The Saints have lost their last 3 games on the road.
The Buccaneers have won their last 4 games, and they have also won their last 3 games at home.
The Buccaneers are 2.5 point favorites according to oddsmakers. The over/under is currently set at 42.5. The Saints are 3-7-0 against the spread. And Buccaneers are 7-2-1 in their last 10 against the spread.
The Saints are guided by Derek Carr who has thrown for 3,417 yards, 19 td passes with 8 picks this year. Chris Olave has 81 receptions for 1,041 yards and 4 TDs.
The Buccaneers are anchored by Baker Mayfield who has thrown for 3,598 yards, 26 td passes with 8 interceptions this season. Rachaad White has barreled for 873 yards with 6 TDs. Mike Evans has 73 catches for 1,163 yards and 13 TDs.
The Saints are in 2nd in the NFC South while the Buccaneers sit on top of the NFC South.
Baker Mayfield is 2-0 against the Saints as a starter.
The Saints enter the game off a defeat to the Los Angeles Rams 30-22. The Buccaneers enter the contest following a good performance in a victory over the Jacksonville Jaguars 30-12.
Next week the Saints host the the Atlanta Falcons, and the Buccaneers visit the Carolina Panthers.
Game Details
• Matchup: New Orleans Saints (NO) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TB)
• Date: December 31, 2023
• Time: 1:00PM ET
• Stadium: Raymond James Stadium
• TV: FOX
• Raymond James Stadium Kick-Off Weather Forecast: Clouds; 62F; 64% humidity; wind: WSW 6 mph
TEAM STATS COMPARISON
| 2023 | LAST 10 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | TB | NO | TB | ||
| Record | 7-8 | 8-7 | 4-6 | 5-5 | |
| Home Record | 4-3 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 3-1 | |
| Away Record | 3-5 | 4-4 | 1-4 | 2-4 | |
| Points Scored/Game | 22.1 | 21.7 | 23.5 | 23.6 | |
| Points Allowed/Game | 19.8 | 20.1 | 22.1 | 21.4 | |
| Point Differential | +34 | +24 | +14 | +22 | |
| Yards/Game | 334.8 | 316.3 | 357.7 | 328.7 | |
| Yards Allowed/Game | 321.6 | 356.2 | 345.1 | 368.9 | |
| Passing Yards/Game | 236.1 | 214.1 | 258.3 | 214.8 | |
| Passing Yards Allowed/Game | 194.7 | 254.2 | 200.6 | 257.8 | |
| Rushing Yards/Game | 98.7 | 80.7 | 99.4 | 81.7 | |
| Rushing Yards Allowed/Game | 126.9 | 83.2 | 144.5 | 82.9 | |
| First Downs/Game | 19.3 | 17.2 | 20.4 | 17.7 | |
| First Downs Allowed/Game | 18.2 | 19.4 | 19.3 | 19.7 | |
| 3rd Down Conv % | 38.6 | 42.6 | 39.4 | 43.0 | |
| Opp 3rd Down Conv % | 34.8 | 43.9 | 36.6 | 40.2 | |
| Turnover Margin | +4 | +10 | +1 | +4 | |
| Total Games | 15 | 15 | 10 | 10 | |
New Orleans Saints 2023 Leaders
| PASSING | C-A | YDS | TD | INT | SK | |
| Derek Carr | 329-488 | 3,417 | 19 | 8 | 28 |
| RUSHING | ATT | YDS | TD | LNG | Alvin Kamara | 170 | 649 | 5 | 17 |
| RECEIVING | REC | YDS | TD | LNG | Chris Olave | 81 | 1,041 | 4 | 51 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2023 Leaders
| PASSING | C-A | YDS | TD | INT | SK | |
| Baker Mayfield | 322-501 | 3,598 | 26 | 8 | 35 |
| RUSHING | ATT | YDS | TD | LNG | Rachaad White | 242 | 873 | 6 | 38 |
| RECEIVING | REC | YDS | TD | LNG | Mike Evans | 73 | 1,163 | 13 | 75 |
Last 10 Meetings
| DATE | TIME | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 01-Oct-23 | 1:00PM | Tampa Bay Buccaneers d. NEW ORLEANS SAINTS | 26-9 |
| Mon 05-Dec-22 | 8:15PM | TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS d. New Orleans Saints | 17-16 |
| Sun 18-Sep-22 | 1:00PM | Tampa Bay Buccaneers d. NEW ORLEANS SAINTS | 20-10 |
| Sun 19-Dec-21 | 8:20PM | New Orleans Saints d. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS | 9-0 |
| Sun 31-Oct-21 | 4:25PM | NEW ORLEANS SAINTS d. Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 36-27 |
| Sun 08-Nov-20 | 8:20PM | New Orleans Saints d. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS | 38-3 |
| Sun 13-Sep-20 | 4:25PM | NEW ORLEANS SAINTS d. Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 34-23 |
| Sun 17-Nov-19 | 1:00PM | New Orleans Saints d. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS | 34-17 |
| Sun 06-Oct-19 | 1:00PM | NEW ORLEANS SAINTS d. Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 31-24 |
| Sun 09-Dec-18 | 1:00PM | New Orleans Saints d. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS | 28-14 |
Head-to-Head Stats (last 10)
| NO | TB | |
|---|---|---|
| Last 10 Record | 7-3 | 3-7 |
| Home Record | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Away Record | 4-1 | 2-3 |
QB Career Comparison
| CMP-ATT | PCT | YDs | TDs | INTs | SKs | PS REC (GMs) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Carr | 3530-5446 | 64.8% | 38,639 | 236 | 107 | 292 | 0-1 (1) |
| Baker Mayfield | 1708-2760 | 61.9% | 19,886 | 128 | 72 | 205 | 1-1 (2) |
Starting QB Win-Loss Trends
• Derek Carr W-L last 20 games as a starter: 10-10
• Derek Carr last 20 games vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1-1
• Baker Mayfield W-L last 20 games as a starter: 9-11
• Baker Mayfield last 20 games vs. New Orleans Saints: 2-0
Player Trends
• Derek Carr has 4 straight games with at least one passing TD
• Baker Mayfield has 10 straight games with at least one passing TD
• Baker Mayfield has 3 straight games with zero passing interceptions
Game Injuries
New Orleans Saints: Alvin Kamara (RB) Illness – Questionable; Lou Hedley (P) Illness – Questionable; Lou Hedley (P) Illness – Questionable; Isaiah Foskey (DE) Quadriceps – Questionable; Lonnie Johnson (S) Knee – Out; Kendre Miller (RB) Ankle – Questionable
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Shaquil Barrett (LB) Groin – Out; Carlton Davis (CB) Concussion – Out; Ko Kieft (TE) Shoulder – Out
Betting Odds
• Favorite: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
• Spread: 2.5
• Over/Under: 42.5
Betting Trends
| New Orleans Saints | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 ATS | 2-3-0 | 3-1-1 |
| Last 10 ATS | 3-7-0 | 7-2-1 |
| Last 10 ATS at Home | 4-5-1 | |
| Last 10 ATS on Road | 4-4-2 | |
| Last 10 ATS as a Favorite | 4-4-2 | |
| Last 10 ATS as a Home Favorite | 4-4-2 | |
| Last 10 ATS as an Underdog | 5-4-1 | |
| Last 10 ATS as a Road Underdog | 3-6-1 | |
| Last 10 Over-Under | 5-5-0 | 5-5-0 |
Latest Super Bowl Odds
• New Orleans Saints: +20000
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers: +8000
Saints vs. Buccaneers Game Prediction
• Oddsmakers: Tampa Bay Buccaneers d. New Orleans Saints 24-20
• GFA Model: Tampa Bay Buccaneers d. New Orleans Saints 24-21