Saturday, the 8-7 Miami Dolphins square off against the 7-8 New England Patriots with kickoff scheduled for 1:00PM ET in . The two teams most recently dueled on Sunday, September 11, 2022 as the Dolphins bested the Patriots 20-7. In this series of late, the Dolphins hold the lead 7-3 in their most recent head-to-heads.
The Dolphins have lost their last 4 games, they have also lost their last 3 games on the road.
The Patriots have lost their last 2 games, and they have also lost their last 2 games at home.
In the betting odds, the Patriots are favored by 2.5 points. The over/under sits at 41.0.
The Dolphins are anchored by backup Teddy Bridgewater who has thrown for 522 yards, 3 td passes with 3 interceptions this year. Tyreek Hill has 113 receptions for 1,632 yards and 7 TDs.
The Patriots are anchored by Mac Jones who has thrown for 2,550 yards, 9 td passes with 8 interceptions this year. Rhamondre Stevenson has run for 944 yards with 5 TDs.
The Dolphins are in 2nd in the AFC East while the Patriots are in 3rd in the AFC East.
Mac Jones is 0-3 against the Dolphins as a starter.
The Patriots are among the best in total team defense at present in the NFL. The Dolphins are ranked among the worst in total team defense.
The Dolphins enter off a defeat to the Green Bay Packers 26-20, and the Patriots come into the game off a defeat at the hands of the Cincinnati Bengals 22-18.
Next week the Dolphins welcome the the New York Jets while the Patriots visit the Buffalo Bills.
Game Details
• Matchup: Miami Dolphins (MIA) at New England Patriots (NE)
• Date: January 1, 2023
• Time: 1:00PM ET
• Stadium: Gillette Stadium
• TV: CBS
• Gillette Stadium Kick-Off Weather Forecast: Clouds; 49F; 72% humidity; wind: WNW 11 mph
TEAM STATS COMPARISON
| 2022 | LAST 10 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | NE | MIA | NE | ||
| Record | 8-7 | 7-8 | 5-5 | 5-5 | |
| Home Record | 5-2 | 3-4 | 3-2 | 2-3 | |
| Away Record | 3-5 | 4-4 | 2-3 | 3-2 | |
| Points Scored/Game | 24.3 | 21.2 | 25.0 | 21.5 | |
| Points Allowed/Game | 24.7 | 19.4 | 23.9 | 19.3 | |
| Point Differential | -5 | +27 | +11 | +22 | |
| Yards/Game | 370.8 | 317.2 | 382.3 | 302.9 | |
| Yards Allowed/Game | 353.8 | 320.9 | 337.3 | 311.5 | |
| Passing Yards/Game | 274.9 | 208.6 | 279.9 | 209.0 | |
| Passing Yards Allowed/Game | 244.7 | 213.1 | 228.6 | 214.2 | |
| Rushing Yards/Game | 95.9 | 108.6 | 102.4 | 93.9 | |
| Rushing Yards Allowed/Game | 109.1 | 107.8 | 108.7 | 97.3 | |
| First Downs/Game | 20.3 | 16.9 | 20.5 | 15.8 | |
| First Downs Allowed/Game | 20.7 | 18.3 | 20.3 | 18.1 | |
| 3rd Down Conv % | 37.3 | 34.9 | 35.7 | 33.6 | |
| Opp 3rd Down Conv % | 41.7 | 40.0 | 38.3 | 38.3 | |
| Turnover Margin | -5 | +5 | -3 | +7 | |
| Total Games | 15 | 15 | 10 | 10 | |
Miami Dolphins 2022 Leaders
| PASSING | C-A | YDS | TD | INT | SK | |
| Teddy Bridgewater | 37-60 | 522 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| RUSHING | ATT | YDS | TD | LNG | Raheem Mostert | 161 | 791 | 3 | 67 |
| RECEIVING | REC | YDS | TD | LNG | Tyreek Hill | 113 | 1,632 | 7 | 64 |
New England Patriots 2022 Leaders
| PASSING | C-A | YDS | TD | INT | SK | |
| Mac Jones | 242-369 | 2,550 | 9 | 8 | 30 |
| RUSHING | ATT | YDS | TD | LNG | Rhamondre Stevenson | 196 | 944 | 5 | 49 |
| RECEIVING | REC | YDS | TD | LNG | Jakobi Meyers | 58 | 723 | 4 | 48 |
Last 10 Meetings
| DATE | TIME | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 11-Sep-22 | 1:00PM | MIAMI DOLPHINS d. New England Patriots | 20-7 |
| Sun 09-Jan-22 | 1:00PM | MIAMI DOLPHINS d. New England Patriots | 33-24 |
| Sun 12-Sep-21 | 4:25PM | Miami Dolphins d. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS | 17-16 |
| Sun 20-Dec-20 | 1:00PM | MIAMI DOLPHINS d. New England Patriots | 22-12 |
| Sun 13-Sep-20 | 1:00PM | NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS d. Miami Dolphins | 21-11 |
| Sun 29-Dec-19 | 1:00PM | Miami Dolphins d. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS | 27-24 |
| Sun 15-Sep-19 | 1:00PM | New England Patriots d. MIAMI DOLPHINS | 43-0 |
| Sun 09-Dec-18 | 1:00PM | MIAMI DOLPHINS d. New England Patriots | 34-33 |
| Sun 30-Sep-18 | 1:00PM | NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS d. Miami Dolphins | 38-7 |
| Mon 11-Dec-17 | 8:30PM | MIAMI DOLPHINS d. New England Patriots | 27-20 |
Head-to-Head Stats (last 10)
| MIA | NE | |
|---|---|---|
| Last 10 Record | 7-3 | 3-7 |
| Home Record | 5-1 | 2-2 |
| Away Record | 2-2 | 1-5 |
QB Career Comparison
| CMP-ATT | PCT | YDs | TDs | INTs | SKs | PS REC (GMs) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tua Tagovailoa | 708-1078 | 65.7% | 8,015 | 52 | 23 | 61 | 0-0 (0) |
| Mac Jones | 594-890 | 66.7% | 6,351 | 31 | 21 | 58 | 0-1 (1) |
Starting QB Win-Loss Trends
• Tua Tagovailoa W-L last 20 games as a starter: 14-6
• Tua Tagovailoa last 20 games vs. New England Patriots: 4-0
• Mac Jones W-L last 20 games as a starter: 10-10
• Mac Jones last 20 games vs. Miami Dolphins: 0-3
Player Trends
• Tua Tagovailoa has 9 straight games with at least one passing TD
• Tyreek Hill has 5 straight games with at least 50+ receiving yards
Game Injuries
Miami Dolphins: Tua Tagovailoa (QB) Concussion – Out; Alec Ingold (FB) Thumb – Questionable; Terron Armstead (OT) Toe – Questionable; Bradley Chubb (LB) Ankle – Questionable; Xavien Howard (CB) Knee – Questionable; Greg Little (OT) Foot – Questionable; Greg Little (OT) Foot – Questionable; River Cracraft (WR) Calf – Questionable
New England Patriots: Rhamondre Stevenson (RB) Ankle – Questionable; Hunter Henry (TE) Knee – Questionable; Jonathan Jones (CB) Chest – Questionable; Jalen Mills (CB) Groin – Questionable; DeVante Parker (WR) Concussion – Out; Jonnu Smith (TE) Concussion – Out; Jack Jones (CB) Knee – Out; Tyquan Thornton (WR) Knee – Questionable; Marcus Jones (CB) Concussion – Out
Betting Odds
• Favorite: New England Patriots
• Spread: 2.5
• Over/Under: 41.0
Betting Trends
| Miami Dolphins | New England Patriots | |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 ATS | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 |
| Last 10 ATS | 4-6-0 | 5-5-0 |
| Last 10 ATS at Home | 5-5-0 | |
| Last 10 ATS on Road | 4-6-0 | |
| Last 10 ATS as a Favorite | 6-3-1 | |
| Last 10 ATS as a Home Favorite | 7-3-0 | |
| Last 10 ATS as an Underdog | 6-4-0 | |
| Last 10 ATS as a Road Underdog | 4-6-0 | |
| Last 10 Over-Under | 5-5-0 | 4-6-0 |
Latest Super Bowl Odds
• Miami Dolphins: +4000
• New England Patriots: +25000
Dolphins vs. Patriots Game Prediction
• Oddsmakers: New England Patriots d. Miami Dolphins 23-19
• GFA Model: New England Patriots d. Miami Dolphins 26-23