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Game Notes: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints (1-Oct-23)

It’s a NFC SOUTH divisional collision, the 2-1 Tampa Bay Buccaneers battle the 2-1 New Orleans Saints on Sunday. The kickoff is slated for 1:00PM ET. They most recently met with the Buccaneers bouncing the Saints 17-16 a year ago on Monday, December5 . Of late, the Saints lead 7-3 in their most recent match-ups.

The Buccaneers have lost 5 of their last 7 games on the road.

The Saints have won 5 of their last 7 games, and they have also won 3 of their last 4 games at home.

Per oddsmakers, the Saints are 3.5 point favorites. The over/under is currently 40.5. The Buccaneers are 3-7-0 against the spread.

The Buccaneers are guided by Baker Mayfield who has thrown for 636 yards, 4 td passes with 1 interceptions this year. Mike Evans has 17 catches for 297 yards and 3 TDs.

The Saints are anchored by Derek Carr who has thrown for 636 yards, 2 td passes with 2 picks this year. Chris Olave has 22 catches for 302 yards and 0 TDs.

The Buccaneers are in first place in the NFC South. The Saints lead the NFC South.

Baker Mayfield is 1-0 as a starter against the Saints.

The Saints rank among the worst in total team offense at present in the league. The Saints rank among the leaders in team defense in the NFL.

The Buccaneers come in off a defeat to the Philadelphia Eagles 25-11. The Saints come into the game off a defeat at the hands of the Green Bay Packers 18-17.

The Buccaneers have a bye next week and the Saints visit the New England Patriots.

Game Details

• Matchup: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TB) at New Orleans Saints (NO)
• Date: October 1, 2023
• Time: 1:00PM ET
• Stadium: Caesars Superdome
• TV: FOX
• Caesars Superdome Kick-Off Weather Forecast: Clear; 86F; 60% humidity; wind: ENE 13 mph

TEAM STATS COMPARISON

2023 LAST 10
TB NO TB NO
Record 2-1 2-1 5-5 6-4
Home Record 1-1 1-0 3-2 3-1
Away Record 1-0 1-1 2-3 3-3
Points Scored/Game 19.3 17.7 18.8 16.1
Points Allowed/Game 19.7 16.7 23.7 14.8
Point Differential -1 +3 -49 +13
Yards/Game 284.3 314.7 334.2 303.4
Yards Allowed/Game 359.0 288.0 349.0 295.2
Passing Yards/Game 206.3 221.3 250.7 179.5
Passing Yards Allowed/Game 256.0 188.3 229.5 149.4
Rushing Yards/Game 78.0 93.3 83.5 92.6
Rushing Yards Allowed/Game 103.0 99.7 119.5 114.5
First Downs/Game 15.7 17.7 18.9 14.7
First Downs Allowed/Game 19.7 17.0 19.9 16.4
3rd Down Conv % 45.2 39.1 37.9 38.8
Opp 3rd Down Conv % 51.2 31.8 39.7 42.4
Turnover Margin +5 +2 +2 +3
Total Games 3 3 10 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2023 Leaders

PASSING C-A YDS TD INT SK
Baker Mayfield 62-93 636 4 1 3
RUSHING ATT YDS TD LNG
Rachaad White 48 150 1 13
RECEIVING REC YDS TD LNG
Mike Evans 17 297 3 70

New Orleans Saints 2023 Leaders

PASSING C-A YDS TD INT SK
Derek Carr 57-87 636 2 2 11
RUSHING ATT YDS TD LNG
Taysom Hill 16 91 0 19
RECEIVING REC YDS TD LNG
Chris Olave 22 302 0 45

Last 10 Meetings

DATE TIME RESULT
Mon 05-Dec-22 8:15PM TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS d. New Orleans Saints 17-16
Sun 18-Sep-22 1:00PM Tampa Bay Buccaneers d. NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 20-10
Sun 19-Dec-21 8:20PM New Orleans Saints d. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS 9-0
Sun 31-Oct-21 4:25PM NEW ORLEANS SAINTS d. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 36-27
Sun 08-Nov-20 8:20PM New Orleans Saints d. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS 38-3
Sun 13-Sep-20 4:25PM NEW ORLEANS SAINTS d. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 34-23
Sun 17-Nov-19 1:00PM New Orleans Saints d. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS 34-17
Sun 06-Oct-19 1:00PM NEW ORLEANS SAINTS d. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 31-24
Sun 09-Dec-18 1:00PM New Orleans Saints d. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS 28-14
Sun 09-Sep-18 1:00PM Tampa Bay Buccaneers d. NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 48-40

Head-to-Head Stats (last 10)

TB NO
Last 10 Record 3-7 7-3
Home Record 1-4 3-2
Away Record 2-3 4-1

QB Career Comparison

CMP-ATT PCT YDs TDs INTs SKs PS REC (GMs)
Baker Mayfield 1448-2352 61.6% 16,924 106 65 173 1-1 (2)
Derek Carr 3258-5045 64.6% 35,858 219 101 275 0-1 (1)

Starting QB Win-Loss Trends

• Baker Mayfield W-L last 20 games as a starter: 7-13
• Baker Mayfield last 20 games vs. New Orleans Saints: 1-0

• Derek Carr W-L last 20 games as a starter: 10-10
• Derek Carr last 20 games vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1-1

Player Trends

• Baker Mayfield has 3 straight games with at least one passing TD
• Mike Evans has 4 straight games with a TD catch
• Mike Evans has 4 straight games with at least 50+ receiving yards
• Mike Evans has 4 straight games with at least 5+ catches

• Chris Olave has 4 straight games with at least 50+ receiving yards
• Chris Olave has 4 straight games with at least 5+ catches

Game Injuries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers:

New Orleans Saints:

Betting Odds

• Favorite: New Orleans Saints
• Spread: 3.5
• Over/Under: 40.5

Betting Trends

Tampa Bay Buccaneers New Orleans Saints
Last 5 ATS 2-3-0 1-2-2
Last 10 ATS 3-7-0 4-4-2
Last 10 ATS at Home 3-6-1
Last 10 ATS on Road 3-7-0
Last 10 ATS as a Favorite 4-5-1
Last 10 ATS as a Home Favorite 3-6-1
Last 10 ATS as an Underdog 5-5-0
Last 10 ATS as a Road Underdog 5-5-0
Last 10 Over-Under 5-5-0 1-9-0

Latest Super Bowl Odds

• Tampa Bay Buccaneers: +10000
• New Orleans Saints: +3500

Buccaneers vs. Saints Game Prediction

• Oddsmakers: New Orleans Saints d. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23-19
• GFA Model: New Orleans Saints d. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24-17

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