The Bills have won their last 4 games, they have also won their last 2 games on the road.
The Dolphins have won 5 of their last 7 games, and they have also won their last 2 games at home.
The Bills are 3.0 point favorites according to the latest lines. The over/under sits at 48.5.
The Bills are anchored by Josh Allen who has thrown for 3,947 yards, 27 td passes with 16 interceptions this year. James Cook has run for 1,086 yards with 2 TDs. Stefon Diggs has 100 receptions for 1,096 yards and 8 TDs.
The Dolphins are paced by Tua Tagovailoa who has thrown for 4,451 yards, 28 td passes with 12 picks this year. Raheem Mostert has barreled for 1,012 yards with 18 TDs. Tyreek Hill has 112 catches for 1,717 yards and 12 TDs.
The Bills are in 2nd in the AFC East while the Dolphins lead the AFC East.
Josh Allen is 9-2 as a starter against the Dolphins. Tua Tagovailoa is 1-5 against the Bills as a starter.
These two are listed among the tops in offense currently in the NFL. The Bills are among the best in total team defense in the NFL.
The Bills enter the game off a win against the New England Patriots 27-21 and the Dolphins come into the game off a defeat at the hands of the Baltimore Ravens 56-19.
The Bills have a bye next week; the Dolphins have a bye next week.
Game Details
• Matchup: Buffalo Bills (BUF) at Miami Dolphins (MIA)
• Date: January 7, 2024
• Time: 8:20PM ET
• Stadium: Hard Rock Stadium
• TV: NBC
• Hard Rock Stadium Kick-Off Weather Forecast: Clouds; 70F; 51% humidity; wind: NNE 12 mph
TEAM STATS COMPARISON
| 2023 | LAST 10 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | MIA | BUF | MIA | ||
| Record | 10-6 | 11-5 | 6-4 | 6-4 | |
| Home Record | 7-2 | 7-1 | 4-1 | 4-1 | |
| Away Record | 3-4 | 4-4 | 2-3 | 2-3 | |
| Points Scored/Game | 26.9 | 30.1 | 25.7 | 25.9 | |
| Points Allowed/Game | 18.6 | 23.1 | 20.8 | 21.4 | |
| Point Differential | +133 | +112 | +49 | +45 | |
| Yards/Game | 368.3 | 409.2 | 364.4 | 355.5 | |
| Yards Allowed/Game | 309.2 | 308.6 | 300.4 | 287.6 | |
| Passing Yards/Game | 218.7 | 256.0 | 226.9 | 244.6 | |
| Passing Yards Allowed/Game | 182.8 | 194.1 | 203.4 | 204.1 | |
| Rushing Yards/Game | 123.8 | 128.6 | 137.5 | 110.9 | |
| Rushing Yards Allowed/Game | 101.9 | 88.6 | 97.0 | 83.5 | |
| First Downs/Game | 20.7 | 20.3 | 22.3 | 19.7 | |
| First Downs Allowed/Game | 17.3 | 16.9 | 18.7 | 16.6 | |
| 3rd Down Conv % | 49.0 | 42.9 | 48.8 | 41.4 | |
| Opp 3rd Down Conv % | 39.0 | 36.6 | 36.4 | 34.7 | |
| Turnover Margin | +3 | +1 | -1 | +5 | |
| Total Games | 16 | 16 | 10 | 10 | |
Buffalo Bills 2023 Leaders
| PASSING | C-A | YDS | TD | INT | SK | |
| Josh Allen | 355-541 | 3,947 | 27 | 16 | 21 |
| RUSHING | ATT | YDS | TD | LNG | James Cook | 224 | 1,086 | 2 | 42 |
| RECEIVING | REC | YDS | TD | LNG | Stefon Diggs | 100 | 1,096 | 8 | 55 |
Miami Dolphins 2023 Leaders
| PASSING | C-A | YDS | TD | INT | SK | |
| Tua Tagovailoa | 371-533 | 4,451 | 28 | 12 | 29 |
| RUSHING | ATT | YDS | TD | LNG | Raheem Mostert | 209 | 1,012 | 18 | 49 |
| RECEIVING | REC | YDS | TD | LNG | Tyreek Hill | 112 | 1,717 | 12 | 78 |
Last 10 Meetings
| DATE | TIME | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 01-Oct-23 | 1:00PM | BUFFALO BILLS d. Miami Dolphins | 48-20 |
| Sat 17-Dec-22 | 8:15PM | BUFFALO BILLS d. Miami Dolphins | 32-29 |
| Sun 25-Sep-22 | 1:00PM | MIAMI DOLPHINS d. Buffalo Bills | 21-19 |
| Sun 31-Oct-21 | 1:00PM | BUFFALO BILLS d. Miami Dolphins | 26-11 |
| Sun 19-Sep-21 | 1:00PM | Buffalo Bills d. MIAMI DOLPHINS | 35-0 |
| Sun 03-Jan-21 | 1:00PM | BUFFALO BILLS d. Miami Dolphins | 56-26 |
| Sun 20-Sep-20 | 1:00PM | Buffalo Bills d. MIAMI DOLPHINS | 31-28 |
| Sun 17-Nov-19 | 1:00PM | Buffalo Bills d. MIAMI DOLPHINS | 37-20 |
| Sun 20-Oct-19 | 1:00PM | BUFFALO BILLS d. Miami Dolphins | 31-21 |
| Sun 30-Dec-18 | 1:00PM | BUFFALO BILLS d. Miami Dolphins | 42-17 |
Head-to-Head Stats (last 10)
| BUF | MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| Last 10 Record | 9-1 | 1-9 |
| Home Record | 6-0 | 1-3 |
| Away Record | 3-1 | 0-6 |
QB Career Comparison
| CMP-ATT | PCT | YDs | TDs | INTs | SKs | PS REC (GMs) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | 1959-3107 | 63.1% | 22,344 | 165 | 76 | 172 | 4-4 (8) |
| Tua Tagovailoa | 1079-1611 | 67% | 12,466 | 80 | 35 | 90 | 0-0 (0) |
Starting QB Win-Loss Trends
• Josh Allen W-L last 20 games as a starter: 14-6
• Josh Allen last 20 games vs. Miami Dolphins: 9-2
• Tua Tagovailoa W-L last 20 games as a starter: 11-9
• Tua Tagovailoa last 20 games vs. Buffalo Bills: 1-5
Player Trends
• Tua Tagovailoa has 3 straight games with at least one passing TD
• Tua Tagovailoa has 3 straight games with 200+ passing yards & at least one passing TD
• Tyreek Hill has 13 straight games with at least 50+ receiving yards
Primetime Night Game Stats and Trends
• In their 10 last night games, the Buffalo Bills are 6-4
• Recently, the Buffalo Bills are 2-2 on the road at night
• Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen is 14-7 as a starter at night
• In their 10 last night games, the Miami Dolphins are 4-6
• Recently, the Miami Dolphins are 4-2 at home at night
• Miami Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa is 4-7 as a starter at night
Game Injuries
Buffalo Bills:
Miami Dolphins: Raheem Mostert (RB) Knee – Questionable; Jerome Baker (LB) Knee – Questionable; Xavien Howard (CB) Foot – Out; Jevon Holland (S) Knee – Questionable; Jaylen Waddle (WR) Ankle – Questionable
Betting Odds
• Favorite: Buffalo Bills
• Spread: 3.0
• Over/Under: 48.5
Betting Trends
| Buffalo Bills | Miami Dolphins | |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 ATS | 2-2-1 | 2-2-1 |
| Last 10 ATS | 3-6-1 | 4-5-1 |
| Last 10 ATS at Home | 6-3-1 | |
| Last 10 ATS on Road | 4-5-1 | |
| Last 10 ATS as a Favorite | 3-7-0 | |
| Last 10 ATS as a Road Favorite | 4-5-1 | |
| Last 10 ATS as an Underdog | 4-6-0 | |
| Last 10 ATS as a Home Underdog | 4-6-0 | |
| Last 10 Over-Under | 4-6-0 | 5-5-0 |
Latest Super Bowl Odds
• Buffalo Bills: +800
• Miami Dolphins: +1400
Bills vs. Dolphins Game Prediction
• Oddsmakers: Buffalo Bills d. Miami Dolphins 27-23
• GFA Model: Buffalo Bills d. Miami Dolphins 27-26