It’s a AFC East divisional week 2 tussle, the 1-0 Buffalo Bills visit the 1-0 Miami Dolphins on Thursday night. The game kicks off at 8:15PM ET at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens. Their latest collision concluded with the Bills defeating the Dolphins 21-14 to wrap up the 2023 NFL season in January. Overall, in their last 10 match-ups the Bills have dominated holding winning nine of ten.
And, the Bills are 7-3 over their last 10 games and have won their last 6 regular season games. Plus, their last three on the road.
Bu the Dolphins have won 20 of their last 24 games at home.
According to the odds market, the Dolphins are 2.5 point favorites. The over/under is 48.5.
The Bills are led by Josh Allen who threw for 232 yards, 2 td passes in his opener. James Cook rumbled for 71 yards last Sunday.
The Dolphins are led by Tua Tagovailoa who has threw for 338 yards and 1 td pass against the Jags. Tyreek Hill had 7 receptions for 130 yards and a touch.
More numbers: Josh Allen is 10-2 as a starter against the Dolphins. Tua Tagovailoa is 1-6 against the Bills as a starter. The Dolphins are 3-7 in their recent night games.
The Bills enter the game off a win against the Arizona Cardinals 34-28. The Dolphins arrive after a good performance in a win over the Jacksonville Jaguars 20-17.
Next week the Bills host the the Jacksonville Jaguars; the Dolphins travel to the Seattle Seahawks.
Game Details
• Matchup: Buffalo Bills (BUF) at Miami Dolphins (MIA)
• Date: September 12, 2024
• Time: 8:15PM ET
• Stadium: Hard Rock Stadium
• TV: Prime Video
• Hard Rock Stadium Kick-Off Weather Forecast: Clouds; 70F; 51% humidity; wind: NNE 12 mph
TEAM STATS COMPARISON
| 2024 | LAST 10 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | MIA | BUF | MIA | ||
| Record | 1-0 | 1-0 | 7-3 | 6-4 | |
| Home Record | 1-0 | 1-0 | 4-1 | 4-2 | |
| Away Record | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 2-2 | |
| Points Scored/Game | 34.0 | 20.0 | 26.3 | 24.5 | |
| Points Allowed/Game | 28.0 | 17.0 | 20.3 | 20.4 | |
| Point Differential | +6 | +3 | +60 | +41 | |
| Yards/Game | 352.0 | 400.0 | 370.3 | 359.6 | |
| Yards Allowed/Game | 270.0 | 267.0 | 288.3 | 304.3 | |
| Passing Yards/Game | 222.0 | 319.0 | 226.6 | 242.1 | |
| Passing Yards Allowed/Game | 146.0 | 139.0 | 185.5 | 212.8 | |
| Rushing Yards/Game | 130.0 | 81.0 | 143.7 | 117.5 | |
| Rushing Yards Allowed/Game | 124.0 | 128.0 | 102.8 | 91.5 | |
| First Downs/Game | 23.0 | 18.0 | 22.3 | 19.5 | |
| First Downs Allowed/Game | 18.0 | 17.0 | 18.3 | 17.0 | |
| 3rd Down Conv % | 33.3 | 50.0 | 49.2 | 43.3 | |
| Opp 3rd Down Conv % | 53.8 | 20.0 | 39.1 | 38.5 | |
| Turnover Margin | +0 | +1 | +0 | +7 | |
| Total Games | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | |
Buffalo Bills 2024 Leaders
| PASSING | C-A | YDS | TD | INT | SK | |
| Josh Allen | 432-648 | 4,695 | 33 | 18 | 26 |
James Cook2731,262242
| RUSHING | ATT | YDS | TD | LNG |
Stefon Diggs1171,256855
| RECEIVING | REC | YDS | TD | LNG |
Miami Dolphins 2024 Leaders
| PASSING | C-A | YDS | TD | INT | SK | |
| Tua Tagovailoa | 408-599 | 4,823 | 30 | 15 | 31 |
Raheem Mostert2171,0451849
| RUSHING | ATT | YDS | TD | LNG |
Tyreek Hill1241,8611478
| RECEIVING | REC | YDS | TD | LNG |
Last 10 Meetings
| DATE | TIME | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 07-Jan-24 | 8:20PM | Buffalo Bills d. MIAMI DOLPHINS | 21-14 |
| Sun 01-Oct-23 | 1:00PM | BUFFALO BILLS d. Miami Dolphins | 48-20 |
| Sat 17-Dec-22 | 8:15PM | BUFFALO BILLS d. Miami Dolphins | 32-29 |
| Sun 25-Sep-22 | 1:00PM | MIAMI DOLPHINS d. Buffalo Bills | 21-19 |
| Sun 31-Oct-21 | 1:00PM | BUFFALO BILLS d. Miami Dolphins | 26-11 |
| Sun 19-Sep-21 | 1:00PM | Buffalo Bills d. MIAMI DOLPHINS | 35-0 |
| Sun 03-Jan-21 | 1:00PM | BUFFALO BILLS d. Miami Dolphins | 56-26 |
| Sun 20-Sep-20 | 1:00PM | Buffalo Bills d. MIAMI DOLPHINS | 31-28 |
| Sun 17-Nov-19 | 1:00PM | Buffalo Bills d. MIAMI DOLPHINS | 37-20 |
| Sun 20-Oct-19 | 1:00PM | BUFFALO BILLS d. Miami Dolphins | 31-21 |
Head-to-Head Stats (last 10)
| BUF | MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| Last 10 Record | 9-1 | 1-9 |
| Home Record | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Away Record | 4-1 | 0-5 |
QB Career Comparison
| CMP-ATT | PCT | YDs | TDs | INTs | SKs | PS REC (GMs) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | 2007-3168 | 63.4% | 22,935 | 169 | 78 | 177 | 5-5 (10) |
| Tua Tagovailoa | 1119-1675 | 66.8% | 12,977 | 82 | 37 | 93 | 0-1 (1) |
Starting QB Win-Loss Trends
• Josh Allen W-L last 20 games as a starter: 14-6
• Josh Allen last 20 games vs. Miami Dolphins: 10-2
• Tua Tagovailoa W-L last 20 games as a starter: 12-8
• Tua Tagovailoa last 20 games vs. Buffalo Bills: 1-6
Player Trends
• Josh Allen has 4 straight games with a turnover
• Tua Tagovailoa has 5 straight games with at least one passing TD
• Tyreek Hill has 15 straight games with at least 50+ receiving yards
• Tyreek Hill has 4 straight games with at least 5+ catches
Primetime Night Game Stats and Trends
• In their 10 last night games, the Buffalo Bills are 6-4
• Recently, the Buffalo Bills are 3-2 on the road at night
• Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen is 15-7 as a starter at night
• In their 10 last night games, the Miami Dolphins are 3-7
• Recently, the Miami Dolphins are 3-2 at home at night
• Miami Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa is 4-8 as a starter at night
Game Injuries
Buffalo Bills: Taron Johnson (CB) Forearm – Out; Dawuane Smoot (DE) Toe – Out
Miami Dolphins: Raheem Mostert (RB) Chest – Out; De’Von Achane (RB) Ankle – Questionable; Elijah Campbell (S) Achilles – Questionable; Malik Washington (WR) Quadriceps – Out
Betting Odds
• Favorite: Miami Dolphins
• Spread: 2.5
• Over/Under: 48.5
Betting Trends
| Buffalo Bills | Miami Dolphins | |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 ATS | 2-3-0 | 0-4-1 |
| Last 10 ATS | 5-4-1 | 3-6-1 |
| Last 10 ATS at Home | 5-4-1 | |
| Last 10 ATS on Road | 5-4-1 | |
| Last 10 ATS as a Favorite | 6-3-1 | |
| Last 10 ATS as a Home Favorite | 6-3-1 | |
| Last 10 ATS as an Underdog | 5-4-1 | |
| Last 10 ATS as a Road Underdog | 5-4-1 | |
| Last 10 Over-Under | 6-4-0 | 4-6-0 |
Latest Super Bowl Odds
• Buffalo Bills: +1400
• Miami Dolphins: +2400
Bills vs. Dolphins Game Prediction
• Oddsmakers: Miami Dolphins d. Buffalo Bills 27-23
• GFA Model: Buffalo Bills d. Miami Dolphins 27-26