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Game Notes: Miami Dolphins at Kansas City Chiefs (Nov 5, 2023)

It’s a week 9 clash, the 6-2 Miami Dolphins square off against the 6-2 Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday, November 5. The kickoff is slated for 9:30AM ET. These two foes most recently dueled on Sunday, December 13, 2020 when the Chiefs bested the Dolphins 33-27. In this series of late, the last 10 are tied 5-5 in their most recent head-to-head meetings.

The Dolphins are 7-3 over their last 10 games. And the Chiefs have posted a 8-2 win-loss over their last 10 games.

The Dolphins have won 7 of their last 9 games, they have also lost their last 2 games on the road.

The Chiefs have won 6 of their last 7 games, and they have also won their last 3 games at home.

According to the odds market, the Chiefs are 1.5 point favorites. The over/under sits at 50.5. The Dolphins are 8-2-0 against the spread. And Chiefs are 7-3-0 in their last 10 against the spread.

The Dolphins are led by Tua Tagovailoa who has thrown for 2,416 yards, 18 td passes with 7 picks this season. Raheem Mostert has barreled for 520 yards with 10 TDs. Tyreek Hill has 61 catches for 1,014 yards and 8 TDs.

The Chiefs are paced by Patrick Mahomes who has thrown for 2,258 yards, 15 td passes with 8 interceptions this season. Isiah Pacheco has rumbled for 459 yards with 3 TDs. Travis Kelce has 54 catches for 583 yards and 4 TDs.

The Dolphins sit on top of the AFC East. The Chiefs are the team to beat in the AFC West.

Tua Tagovailoa is 0-1 as a starter against the Chiefs. Patrick Mahomes is 16-4 in his last 20 starts. Patrick Mahomes is 1-0 against the Dolphins as a starter.

The Dolphins rank among the tops in offense at present in the NFL. The Chiefs are listed among the best on the defensive side of the ball at present in the NFL. The Dolphins are among the the lowest in total team defense in the NFL.

The Dolphins enter off a victory against the New England Patriots 31-17 while the Chiefs come into the game off a an L to the Denver Broncos 24-9.

The Dolphins have a bye next week. The Chiefs have a bye next week.

Game Details

• Matchup: Miami Dolphins (MIA) at Kansas City Chiefs (KC)
• Date: November 5, 2023
• Time: 9:30AM ET
• Stadium: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
• TV: NFL NET
• GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium Kick-Off Weather Forecast: Clouds; 53F; 67% humidity; wind: S 8 mph

TEAM STATS COMPARISON

2023 LAST 10
MIA KC MIA KC
Record 6-2 6-2 7-3 8-2
Home Record 4-0 3-1 5-0 4-1
Away Record 2-2 3-1 2-3 4-1
Points Scored/Game 33.9 23.4 30.3 24.5
Points Allowed/Game 25.5 16.1 23.3 16.6
Point Differential +67 +58 +70 +79
Yards/Game 453.3 381.5 426.1 377.5
Yards Allowed/Game 329.4 287.8 307.1 288.8
Passing Yards/Game 270.1 251.8 230.1 252.3
Passing Yards Allowed/Game 182.8 147.6 161.1 155.1
Rushing Yards/Game 134.0 79.6 123.4 85.1
Rushing Yards Allowed/Game 94.9 98.1 79.7 100.1
First Downs/Game 20.4 19.1 18.0 19.6
First Downs Allowed/Game 18.0 15.1 15.5 16.3
3rd Down Conv % 43.2 45.6 41.4 44.4
Opp 3rd Down Conv % 36.2 37.4 37.3 37.8
Turnover Margin -4 -4 -6 -2
Total Games 8 8 10 10

Miami Dolphins 2023 Leaders

PASSING C-A YDS TD INT SK
Tua Tagovailoa 193-274 2,416 18 7 11
RUSHING ATT YDS TD LNG
Raheem Mostert 97 520 10 49
RECEIVING REC YDS TD LNG
Tyreek Hill 61 1,014 8 69

Kansas City Chiefs 2023 Leaders

PASSING C-A YDS TD INT SK
Patrick Mahomes 209-304 2,258 15 8 10
RUSHING ATT YDS TD LNG
Isiah Pacheco 108 459 3 48
RECEIVING REC YDS TD LNG
Travis Kelce 54 583 4 53

Last 10 Meetings

DATE TIME RESULT
Sun 13-Dec-20 1:00PM Kansas City Chiefs d. MIAMI DOLPHINS 33-27
Sun 24-Dec-17 1:00PM KANSAS CITY CHIEFS d. Miami Dolphins 29-13
Sun 21-Sep-14 4:25PM Kansas City Chiefs d. MIAMI DOLPHINS 34-15
Sun 06-Nov-11 1:03PM Miami Dolphins d. KANSAS CITY CHIEFS 31-3
Sun 21-Dec-08 1:00PM Miami Dolphins d. KANSAS CITY CHIEFS 38-31
Sun 12-Nov-06 1:03PM MIAMI DOLPHINS d. Kansas City Chiefs 13-10
Fri 21-Oct-05 7:05PM Kansas City Chiefs d. MIAMI DOLPHINS 30-20
Sun 29-Sep-02 1:00PM KANSAS CITY CHIEFS d. Miami Dolphins 48-30
Sun 05-Oct-97 1:00PM MIAMI DOLPHINS d. Kansas City Chiefs 17-14
Mon 11-Dec-95 9:00PM MIAMI DOLPHINS d. Kansas City Chiefs 13-6

Head-to-Head Stats (last 10)

MIA KC
Last 10 Record 5-5 5-5
Home Record 3-3 2-2
Away Record 2-2 3-3

QB Career Comparison

CMP-ATT PCT YDs TDs INTs SKs PS REC (GMs)
Tua Tagovailoa 901-1352 66.6% 10,431 70 30 72 0-0 (0)
Patrick Mahomes 2194-3297 66.6% 26,499 207 57 131 11-3 (14)

Starting QB Win-Loss Trends

• Tua Tagovailoa W-L last 20 games as a starter: 13-7
• Tua Tagovailoa last 20 games vs. Kansas City Chiefs: 0-1

• Patrick Mahomes W-L last 20 games as a starter: 16-4
• Patrick Mahomes last 20 games vs. Miami Dolphins: 1-0

Player Trends

• Tua Tagovailoa has 17 straight games with at least one passing TD
• Tua Tagovailoa has 10 straight games with 200+ passing yards & at least one passing TD
• Tyreek Hill has 4 straight games with a TD catch
• Tyreek Hill has 6 straight games with at least 50+ receiving yards
• Tyreek Hill has 4 straight games with at least 5+ catches

• Patrick Mahomes has 3 straight games with at least one passing interception
• Patrick Mahomes has 3 straight games with a turnover
• Travis Kelce has 6 straight games with at least 50+ receiving yards
• Travis Kelce has 6 straight games with at least 5+ catches

Game Injuries

Miami Dolphins: Durham Smythe (TE) Ankle – Questionable; Terron Armstead (OT) Knee – Questionable; Robert Hunt (OG) Hamstring – Out; Connor Williams (C) Groin – Questionable; Xavien Howard (CB) Groin – Questionable; Brandon Jones (S) Concussion – Out; Braxton Berrios (WR) Hamstring – Questionable; Justin Bethel (CB) Foot – Questionable; Nik Needham (CB) Achilles – Questionable

Kansas City Chiefs: Willie Gay (LB) Lower Back – Questionable; Clyde Edwards-Helaire (RB) Illness – Out

Betting Odds

• Favorite: Kansas City Chiefs
• Spread: 1.5
• Over/Under: 50.5

Betting Trends

Miami Dolphins Kansas City Chiefs
Last 5 ATS 3-2-0 3-2-0
Last 10 ATS 8-2-0 7-3-0
Last 10 ATS at Home 7-3-0
Last 10 ATS on Road 5-5-0
Last 10 ATS as a Favorite 6-4-0
Last 10 ATS as a Home Favorite 7-3-0
Last 10 ATS as an Underdog 5-5-0
Last 10 ATS as a Road Underdog 5-5-0
Last 10 Over-Under 6-4-0 4-6-0

Latest Super Bowl Odds

• Miami Dolphins: +900
• Kansas City Chiefs: +500

Dolphins vs. Chiefs Game Prediction

• Oddsmakers: Kansas City Chiefs d. Miami Dolphins 27-25
• GFA Model: Kansas City Chiefs d. Miami Dolphins 28-23