Skip to content

Game Notes: Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills (17-Dec-22)

In a week 15 tussle, the 8-5 Miami Dolphins square off against the 10-3 Buffalo Bills on Saturday, December 17. The kickoff is slated for 8:15PM ET. These two foes recently played on earlier this year on Sunday, September 25 when the Dolphins bounced the Bills 21-19. Between the two, in their last 10 head-to-head meetings, the Bills are ahead 8-2.

And the Bills have posted a 8-2 mark over their last 10.

The Dolphins have lost their last 2 games, they have also lost their last 2 games on the road.

The Bills have won their last 4 games, and they have also won their last 2 games at home.

The Bills are 7.0 point favorites in the odds market. The over/under listed at 43.0. The Dolphins are 3-7-0 against the spread.

The Dolphins are guided by Teddy Bridgewater who has thrown for 522 yards, 3 td passes with 3 interceptions this season. Jeff Wilson has rushed for 706 yards with 4 TDs. Tyreek Hill has 100 catches for 1,460 yards and 6 TDs.

The Bills are anchored by Josh Allen who has thrown for 3,553 yards, 26 td passes with 11 interceptions this season. Stefon Diggs has 94 receptions for 1,239 yards and 10 TDs.

The Dolphins are in 2nd in the AFC East while the Bills are on top in the AFC East.

Tua Tagovailoa is 1-3 as a starter against the Bills. Josh Allen is 15-5 in his last 20 starts. Josh Allen is 7-2 against the Dolphins as a starter. The Bills are 8-2 in their recent night games.

The Bills are among the leaders in team offense in the NFL. The Bills are among the tops in team defense at present in the league.

The Dolphins enter the game off a defeat to the Los Angeles Chargers 23-17. The Bills arrive after a strong showing against the New York Jets 20-12.

Next week the Dolphins host the the Green Bay Packers and the Bills visit the Chicago Bears.

Game Details

• Matchup: Miami Dolphins (MIA) at Buffalo Bills (BUF)
• Date: December 17, 2022
• Time: 8:15PM ET
• Stadium: Highmark Stadium
• TV: NFL NET
• Highmark Stadium Kick-Off Weather Forecast: Snow; 28F; 88% humidity; wind: SW 12 mph

TEAM STATS COMPARISON

2022 LAST 10
MIA BUF MIA BUF
Record 8-5 10-3 5-5 8-2
Home Record 5-1 5-1 3-1 4-1
Away Record 3-4 5-2 2-4 4-1
Points Scored/Game 24.3 27.2 23.3 26.2
Points Allowed/Game 24.0 17.0 24.8 18.3
Point Differential +4 +132 -15 +79
Yards/Game 367.8 397.1 371.5 383.8
Yards Allowed/Game 350.8 319.3 331.9 350.9
Passing Yards/Game 277.9 263.4 273.9 243.7
Passing Yards Allowed/Game 242.5 219.5 225.9 238.4
Rushing Yards/Game 89.8 133.7 97.6 140.1
Rushing Yards Allowed/Game 108.3 99.8 106.0 112.5
First Downs/Game 20.7 23.1 20.9 22.3
First Downs Allowed/Game 20.4 20.2 19.4 21.6
3rd Down Conv % 37.8 48.7 34.8 44.3
Opp 3rd Down Conv % 42.6 39.6 41.0 39.7
Turnover Margin -3 +2 -5 +0
Total Games 13 13 10 10

Miami Dolphins 2022 Leaders

PASSING C-A YDS TD INT SK
Teddy Bridgewater 37-60 522 3 3 6
RUSHING ATT YDS TD LNG
Raheem Mostert 136 610 3 25
RECEIVING REC YDS TD LNG
Tyreek Hill 100 1,460 6 64

Buffalo Bills 2022 Leaders

PASSING C-A YDS TD INT SK
Josh Allen 300-470 3,553 26 11 28
RUSHING ATT YDS TD LNG
Devin Singletary 145 642 4 30
RECEIVING REC YDS TD LNG
Stefon Diggs 94 1,239 10 53

Last 10 Meetings

DATE TIME RESULT
Sun 25-Sep-22 1:00PM MIAMI DOLPHINS d. Buffalo Bills 21-19
Sun 31-Oct-21 1:00PM BUFFALO BILLS d. Miami Dolphins 26-11
Sun 19-Sep-21 1:00PM Buffalo Bills d. MIAMI DOLPHINS 35-0
Sun 03-Jan-21 1:00PM BUFFALO BILLS d. Miami Dolphins 56-26
Sun 20-Sep-20 1:00PM Buffalo Bills d. MIAMI DOLPHINS 31-28
Sun 17-Nov-19 1:00PM Buffalo Bills d. MIAMI DOLPHINS 37-20
Sun 20-Oct-19 1:00PM BUFFALO BILLS d. Miami Dolphins 31-21
Sun 30-Dec-18 1:00PM BUFFALO BILLS d. Miami Dolphins 42-17
Sun 02-Dec-18 1:00PM MIAMI DOLPHINS d. Buffalo Bills 21-17
Sun 31-Dec-17 4:25PM Buffalo Bills d. MIAMI DOLPHINS 22-16

Head-to-Head Stats (last 10)

MIA BUF
Last 10 Record 2-8 8-2
Home Record 2-4 4-0
Away Record 0-4 4-2

QB Career Comparison

CMP-ATT PCT YDs TDs INTs SKs PS REC (GMs)
Tua Tagovailoa 675-1023 66% 7,471 49 20 57 0-0 (0)
Josh Allen 1545-2469 62.6% 17,667 129 57 146 3-3 (6)

Starting QB Win-Loss Trends

• Tua Tagovailoa W-L last 20 games as a starter: 14-6
• Tua Tagovailoa last 20 games vs. Buffalo Bills: 1-3

• Josh Allen W-L last 20 games as a starter: 15-5
• Josh Allen last 20 games vs. Miami Dolphins: 7-2

Player Trends

• Tua Tagovailoa has 7 straight games with at least one passing TD
• Tyreek Hill has 3 straight games with at least 50+ receiving yards

• Josh Allen has 5 straight games with at least one passing TD

Primetime Night Game Stats and Trends

• In their 10 last night games, the Miami Dolphins are 5-5
• Recently, the Miami Dolphins are 3-5 on the road at night
• Miami Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa is 3-3 as a starter at night

• In their 10 last night games, the Buffalo Bills are 8-2
• Recently, the Buffalo Bills are 2-0 at home at night
• Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen is 10-3 as a starter at night

Game Injuries

Miami Dolphins: Terron Armstead (OT) Toe – Questionable; Eric Rowe (S) Hamstring – Out; Teddy Bridgewater (QB) Knee – Questionable; Jeff Wilson (RB) Hip – Questionable; Elijah Campbell (S) Concussion – Out

Buffalo Bills: Ryan Bates (OG) Ankle – Out; Jordan Phillips (DT) Shoulder – Out

Betting Odds

• Favorite: Buffalo Bills
• Spread: 7.0
• Over/Under: 43.0

Betting Trends

Miami Dolphins Buffalo Bills
Last 5 ATS 2-3-0 1-3-1
Last 10 ATS 3-7-0 3-5-2
Last 10 ATS at Home 5-4-1
Last 10 ATS on Road 4-6-0
Last 10 ATS as a Favorite 3-5-2
Last 10 ATS as a Home Favorite 5-4-1
Last 10 ATS as an Underdog 5-5-0
Last 10 ATS as a Road Underdog 6-4-0
Last 10 Over-Under 5-5-0 2-8-0

Latest Super Bowl Odds

• Miami Dolphins: +2500
• Buffalo Bills: +350

Dolphins vs. Bills Game Prediction

• Oddsmakers: Buffalo Bills d. Miami Dolphins 26-18
• GFA Model: Buffalo Bills d. Miami Dolphins 36-19

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *