The Patriots are 3-7 over their last 10 games.
The Patriots have lost 12 of their last 16 games, they have also won their last 2 games on the road.
The Bills have won their last 3 games, and they have also won their last 2 games at home.
The Bills are 14.0 point favorites in the most recent odds. The over/under currently sits at 40.5. The Patriots are 3-7-0 against the spread.
The Patriots are anchored by Bailey Zappe who has thrown for 975 yards, 6 td passes with 4 interceptions this year.
The Bills are guided by Josh Allen who has thrown for 3,778 yards, 27 td passes with 15 interceptions this year. James Cook has rushed for 1,038 yards with 2 TDs. Stefon Diggs has 96 receptions for 1,070 yards and 8 TDs.
The Patriots sit in last place in the AFC East while the Bills are in 2nd in the AFC East.
The Bills are listed among the best offensively at present in the league. The Patriots are ranked among the the bottom on the offensive side of the ball. The Bills are among the best defensively currently in the NFL.
The Patriots come in off a win over the Denver Broncos 26-23 while the Bills come into the game off a good performance in a win over the Los Angeles Chargers 24-22.
Next week the Patriots host the the New York Jets. The Bills visit the Miami Dolphins.
Game Details
• Matchup: New England Patriots (NE) at Buffalo Bills (BUF)
• Date: December 31, 2023
• Time: 1:00PM ET
• Stadium: Highmark Stadium
• TV: CBS
• Highmark Stadium Kick-Off Weather Forecast: Snow; 35F; 90% humidity; wind: WSW 2 mph
TEAM STATS COMPARISON
| 2023 | LAST 10 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NE | BUF | NE | BUF | ||
| Record | 4-11 | 9-6 | 3-7 | 6-4 | |
| Home Record | 1-7 | 6-2 | 1-4 | 4-1 | |
| Away Record | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2-3 | |
| Points Scored/Game | 14.1 | 26.9 | 15.7 | 24.4 | |
| Points Allowed/Game | 21.5 | 18.4 | 19.1 | 19.6 | |
| Point Differential | -110 | +127 | -34 | +48 | |
| Yards/Game | 285.5 | 374.1 | 284.6 | 366.0 | |
| Yards Allowed/Game | 306.1 | 310.2 | 310.0 | 302.7 | |
| Passing Yards/Game | 176.5 | 223.0 | 182.9 | 228.4 | |
| Passing Yards Allowed/Game | 204.5 | 182.2 | 236.8 | 202.8 | |
| Rushing Yards/Game | 92.2 | 123.5 | 101.7 | 137.6 | |
| Rushing Yards Allowed/Game | 76.5 | 101.8 | 73.2 | 99.9 | |
| First Downs/Game | 15.3 | 20.8 | 15.7 | 22.6 | |
| First Downs Allowed/Game | 16.7 | 17.4 | 18.3 | 19.1 | |
| 3rd Down Conv % | 31.4 | 49.2 | 30.3 | 49.2 | |
| Opp 3rd Down Conv % | 35.4 | 38.9 | 37.9 | 38.4 | |
| Turnover Margin | -7 | +0 | +1 | -6 | |
| Total Games | 15 | 15 | 10 | 10 | |
New England Patriots 2023 Leaders
| PASSING | C-A | YDS | TD | INT | SK | |
| Bailey Zappe | 99-156 | 975 | 6 | 4 | 15 |
| RUSHING | ATT | YDS | TD | LNG | Rhamondre Stevenson | 156 | 619 | 4 | 64 |
| RECEIVING | REC | YDS | TD | LNG | Demario Douglas | 44 | 517 | 0 | 42 |
Buffalo Bills 2023 Leaders
| PASSING | C-A | YDS | TD | INT | SK | |
| Josh Allen | 340-511 | 3,778 | 27 | 15 | 20 |
| RUSHING | ATT | YDS | TD | LNG | James Cook | 208 | 1,038 | 2 | 42 |
| RECEIVING | REC | YDS | TD | LNG | Stefon Diggs | 96 | 1,070 | 8 | 55 |
Last 10 Meetings
| DATE | TIME | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 22-Oct-23 | 1:00PM | NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS d. Buffalo Bills | 29-25 |
| Sun 08-Jan-23 | 1:00PM | BUFFALO BILLS d. New England Patriots | 35-23 |
| Thu 01-Dec-22 | 8:15PM | Buffalo Bills d. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS | 24-10 |
| Sun 26-Dec-21 | 1:00PM | Buffalo Bills d. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS | 33-21 |
| Mon 06-Dec-21 | 8:15PM | New England Patriots d. BUFFALO BILLS | 14-10 |
| Mon 28-Dec-20 | 8:15PM | Buffalo Bills d. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS | 38-9 |
| Sun 01-Nov-20 | 1:00PM | BUFFALO BILLS d. New England Patriots | 24-21 |
| Sat 21-Dec-19 | 4:30PM | NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS d. Buffalo Bills | 24-17 |
| Sun 29-Sep-19 | 1:00PM | New England Patriots d. BUFFALO BILLS | 16-10 |
| Sun 23-Dec-18 | 1:00PM | NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS d. Buffalo Bills | 24-12 |
Head-to-Head Stats (last 10)
| NE | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| Last 10 Record | 5-5 | 5-5 |
| Home Record | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Away Record | 2-2 | 3-3 |
QB Career Comparison
| CMP-ATT | PCT | YDs | TDs | INTs | SKs | PS REC (GMs) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Zappe | 164-248 | 66.1% | 1,756 | 11 | 7 | 21 | 0-0 (0) |
| Josh Allen | 1944-3077 | 63.2% | 22,175 | 165 | 75 | 171 | 4-4 (8) |
Starting QB Win-Loss Trends
• Bailey Zappe W-L last 20 games as a starter: 4-2
• Bailey Zappe last 20 games vs. Buffalo Bills: 0-0
• Josh Allen W-L last 20 games as a starter: 14-6
• Josh Allen last 20 games vs. New England Patriots: 5-5
Player Trends
• Bailey Zappe has 3 straight games with at least one passing TD
• Bailey Zappe has 3 straight games with a turnover
• Josh Allen has 23 straight games with at least one passing TD
• Josh Allen has 4 straight games with at least one passing TD and a rushing TD
Game Injuries
New England Patriots: Hunter Henry (TE) Knee – Questionable; Anfernee Jennings (LB) Knee – Questionable; Myles Bryant (CB) Chest – Questionable; Shaun Wade (CB) Hip – Questionable; Kyle Dugger (S) Illness – Questionable; Jabrill Peppers (S) Hamstring – Out; Christian Barmore (DT) Knee – Questionable; Jonathan Jones (CB) Knee – Questionable; Kayshon Boutte (WR) Illness – Out; Matthew Slater (WR) Hamstring – Questionable
Buffalo Bills: DaQuan Jones (DT) Pectoral – Questionable; A.J. Epenesa (DE) Ribs – Questionable; Damar Hamlin (S) Shoulder – Questionable
Betting Odds
• Favorite: Buffalo Bills
• Spread: 14.0
• Over/Under: 40.5
Betting Trends
| New England Patriots | Buffalo Bills | |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 ATS | 2-3-0 | 3-1-1 |
| Last 10 ATS | 3-7-0 | 3-6-1 |
| Last 10 ATS at Home | 4-6-0 | |
| Last 10 ATS on Road | 4-6-0 | |
| Last 10 ATS as a Favorite | 4-6-0 | |
| Last 10 ATS as a Home Favorite | 4-6-0 | |
| Last 10 ATS as an Underdog | 3-7-0 | |
| Last 10 ATS as a Road Underdog | 5-5-0 | |
| Last 10 Over-Under | 5-5-0 | 3-7-0 |
Latest Super Bowl Odds
• New England Patriots:
• Buffalo Bills: +1000
Patriots vs. Bills Game Prediction
• Oddsmakers: Buffalo Bills d. New England Patriots 28-14
• GFA Model: Buffalo Bills d. New England Patriots 33-17