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Game Notes: Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots (17-Sep-23)

Two AFC East teams collide as the 1-0 Miami Dolphins take on the 0-1 New England Patriots on Sunday under the lights with kickoff scheduled for 8:20PM ET at in . They most recently dueled with the Patriots upending the Dolphins 23-21 on Sunday, January 1, 2023.

The Dolphins have won their last 2 games, they have also lost 4 of their last 5 games on the road.

The Patriots have lost their last 2 games, and they have also lost 3 of their last 4 games at home.

The Dolphins are 2.5 point favorites in the odds market. The over/under is set at 46.0. The Dolphins are 7-3-0 against the spread. And Patriots are 3-7-0 in their last 10 against the spread.

The Dolphins are anchored by Tua Tagovailoa who has thrown for 466 yards, 3 td passes with 1 picks this year. Tyreek Hill has 11 receptions for 215 yards and 2 TDs.

The Patriots are anchored by Mac Jones who has thrown for 316 yards, 3 td passes with 1 interceptions this season. Rhamondre Stevenson has 6 receptions for 64 yards and 0 TDs.

The Dolphins lead the AFC East while the Patriots are in 3rd in the AFC East.

Tua Tagovailoa is 4-0 as a starter against the Patriots. Mac Jones is 1-3 against the Dolphins as a starter. The Patriots are 3-7 in their recent night games.

The Dolphins are among the tops in team offense currently in the league. These competitors are ranked among the the lowest defensively.

The Dolphins enter off a victory against the Los Angeles Chargers 36-34; the Patriots enter the contest following a setback to the Philadelphia Eagles 25-20.

Next week the Dolphins welcome the the Denver Broncos. The Patriots visit the New York Jets.

Game Details

• Matchup: Miami Dolphins (MIA) at New England Patriots (NE)
• Date: September 17, 2023
• Time: 8:20PM ET
• Stadium: Gillette Stadium
• TV: NBC
• Gillette Stadium Kick-Off Weather Forecast: Clear; 60F; 73% humidity; wind: SSW 4 mph

TEAM STATS COMPARISON

2023 LAST 10
MIA NE MIA NE
Record 1-0 0-1 5-5 4-6
Home Record 0-0 0-1 3-1 3-3
Away Record 1-0 0-0 2-4 1-3
Points Scored/Game 36.0 20.0 25.5 20.7
Points Allowed/Game 34.0 25.0 24.1 20.9
Point Differential +2 -5 +14 -2
Yards/Game 536.0 382.0 368.8 305.4
Yards Allowed/Game 433.0 251.0 327.4 292.1
Passing Yards/Game 466.0 306.0 239.0 197.8
Passing Yards Allowed/Game 200.0 154.0 192.2 179.2
Rushing Yards/Game 70.0 76.0 96.5 82.7
Rushing Yards Allowed/Game 233.0 97.0 110.3 79.6
First Downs/Game 30.0 24.0 18.5 15.1
First Downs Allowed/Game 30.0 17.0 19.2 15.9
3rd Down Conv % 44.4 33.3 34.0 30.3
Opp 3rd Down Conv % 60.0 30.8 43.8 37.8
Turnover Margin -2 -1 -6 +6
Total Games 1 1 10 10

Miami Dolphins 2023 Leaders

PASSING C-A YDS TD INT SK
Tua Tagovailoa 28-45 466 3 1 0
RUSHING ATT YDS TD LNG
Raheem Mostert 10 37 1 12
RECEIVING REC YDS TD LNG
Tyreek Hill 11 215 2 47

New England Patriots 2023 Leaders

PASSING C-A YDS TD INT SK
Mac Jones 35-54 316 3 1 2
RUSHING ATT YDS TD LNG
Ezekiel Elliott 7 29 0 11
RECEIVING REC YDS TD LNG
Kendrick Bourne 6 64 2 19

Last 10 Meetings

DATE TIME RESULT
Sun 01-Jan-23 1:00PM NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS d. Miami Dolphins 23-21
Sun 11-Sep-22 1:00PM MIAMI DOLPHINS d. New England Patriots 20-7
Sun 09-Jan-22 1:00PM MIAMI DOLPHINS d. New England Patriots 33-24
Sun 12-Sep-21 4:25PM Miami Dolphins d. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 17-16
Sun 20-Dec-20 1:00PM MIAMI DOLPHINS d. New England Patriots 22-12
Sun 13-Sep-20 1:00PM NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS d. Miami Dolphins 21-11
Sun 29-Dec-19 1:00PM Miami Dolphins d. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 27-24
Sun 15-Sep-19 1:00PM New England Patriots d. MIAMI DOLPHINS 43-0
Sun 09-Dec-18 1:00PM MIAMI DOLPHINS d. New England Patriots 34-33
Sun 30-Sep-18 1:00PM NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS d. Miami Dolphins 38-7

Head-to-Head Stats (last 10)

MIA NE
Last 10 Record 6-4 4-6
Home Record 4-1 3-2
Away Record 2-3 1-4

QB Career Comparison

CMP-ATT PCT YDs TDs INTs SKs PS REC (GMs)
Tua Tagovailoa 736-1123 65.5% 8,481 55 24 61 0-0 (0)
Mac Jones 675-1017 66.4% 7,114 39 25 64 0-1 (1)

Starting QB Win-Loss Trends

• Tua Tagovailoa W-L last 20 games as a starter: 14-6
• Tua Tagovailoa last 20 games vs. New England Patriots: 4-0

• Mac Jones W-L last 20 games as a starter: 8-12
• Mac Jones last 20 games vs. Miami Dolphins: 1-3

Player Trends

• Tua Tagovailoa has 10 straight games with at least one passing TD
• Tua Tagovailoa has 3 straight games with 200+ passing yards & at least one passing TD

• Mac Jones has 4 straight games with at least one passing TD
• Mac Jones has 4 straight games with 200+ passing yards & at least one passing TD

Primetime Night Game Stats and Trends

• In their 10 last night games, the Miami Dolphins are 5-5
• Recently, the Miami Dolphins are 3-5 on the road at night
• Miami Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa is 3-4 as a starter at night

• In their 10 last night games, the New England Patriots are 3-7
• Recently, the New England Patriots are 2-0 at home at night
• New England Patriots QB Mac Jones is 3-6 as a starter at night

Game Injuries

Miami Dolphins: Terron Armstead (OT) Leg – Questionable; Jaelan Phillips (LB) Back – Questionable; Elijah Campbell (S) Knee – Questionable; Julian Hill (TE) Ankle – Questionable; Kelvin Joseph (CB) Personal – Out

New England Patriots: Trent Brown (OT) Concussion – Questionable; Mike Onwenu (OT) Ankle – Questionable; Cole Strange (OG) Knee – Questionable; Jonathan Jones (CB) Ankle – Questionable; DeVante Parker (WR) Knee – Questionable; Sidy Sow (OG) Concussion – Questionable; Sidy Sow (OG) Concussion – Questionable

Betting Odds

• Favorite: Miami Dolphins
• Spread: 2.5
• Over/Under: 46.0

Betting Trends

Miami Dolphins New England Patriots
Last 5 ATS 4-1-0 0-5-0
Last 10 ATS 7-3-0 3-7-0
Last 10 ATS at Home 4-6-0
Last 10 ATS on Road 5-5-0
Last 10 ATS as a Favorite 5-5-0
Last 10 ATS as a Road Favorite 4-6-0
Last 10 ATS as an Underdog 2-8-0
Last 10 ATS as a Home Underdog 2-8-0
Last 10 Over-Under 6-4-0 5-5-0

Latest Super Bowl Odds

• Miami Dolphins: +1600
• New England Patriots: +7000

Dolphins vs. Patriots Game Prediction

• Oddsmakers: Miami Dolphins d. New England Patriots 25-21
• GFA Model: Miami Dolphins d. New England Patriots 30-27

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