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Game Notes: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons (Dec 10, 2023)

Week 14 of the season matches up the 5-7 Tampa Bay Buccaneers heading out to the 6-6 Atlanta Falcons on Sunday, December 10. The kickoff is slated for 1:00PM ET at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. The two teams most recently dueled on Sunday, October 22, 2023 as the Falcons bested the Buccaneers 16-13. Overall, in their last 10 match-ups the Buccaneers hold the edge 6-4.

The Buccaneers are 3-7 over their last 10 games.

The Buccaneers have lost 6 of their last 8 games, they have also lost their last 4 games on the road.

The Falcons have won their last 2 games, and they have also won 6 of their last 8 games at home.

In the betting odds, the Falcons are 2.0 point favorites. The over/under is set at 40.5. And Falcons are 3-7-0 in their last 10 against the spread.

The Buccaneers are guided by Baker Mayfield who has thrown for 2,790 yards, 18 td passes with 8 picks this year. Rachaad White has rushed for 643 yards with 5 TDs. Mike Evans has 61 receptions for 1,012 yards and 10 TDs.

The Falcons are anchored by Desmond Ridder who has thrown for 2,029 yards, 8 td passes with 8 picks this year. Bijan Robinson has barreled for 756 yards with 3 TDs.

The Buccaneers are in 2nd in the NFC South. The Falcons sit on top of the NFC South.

Desmond Ridder is 2-0 against the Buccaneers as a starter.

The Falcons are ranked among the worst on offense currently in the NFL. The Falcons are listed among the best in team defense currently in the league.

The Buccaneers enter the game off a win over the Carolina Panthers 21-18. The Falcons come into the game off a postive performance against the New York Jets 13-8.

Next week the Buccaneers travel to the the Green Bay Packers, and the Falcons travel to the Carolina Panthers.

Game Details

• Matchup: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TB) at Atlanta Falcons (ATL)
• Date: December 10, 2023
• Time: 1:00PM ET
• Stadium: Mercedes-Benz Stadiumdouble-dagger
• TV: CBS
• Mercedes-Benz Stadiumdouble-dagger Kick-Off Weather Forecast: Rain; 56F; 90% humidity; wind: NW 11 mph

TEAM STATS COMPARISON

2023 LAST 10
TB ATL TB ATL
Record 5-7 6-6 3-7 4-6
Home Record 3-3 4-2 2-3 2-2
Away Record 2-4 2-4 1-4 2-4
Points Scored/Game 19.4 18.8 18.6 17.7
Points Allowed/Game 20.4 20.0 21.1 20.6
Point Differential -12 -14 -25 -29
Yards/Game 305.6 328.6 298.8 327.6
Yards Allowed/Game 356.9 315.9 367.8 328.6
Passing Yards/Game 204.3 193.4 196.5 199.5
Passing Yards Allowed/Game 245.5 208.1 244.9 223.0
Rushing Yards/Game 74.5 135.2 70.1 128.1
Rushing Yards Allowed/Game 87.9 107.8 94.7 105.6
First Downs/Game 16.5 19.9 16.3 19.9
First Downs Allowed/Game 18.9 18.2 19.5 18.1
3rd Down Conv % 40.4 40.7 39.5 42.3
Opp 3rd Down Conv % 44.5 33.1 44.5 32.8
Turnover Margin +5 -3 +0 -5
Total Games 12 12 10 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2023 Leaders

PASSING C-A YDS TD INT SK
Baker Mayfield 260-409 2,790 18 8 27
RUSHING ATT YDS TD LNG
Rachaad White 176 643 5 38
RECEIVING REC YDS TD LNG
Mike Evans 61 1,012 10 75

Atlanta Falcons 2023 Leaders

PASSING C-A YDS TD INT SK
Desmond Ridder 186-294 2,029 8 8 28
RUSHING ATT YDS TD LNG
Bijan Robinson 159 756 3 38
RECEIVING REC YDS TD LNG
Drake London 46 573 2 32

Last 10 Meetings

DATE TIME RESULT
Sun 22-Oct-23 1:00PM Atlanta Falcons d. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS 16-13
Sun 08-Jan-23 1:00PM ATLANTA FALCONS d. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 30-17
Sun 09-Oct-22 1:00PM TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS d. Atlanta Falcons 21-15
Sun 05-Dec-21 1:00PM Tampa Bay Buccaneers d. ATLANTA FALCONS 30-17
Sun 19-Sep-21 4:05PM TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS d. Atlanta Falcons 48-25
Sun 03-Jan-21 1:00PM TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS d. Atlanta Falcons 44-27
Sun 20-Dec-20 1:00PM Tampa Bay Buccaneers d. ATLANTA FALCONS 31-27
Sun 29-Dec-19 1:00PM Atlanta Falcons d. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS 28-22
Sun 24-Nov-19 1:00PM Tampa Bay Buccaneers d. ATLANTA FALCONS 35-22
Sun 30-Dec-18 1:00PM Atlanta Falcons d. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS 34-32

Head-to-Head Stats (last 10)

TB ATL
Last 10 Record 6-4 4-6
Home Record 3-3 1-3
Away Record 3-1 3-3

QB Career Comparison

CMP-ATT PCT YDs TDs INTs SKs PS REC (GMs)
Baker Mayfield 1646-2668 61.7% 19,078 120 72 197 1-1 (2)
Desmond Ridder 259-409 63.3% 2,737 10 8 37 0-0 (0)

Starting QB Win-Loss Trends

• Baker Mayfield W-L last 20 games as a starter: 7-13
• Baker Mayfield last 20 games vs. Atlanta Falcons: 1-1

• Desmond Ridder W-L last 20 games as a starter: 8-6
• Desmond Ridder last 20 games vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2-0

Player Trends

• Baker Mayfield has 7 straight games with at least one passing TD
• Baker Mayfield has 4 straight games with at least one passing interception
• Baker Mayfield has 4 straight games with a turnover
• Mike Evans has 4 straight games with a TD catch
• Mike Evans has 4 straight games with at least 5+ catches

Game Injuries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Vita Vea (DT) Toe – Questionable; Devin White (LB) Foot – Out; Jamel Dean (CB) Ankle – Out; K.J. Britt (LB) Back – Questionable

Atlanta Falcons: Kaleb McGary (OT) Knee – MCL – Out; Drew Dalman (C) Ankle – Questionable; David Onyemata (DT) Ankle – Out; Nate Landman (LB) Knee – Out; Jeff Okudah (CB) Ankle – Questionable; Mack Hollins (WR) Ankle – Questionable; Mike Hughes (CB) Hand – Questionable

Betting Odds

• Favorite: Atlanta Falcons
• Spread: 2.0
• Over/Under: 40.5

Betting Trends

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Atlanta Falcons
Last 5 ATS 3-1-1 2-3-0
Last 10 ATS 5-4-1 3-7-0
Last 10 ATS at Home 4-6-0
Last 10 ATS on Road 5-5-0
Last 10 ATS as a Favorite 3-7-0
Last 10 ATS as a Home Favorite 3-7-0
Last 10 ATS as an Underdog 5-5-0
Last 10 ATS as a Road Underdog 8-2-0
Last 10 Over-Under 3-7-0 3-7-0

Latest Super Bowl Odds

• Tampa Bay Buccaneers: +20000
• Atlanta Falcons: +10000

Buccaneers vs. Falcons Game Prediction

• Oddsmakers: Atlanta Falcons d. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 22-20
• GFA Model: Atlanta Falcons d. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23-22