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Game Notes: Indianapolis Colts at New England Patriots (Nov 12, 2023)

The 4-5 Indianapolis Colts battle the 2-7 New England Patriots on Sunday, November 12. The kickoff is scheduled for 9:30AM ET from Frankfurt, Germany in an international series showdown. They recently met with the Patriots topping the Colts 26-3 last year on Sunday, November 6. Of late, the Patriots hold the lead 7-3 in their most recent head-to-heads.

And the Patriots have posted a 2-8 win-loss over their last 10 games.

The Colts have lost 15 of their last 20 games, they have also won 3 of their last 4 games on the road.

The Patriots have lost their last 2 games, and they have also lost 4 of their last 5 games at home.

The Colts are 2.0 point favorites in the betting odds. The over/under sits at 43.5. And Patriots are 2-8-0 in their last 10 against the spread.

The Colts are anchored by Gardner Minshew II who has thrown for 1,527 yards, 8 td passes with 5 interceptions this season. Zack Moss has rumbled for 615 yards with 5 TDs. Michael Pittman Jr. has 58 catches for 593 yards and 3 TDs.

The Patriots are paced by Mac Jones who has thrown for 1,861 yards, 10 td passes with 9 picks this season.

The Colts are in 3rd in the AFC South while the Patriots at the very bottom of the AFC East.

Gardner Minshew II is 4-14 as a starter in his last 20.

The Colts are among the best in team offense at present in the NFL. The Patriots rank among the worst in team offense in the league. The two teams are among the the lowest defensively.

The Colts enter off a victory over the Carolina Panthers 27-13. The Patriots come into the game off a setback to the Washington Commanders 20-17.

The Colts have a bye next week and the Patriots have a bye next week.

Game Details

• Matchup: Indianapolis Colts (IND) at New England Patriots (NE)
• Date: November 12, 2023
• Time: 9:30AM ET
• Stadium: Frankfurt, Germany
• TV: NFL NET

TEAM STATS COMPARISON

2023 LAST 10
IND NE IND NE
Record 4-5 2-7 4-6 2-8
Home Record 1-4 1-4 1-5 1-4
Away Record 3-1 1-3 3-1 1-4
Points Scored/Game 25.8 15.0 26.3 15.8
Points Allowed/Game 26.9 25.3 27.4 26.3
Point Differential -10 -93 -11 -105
Yards/Game 344.1 289.4 349.5 294.6
Yards Allowed/Game 360.6 333.4 360.5 332.8
Passing Yards/Game 220.8 180.3 218.9 185.7
Passing Yards Allowed/Game 235.0 204.6 241.6 207.8
Rushing Yards/Game 123.3 81.0 130.6 83.6
Rushing Yards Allowed/Game 125.6 87.0 118.9 87.3
First Downs/Game 18.9 15.7 19.5 16.1
First Downs Allowed/Game 20.7 17.6 20.4 17.6
3rd Down Conv % 39.2 33.3 38.5 33.1
Opp 3rd Down Conv % 37.9 37.8 37.7 39.8
Turnover Margin +0 -5 +0 -5
Total Games 9 9 10 10

Indianapolis Colts 2023 Leaders

PASSING C-A YDS TD INT SK
Gardner Minshew II 145-228 1,527 8 5 15
RUSHING ATT YDS TD LNG
Zack Moss 132 615 5 56
RECEIVING REC YDS TD LNG
Michael Pittman Jr. 58 593 3 75

New England Patriots 2023 Leaders

PASSING C-A YDS TD INT SK
Mac Jones 197-304 1,861 10 9 16
RUSHING ATT YDS TD LNG
Rhamondre Stevenson 106 394 3 64
RECEIVING REC YDS TD LNG
Kendrick Bourne 37 406 4 36

Last 10 Meetings

DATE TIME RESULT
Sun 06-Nov-22 1:00PM NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS d. Indianapolis Colts 26-3
Sat 18-Dec-21 8:20PM INDIANAPOLIS COLTS d. New England Patriots 27-17
Thu 04-Oct-18 8:20PM NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS d. Indianapolis Colts 38-24
Sun 18-Oct-15 8:30PM New England Patriots d. INDIANAPOLIS COLTS 34-27
Sun 16-Nov-14 8:31PM New England Patriots d. INDIANAPOLIS COLTS 42-20
Sun 18-Nov-12 4:25PM NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS d. Indianapolis Colts 59-24
Sun 04-Dec-11 1:02PM NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS d. Indianapolis Colts 31-24
Sun 21-Nov-10 4:15PM NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS d. Indianapolis Colts 31-28
Sun 15-Nov-09 8:31PM INDIANAPOLIS COLTS d. New England Patriots 35-34
Sun 02-Nov-08 8:23PM INDIANAPOLIS COLTS d. New England Patriots 18-15

Head-to-Head Stats (last 10)

IND NE
Last 10 Record 3-7 7-3
Home Record 3-2 5-0
Away Record 0-5 2-3

QB Career Comparison

CMP-ATT PCT YDs TDs INTs SKs PS REC (GMs)
Gardner Minshew II 459-722 63.6% 5,069 32 14 56 0-0 (0)
Mac Jones 837-1267 66.1% 8,659 46 33 78 0-1 (1)

Starting QB Win-Loss Trends

• Gardner Minshew II W-L last 20 games as a starter: 4-14
• Gardner Minshew II last 20 games vs. New England Patriots: 0-0

• Mac Jones W-L last 20 games as a starter: 7-13
• Mac Jones last 20 games vs. Indianapolis Colts: 1-1

Player Trends

• Gardner Minshew II has 4 straight games with at least one passing TD

• Mac Jones has 3 straight games with at least one passing TD

Game Injuries

Indianapolis Colts:

New England Patriots:

Betting Odds

• Favorite: Indianapolis Colts
• Spread: 2.0
• Over/Under: 43.5

Betting Trends

Indianapolis Colts New England Patriots
Last 5 ATS 3-2-0 1-4-0
Last 10 ATS 5-5-0 2-8-0
Last 10 ATS at Home 3-7-0
Last 10 ATS on Road 5-5-0
Last 10 ATS as a Favorite 2-8-0
Last 10 ATS as a Road Favorite 7-3-0
Last 10 ATS as an Underdog 1-9-0
Last 10 ATS as a Home Underdog 1-9-0
Last 10 Over-Under 7-3-0 4-6-0

Latest Super Bowl Odds

• Indianapolis Colts: +25000
• New England Patriots: +50000

Colts vs. Patriots Game Prediction

• Oddsmakers: Indianapolis Colts d. New England Patriots 23-21
• GFA Model: Indianapolis Colts d. New England Patriots 25-23