021. In their recent head-to-head meetings, the last 10 are tied 5-5.

The Bills are 8-2 over their last 10 games. And the Texans have authored a 7-3 win-loss over their last 10.

The Bills have won 8 of their last 9 games, they have also won 4 of their last 5 games on the road.

The Texans have won 5 of their last 6 games, and they have also won their last 3 games at home.

In the odds, the home-standing Texans are 1.0 point favorites. The over/under is currently set at 47.5.

The Bills are led by Josh Allen who has thrown for 814 yards, 7 td passes with 0 picks this year. James Cook has rumbled for 227 yards with 3 TDs. Khalil Shakir has 18 catches for 230 yards and 2 TDs.

The Texans are guided by C.J. Stroud who has thrown for 1,054 yards, 6 td passes with 2 picks this year. Nico Collins has 30 catches for 489 yards and 2 TDs.

The Bills sit on top of the AFC East. The Texans are the team to beat in the AFC South.

The Bills are among the best in total team offense in the league.

The Bills enter the game off a loss against the Baltimore Ravens 35-10, and the Texans enter the contest following a good performance in a win over the Jacksonville Jaguars 24-20.

Next week the Bills travel to the the New York Jets, and the Texans visit the New England Patriots.

Game Details

• Matchup: Buffalo Bills (BUF) at Houston Texans (HOU)
• Date: October 6, 2024
• Time: 1:00PM ET
• Stadium: NRG Stadium
• TV: CBS
• NRG Stadium Kick-Off Weather Forecast: Clouds; 86F; 54% humidity; wind: NE 10 mph

Team Stats Comparison

2024 LAST 10
BUF HOU BUF HOU
Record 3-1 3-1 8-2 7-3
Home Record 2-0 2-0 4-0 4-1
Away Record 1-1 1-1 4-2 3-2
Points Scored/Game 30.5 19.8 27.9 19.7
Points Allowed/Game 20.8 23.5 20.4 21.5
Point Differential +39 -15 +75 -18
Yards/Game 305.8 364.5 349.5 315.4
Yards Allowed/Game 321.8 273.8 304.8 289.3
Passing Yards/Game 195.5 257.8 213.7 216.6
Passing Yards Allowed/Game 165.3 161.0 175.7 184.5
Rushing Yards/Game 110.3 106.8 135.8 98.8
Rushing Yards Allowed/Game 156.5 112.8 129.1 104.8
First Downs/Game 18.3 21.0 21.2 18.5
First Downs Allowed/Game 19.8 16.3 18.8 17.3
3rd Down Conv % 35.7 40.0 46.9 32.1
Opp 3rd Down Conv % 42.0 40.4 40.0 30.3
Turnover Margin +5 -1 +7 +5
Total Games 4 4 10 10

 

Buffalo Bills 2024 Leaders

PASSING C-A YDS TD INT SK
Josh Allen 70-101 814 7 0 5
RUSHING ATT YDS TD LNG
James Cook 50 227 3 49
RECEIVING REC YDS TD LNG
Khalil Shakir 18 230 2 52

Houston Texans 2024 Leaders

PASSING C-A YDS TD INT SK
C.J. Stroud 94-139 1,054 6 2 13
RUSHING ATT YDS TD LNG
Joe Mixon 39 184 1 16
RECEIVING REC YDS TD LNG
Nico Collins 30 489 2 55

Last 10 Meetings

DATE TIME RESULT
Sun 03-Oct-21 1:00PM BUFFALO BILLS d. Houston Texans 40-0
Sun 14-Oct-18 1:00PM HOUSTON TEXANS d. Buffalo Bills 20-13
Sun 06-Dec-15 1:02PM BUFFALO BILLS d. Houston Texans 30-21
Sun 28-Sep-14 1:02PM HOUSTON TEXANS d. Buffalo Bills 23-17
Sun 04-Nov-12 1:02PM HOUSTON TEXANS d. Buffalo Bills 21-9
Sun 01-Nov-09 1:02PM Houston Texans d. BUFFALO BILLS 31-10
Sun 19-Nov-06 1:03PM Buffalo Bills d. HOUSTON TEXANS 24-21
Sun 11-Sep-05 1:05PM BUFFALO BILLS d. Houston Texans 22-7
Sun 16-Nov-03 1:01PM Houston Texans d. BUFFALO BILLS 12-10
Sun 13-Oct-02 1:02PM Buffalo Bills d. HOUSTON TEXANS 31-24

Head-to-Head Stats (last 10)

BUF HOU
Last 10 Record 5-5 5-5
Home Record 3-2 3-2
Away Record 2-3 2-3

QB Career Comparison

CMP-ATT PCT YDs TDs INTs SKs PS REC (GMs)
Josh Allen 2059-3246 63.4% 23,517 174 78 180 5-5 (10)
C.J. Stroud 413-638 64.7% 5,162 29 7 51 1-1 (2)

Starting QB Win-Loss Trends

• Josh Allen W-L last 20 games as a starter: 14-6
• Josh Allen last 20 games vs. Houston Texans: 1-1

• C.J. Stroud W-L last 20 games as a starter: 12-7
• C.J. Stroud last 20 games vs. Buffalo Bills: 0-0

Player Trends

• Josh Allen has 4 straight games with zero passing interceptions
• Khalil Shakir has 3 straight games with at least 50+ receiving yards

• C.J. Stroud has 6 straight games with at least one passing TD
• C.J. Stroud has 6 straight games with 200+ passing yards & at least one passing TD
• Nico Collins has 6 straight games with at least 50+ receiving yards

Game Injuries

Buffalo Bills: Khalil Shakir (WR) Ankle – Out; Ed Oliver (DT) Hamstring – Out; Terrel Bernard (LB) Pectoral – Questionable; Taron Johnson (CB) Forearm – Questionable; Taylor Rapp (S) Concussion – Out; Austin Johnson (DT) Oblique – Out

Houston Texans: Joe Mixon (RB) Ankle – Out; Tytus Howard (OT) Hamstring – Questionable; Azeez Al-Shaair (LB) Illness – Questionable; Jake Hansen (LB) Back – Questionable; Dameon Pierce (RB) Hamstring – Questionable; Derek Barnett (DE) Shoulder – Out; Dylan Horton (DE) Illness – Questionable; Robert Woods (WR) Foot – Questionable

Betting Odds

• Favorite: Houston Texans
• Spread: 1.0
• Over/Under: 47.5

Betting Trends

Buffalo Bills Houston Texans
Last 5 ATS 2-3-0 0-5-0
Last 10 ATS 5-5-0 4-6-0
Last 10 ATS at Home 4-6-0
Last 10 ATS on Road 4-5-1
Last 10 ATS as a Favorite 3-7-0
Last 10 ATS as a Home Favorite 3-7-0
Last 10 ATS as an Underdog 5-4-1
Last 10 ATS as a Road Underdog 5-4-1
Last 10 Over-Under 6-4-0 4-6-0

Latest Super Bowl Odds

• Buffalo Bills: +1000
• Houston Texans: +1200

Bills vs. Texans Game Prediction

• Oddsmakers: Houston Texans d. Buffalo Bills 25-23
• GFA Model: Buffalo Bills d. Houston Texans 24-23