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Game Notes: Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs (12-Oct-23)

Two AFC West rivals clash as the 1-4 Denver Broncos square off against the 4-1 Kansas City Chiefs on Thursday night with kickoff at 8:15PM ET. They most recently dueled with the Chiefs bouncing the Broncos 27-24 on Sunday, January 1, 2023.

The Broncos are 3-7 over their last 10 games. And the Chiefs have compiled a 9-1 win-loss over their last 10 games.

The Broncos have lost 4 of their last 5 games, they have also lost 12 of their last 14 games on the road.

The Chiefs have won their last 4 games, and they have also won 14 of their last 16 games at home.

In the most recent odds, the Chiefs are favored by 10.5. The over/under is 47.0.

The Broncos are guided by Russell Wilson who has thrown for 1,210 yards, 11 td passes with 2 picks this year.

The Chiefs are paced by Patrick Mahomes who has thrown for 1,287 yards, 10 td passes with 4 interceptions this year. Isiah Pacheco has rushed for 325 yards with 3 TDs.

The Broncos are in 3rd in the AFC West while the Chiefs lead the AFC West.

Russell Wilson is 5-15 as a starter in his last 20. Russell Wilson is 1-3 as a starter against the Chiefs. Patrick Mahomes is 16-4 in his last 20 starts. Patrick Mahomes is 11-0 against the Broncos as a starter. The Chiefs are 9-1 in their recent night games. In their most recent night games, the Broncos have a 3-7 win-loss.

The two are among the tops in team offense currently in the NFL. The Chiefs are among the leaders on defense at present in the league. The Broncos rank among the the lowest in total team defense at present in the league.

The Broncos come in off a defeat to the New York Jets 31-21 while the Chiefs arrive after a good performance in a win over the Minnesota Vikings 27-20.

Next week the Broncos welcome the the Green Bay Packers and the Chiefs visit the Los Angeles Chargers.

Game Details

• Matchup: Denver Broncos (DEN) at Kansas City Chiefs (KC)
• Date: October 12, 2023
• Time: 8:15PM ET
• Stadium: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
• TV: PRIME VIDEO
• GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium Kick-Off Weather Forecast: Clouds; 74F; 61% humidity; wind: S 19 mph

TEAM STATS COMPARISON

2023 LAST 10
DEN KC DEN KC
Record 1-4 4-1 3-7 9-1
Home Record 0-3 1-1 2-4 3-1
Away Record 1-1 3-0 1-3 6-0
Points Scored/Game 24.2 25.6 24.2 27.4
Points Allowed/Game 36.2 16.0 33.6 17.9
Point Differential -60 +48 -94 +95
Yards/Game 328.2 381.0 338.6 385.8
Yards Allowed/Game 450.6 301.4 403.8 296.5
Passing Yards/Game 181.2 218.6 195.1 247.7
Passing Yards Allowed/Game 203.0 158.6 237.5 170.2
Rushing Yards/Game 84.8 82.2 112.4 98.0
Rushing Yards Allowed/Game 153.4 75.6 119.2 92.7
First Downs/Game 15.4 17.6 17.8 19.8
First Downs Allowed/Game 19.2 14.4 19.8 16.8
3rd Down Conv % 35.6 50.0 34.6 45.9
Opp 3rd Down Conv % 38.1 34.0 39.4 33.6
Turnover Margin -3 -2 -5 -1
Total Games 5 5 10 10

Denver Broncos 2023 Leaders

PASSING C-A YDS TD INT SK
Russell Wilson 109-163 1,210 11 2 15
RUSHING ATT YDS TD LNG
Jaleel McLaughlin 22 160 1 38
RECEIVING REC YDS TD LNG
Marvin Mims 10 246 1 60

Kansas City Chiefs 2023 Leaders

PASSING C-A YDS TD INT SK
Patrick Mahomes 123-184 1,287 10 4 4
RUSHING ATT YDS TD LNG
Isiah Pacheco 71 325 3 48
RECEIVING REC YDS TD LNG
Travis Kelce 27 222 3 24

Last 10 Meetings

DATE TIME RESULT
Sun 01-Jan-23 1:00PM KANSAS CITY CHIEFS d. Denver Broncos 27-24
Sun 11-Dec-22 4:20PM Kansas City Chiefs d. DENVER BRONCOS 34-28
Sat 08-Jan-22 4:30PM Kansas City Chiefs d. DENVER BRONCOS 28-24
Sun 05-Dec-21 8:20PM KANSAS CITY CHIEFS d. Denver Broncos 22-9
Sun 06-Dec-20 8:20PM KANSAS CITY CHIEFS d. Denver Broncos 22-16
Sun 25-Oct-20 4:25PM Kansas City Chiefs d. DENVER BRONCOS 43-16
Sun 15-Dec-19 1:00PM KANSAS CITY CHIEFS d. Denver Broncos 23-3
Thu 17-Oct-19 8:20PM Kansas City Chiefs d. DENVER BRONCOS 30-6
Sun 28-Oct-18 1:00PM KANSAS CITY CHIEFS d. Denver Broncos 30-23
Mon 01-Oct-18 8:15PM Kansas City Chiefs d. DENVER BRONCOS 27-23

Head-to-Head Stats (last 10)

DEN KC
Last 10 Record 0-10 10-0
Home Record 0-5 5-0
Away Record 0-5 5-0

QB Career Comparison

CMP-ATT PCT YDs TDs INTs SKs PS REC (GMs)
Russell Wilson 3480-5381 64.7% 41,793 319 100 497 9-7 (16)
Patrick Mahomes 2108-3177 66.4% 25,528 202 53 125 11-3 (14)

Starting QB Win-Loss Trends

• Russell Wilson W-L last 20 games as a starter: 5-15
• Russell Wilson last 20 games vs. Kansas City Chiefs: 1-3

• Patrick Mahomes W-L last 20 games as a starter: 16-4
• Patrick Mahomes last 20 games vs. Denver Broncos: 11-0

Player Trends

• Russell Wilson has 9 straight games with at least one passing TD

• Patrick Mahomes has 27 straight games with at least one passing TD
• Patrick Mahomes has 27 straight games with 200+ passing yards & at least one passing TD
• Isiah Pacheco has 3 straight games with at least one rushing TD

Primetime Night Game Stats and Trends

• In their 10 last night games, the Denver Broncos are 3-7
• Recently, the Denver Broncos are 2-5 on the road at night
• Denver Broncos QB Russell Wilson is 32-14 as a starter at night

• In their 10 last night games, the Kansas City Chiefs are 9-1
• Recently, the Kansas City Chiefs are 1-2 at home at night
• Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes is 20-8 as a starter at night

Game Injuries

Denver Broncos: Greg Dulcich (TE) Hamstring – Questionable; D.J. Jones (DT) Knee – Out; Frank Clark (LB) Illness – Out

Kansas City Chiefs: Travis Kelce (TE) Ankle – Questionable; George Karlaftis (DE) Hamstring – Questionable; Tommy Townsend (P) Knee – Questionable; Tommy Townsend (P) Knee – Questionable

Betting Odds

• Favorite: Kansas City Chiefs
• Spread: 10.5
• Over/Under: 47.0

Betting Trends

Denver Broncos Kansas City Chiefs
Last 5 ATS 0-5-0 3-2-0
Last 10 ATS 3-6-1 6-4-0
Last 10 ATS at Home 5-5-0
Last 10 ATS on Road 4-6-0
Last 10 ATS as a Favorite 6-4-0
Last 10 ATS as a Home Favorite 5-5-0
Last 10 ATS as an Underdog 6-4-0
Last 10 ATS as a Road Underdog 5-5-0
Last 10 Over-Under 9-1-0 4-6-0

Latest Super Bowl Odds

• Denver Broncos: +20000
• Kansas City Chiefs: +550

Broncos vs. Chiefs Game Prediction

• Oddsmakers: Kansas City Chiefs d. Denver Broncos 30-18
• GFA Model: Kansas City Chiefs d. Denver Broncos 42-18

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