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Game Notes: New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills (8-Jan-23)

In a week 18 clash, the 8-8 New England Patriots make the trip to the 12-3 Buffalo Bills on Sunday, January 8 with kickoff at 1:00PM ET at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park. Their most recent collision finished with the Bills bouncing the Patriots 24-10 on earlier this year on Thursday, December 1. In their last 10 contests, the Patriots are ahead 6-4.

And the Bills have put together a 8-2 win-loss over their last 10.

The Bills are 8.0 point favorites according to the odds market. The over/under listed at 43.5.

The Patriots are paced by Mac Jones who has thrown for 2,754 yards, 11 td passes with 8 picks this season. Rhamondre Stevenson has rumbled for 986 yards with 5 TDs.

The Bills are paced by Josh Allen who has thrown for 4,029 yards, 32 td passes with 13 picks this year. Stefon Diggs has 101 catches for 1,325 yards and 10 TDs.

The Patriots are in 2nd in the AFC East while the Bills lead the AFC East.

Josh Allen is 16-4 in his last 20 starts.

The Bills rank among the tops on the offensive side of the ball in the league. These teams are ranked among the best in total team defense currently in the league.

The Patriots enter the game off a win against the Miami Dolphins 23-21, and the Bills enter the contest following a win versus the Chicago Bears 35-13.

The Patriots have a bye next week; the Bills have a bye next week.

Game Details

• Matchup: New England Patriots (NE) at Buffalo Bills (BUF)
• Date: January 8, 2023
• Time: 1:00PM ET
• Stadium: Highmark Stadium
• TV: CBS
• Highmark Stadium Kick-Off Weather Forecast: Clouds; 30F; 77% humidity; wind: SW 7 mph

TEAM STATS COMPARISON

2022 LAST 10
NE BUF NE BUF
Record 8-8 12-3 5-5 8-2
Home Record 4-4 6-1 3-3 4-1
Away Record 4-4 6-2 2-2 4-1
Points Scored/Game 21.3 28.0 20.0 26.8
Points Allowed/Game 19.5 17.5 19.9 20.2
Point Differential +29 +157 +1 +66
Yards/Game 312.9 402.3 287.9 383.2
Yards Allowed/Game 321.7 317.7 312.0 346.3
Passing Yards/Game 195.6 259.5 178.9 227.2
Passing Yards Allowed/Game 199.8 213.3 188.4 228.6
Rushing Yards/Game 101.8 142.8 84.1 156.0
Rushing Yards Allowed/Game 101.1 104.4 90.3 117.7
First Downs/Game 15.9 23.3 13.8 22.9
First Downs Allowed/Game 17.2 19.5 16.5 20.2
3rd Down Conv % 34.9 49.7 31.7 46.7
Opp 3rd Down Conv % 40.0 37.9 39.6 37.3
Turnover Margin +7 +0 +6 -2
Total Games 16 15 10 10

New England Patriots 2022 Leaders

PASSING C-A YDS TD INT SK
Mac Jones 262-402 2,754 11 8 33
RUSHING ATT YDS TD LNG
Rhamondre Stevenson 204 986 5 49
RECEIVING REC YDS TD LNG
Jakobi Meyers 64 772 5 48

Buffalo Bills 2022 Leaders

PASSING C-A YDS TD INT SK
Josh Allen 340-536 4,029 32 13 31
RUSHING ATT YDS TD LNG
Devin Singletary 170 790 5 33
RECEIVING REC YDS TD LNG
Stefon Diggs 101 1,325 10 53

Last 10 Meetings

DATE TIME RESULT
Thu 01-Dec-22 8:15PM Buffalo Bills d. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 24-10
Sun 26-Dec-21 1:00PM Buffalo Bills d. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 33-21
Mon 06-Dec-21 8:15PM New England Patriots d. BUFFALO BILLS 14-10
Mon 28-Dec-20 8:15PM Buffalo Bills d. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 38-9
Sun 01-Nov-20 1:00PM BUFFALO BILLS d. New England Patriots 24-21
Sat 21-Dec-19 4:30PM NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS d. Buffalo Bills 24-17
Sun 29-Sep-19 1:00PM New England Patriots d. BUFFALO BILLS 16-10
Sun 23-Dec-18 1:00PM NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS d. Buffalo Bills 24-12
Mon 29-Oct-18 8:15PM New England Patriots d. BUFFALO BILLS 25-6
Sun 24-Dec-17 1:00PM NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS d. Buffalo Bills 37-16

Head-to-Head Stats (last 10)

NE BUF
Last 10 Record 6-4 4-6
Home Record 3-3 1-3
Away Record 3-1 3-3

QB Career Comparison

CMP-ATT PCT YDs TDs INTs SKs PS REC (GMs)
Mac Jones 614-923 66.5% 6,555 33 21 61 0-1 (1)
Josh Allen 1585-2535 62.5% 18,143 135 59 149 3-3 (6)

Starting QB Win-Loss Trends

• Mac Jones W-L last 20 games as a starter: 10-10
• Mac Jones last 20 games vs. Buffalo Bills: 1-2

• Josh Allen W-L last 20 games as a starter: 16-4
• Josh Allen last 20 games vs. New England Patriots: 4-4

Player Trends

• Mac Jones has 3 straight games with zero passing interceptions

• Josh Allen has 7 straight games with at least one passing TD

Game Injuries

New England Patriots:

Buffalo Bills:

Betting Odds

• Favorite: Buffalo Bills
• Spread: 8.0
• Over/Under: 43.5

Betting Trends

New England Patriots Buffalo Bills
Last 5 ATS 1-4-0 2-3-0
Last 10 ATS 4-6-0 3-6-1
Last 10 ATS at Home 4-5-1
Last 10 ATS on Road 4-5-1
Last 10 ATS as a Favorite 3-6-1
Last 10 ATS as a Home Favorite 4-5-1
Last 10 ATS as an Underdog 2-8-0
Last 10 ATS as a Road Underdog 4-6-0
Last 10 Over-Under 4-6-0 4-6-0

Latest Super Bowl Odds

• New England Patriots: +15000
• Buffalo Bills: +430

Patriots vs. Bills Game Prediction

• Oddsmakers: Buffalo Bills d. New England Patriots 26-18
• GFA Model: Buffalo Bills d. New England Patriots 29-23

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