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Game Notes: Jacksonville Jaguars at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Dec 24, 2023)

Sunday, the 8-6 Jacksonville Jaguars battle the 7-7 Tampa Bay Buccaneers with kickoff at 4:05PM ET at Raymond James Stadium. Their most recent collision concluded with the Buccaneers topping the Jaguars 28-11 on on Sunday, December 1, 2019. Overall, in their last 10 match-ups the Jaguars are ahead 4-3.

The Jaguars have lost their last 3 games, they have also won 8 of their last 9 games on the road.

The Buccaneers have won their last 3 games, and they have also won their last 2 games at home.

According to the odds market, the Buccaneers are 1.5 point favorites. The over/under sits at 42.5.

The Jaguars are guided by Trevor Lawrence who has thrown for 3,525 yards, 18 td passes with 10 interceptions this season. Travis Etienne has barreled for 837 yards with 9 TDs. Christian Kirk has 57 receptions for 787 yards and 3 TDs.

The Buccaneers are paced by Baker Mayfield who has thrown for 3,315 yards, 24 td passes with 8 interceptions this year. Rachaad White has rushed for 834 yards with 5 TDs. Mike Evans has 66 catches for 1,077 yards and 11 TDs.

The Jaguars lead the AFC South. The Buccaneers are on top in the NFC South.

Baker Mayfield is 1-0 against the Jaguars as a starter.

The Jaguars enter off a loss against the Baltimore Ravens 23-7, and the Buccaneers arrive after a postive performance against the Green Bay Packers 34-20.

Next week the Jaguars host the the Carolina Panthers. The Buccaneers visit the New Orleans Saints.

Game Details

• Matchup: Jacksonville Jaguars (JAX) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TB)
• Date: December 24, 2023
• Time: 4:05PM ET
• Stadium: Raymond James Stadium
• TV: CBS
• Raymond James Stadium Kick-Off Weather Forecast: Clouds; 69F; 72% humidity; wind: E 16 mph

TEAM STATS COMPARISON

2023 LAST 10
JAX TB JAX TB
Record 8-6 7-7 6-4 4-6
Home Record 3-5 3-3 2-3 2-2
Away Record 5-1 4-4 4-1 2-4
Points Scored/Game 22.8 21.1 23.9 21.2
Points Allowed/Game 22.4 20.7 23.1 22.2
Point Differential +6 +6 +8 -10
Yards/Game 342.0 314.9 347.1 320.3
Yards Allowed/Game 360.1 359.9 371.0 376.4
Passing Yards/Game 222.2 210.4 219.4 208.8
Passing Yards Allowed/Game 232.6 253.2 230.4 265.0
Rushing Yards/Game 92.9 81.5 90.1 79.3
Rushing Yards Allowed/Game 92.4 86.5 91.5 83.2
First Downs/Game 18.1 16.9 17.8 16.8
First Downs Allowed/Game 17.1 19.1 17.0 19.3
3rd Down Conv % 36.2 41.6 38.2 38.8
Opp 3rd Down Conv % 34.1 44.4 31.4 43.0
Turnover Margin +1 +6 -3 -1
Total Games 14 14 10 10

Jacksonville Jaguars 2023 Leaders

PASSING C-A YDS TD INT SK
Trevor Lawrence 324-492 3,525 18 10 32
RUSHING ATT YDS TD LNG
Travis Etienne 229 837 9 35
RECEIVING REC YDS TD LNG
Christian Kirk 57 787 3 57

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2023 Leaders

PASSING C-A YDS TD INT SK
Baker Mayfield 296-466 3,315 24 8 33
RUSHING ATT YDS TD LNG
Rachaad White 222 834 5 38
RECEIVING REC YDS TD LNG
Mike Evans 66 1,077 11 75

Last 10 Meetings

DATE TIME RESULT
Sun 01-Dec-19 1:00PM Tampa Bay Buccaneers d. JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS 28-11
Sun 11-Oct-15 1:02PM TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS d. Jacksonville Jaguars 38-31
Sun 11-Dec-11 1:03PM JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS d. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 41-14
Sun 28-Oct-07 4:05PM Jacksonville Jaguars d. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS 24-23
Sun 30-Nov-03 8:36PM JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS d. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 17-10
Sun 15-Nov-98 4:15PM JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS d. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 29-24
Sun 19-Nov-95 1:00PM TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS d. Jacksonville Jaguars 17-16

Head-to-Head Stats (last 10)

JAX TB
Last 10 Record 4-3 3-4
Home Record 3-1 2-1
Away Record 1-2 1-3

QB Career Comparison

CMP-ATT PCT YDs TDs INTs SKs PS REC (GMs)
Trevor Lawrence 1070-1678 63.8% 11,279 55 35 91 1-1 (2)
Baker Mayfield 1682-2725 61.7% 19,603 126 72 203 1-1 (2)

Starting QB Win-Loss Trends

• Trevor Lawrence W-L last 20 games as a starter: 13-7
• Trevor Lawrence last 20 games vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 0-0

• Baker Mayfield W-L last 20 games as a starter: 8-12
• Baker Mayfield last 20 games vs. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1-0

Player Trends

• Trevor Lawrence has 5 straight games with at least one passing TD
• Trevor Lawrence has 5 straight games with 200+ passing yards & at least one passing TD

• Baker Mayfield has 9 straight games with at least one passing TD
• Rachaad White has 4 straight games with at least 70+ rushing yards

Game Injuries

Jacksonville Jaguars: Trevor Lawrence (QB) Concussion – Questionable; Tyson Campbell (CB) Quadriceps – Questionable; Andre Cisco (S) Groin – Questionable; Zay Jones (WR) Hamstring – Questionable; Brenton Strange (TE) Foot – Questionable

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Antoine Winfield (S) Calf – Questionable; William Gholston (DE) Knee – Questionable

Betting Odds

• Favorite: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
• Spread: 1.5
• Over/Under: 42.5

Betting Trends

Jacksonville Jaguars Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Last 5 ATS 2-3-0 3-1-1
Last 10 ATS 6-4-0 6-3-1
Last 10 ATS at Home 3-6-1
Last 10 ATS on Road 9-1-0
Last 10 ATS as a Favorite 4-4-2
Last 10 ATS as a Home Favorite 4-4-2
Last 10 ATS as an Underdog 6-4-0
Last 10 ATS as a Road Underdog 5-5-0
Last 10 Over-Under 5-5-0 5-5-0

Latest Super Bowl Odds

• Jacksonville Jaguars: +4000
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers: +10000

Jaguars vs. Buccaneers Game Prediction

• Oddsmakers: Tampa Bay Buccaneers d. Jacksonville Jaguars 23-21
• GFA Model: Jacksonville Jaguars d. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24-21