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Game Notes: Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints (Jan 7, 2023)

On Sunday, the 7-9 Atlanta Falcons take on the playoff-minded 8-8 New Orleans Saints at 1:00PM ET at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans. Their most recent clash finished with the Falcons besting the Saints 24-15 on Sunday, November 26, 2023. Of late, the Saints lead 7-3 in their latest meetings.

The Falcons have lost 3 of their last 4 games, they have also lost their last 2 games on the road.

The Saints have won 3 of their last 4 games, and they have also won their last 2 games at home.

In the most recent odds, the Saints are favored by 3.0. The over/under is currently 42.5.

The Falcons are guided by Taylor Heinicke who has thrown for 890 yards, 5 td passes with 4 picks this year. Bijan Robinson has rushed for 948 yards with 4 TDs.

The Saints are paced by Derek Carr who has thrown for 3,614 yards, 21 td passes with 8 picks this season. Chris Olave has 84 catches for 1,067 yards and 4 TDs.

The Falcons are in 3rd in the NFC South while the Saints lead the NFC South.

Taylor Heinicke is 0-1 as a starter against the Saints. Derek Carr is 0-3 against the Falcons as a starter.

The Falcons are listed among the the lowest in offense at present in the league. The Saints are ranked among the tops in team defense in the NFL.

The Falcons come in off a loss against the Chicago Bears 37-17 and the Saints enter the contest following a postive performance against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23-13.

The Falcons have a bye next week and the Saints have a bye next week.

Game Details

• Matchup: Atlanta Falcons (ATL) at New Orleans Saints (NO)
• Date: January 7, 2024
• Time: 1:00PM ET
• Stadium: Caesars Superdome
• TV: CBS
• Caesars Superdome Kick-Off Weather Forecast: Clouds; 52F; 81% humidity; wind: NNE 6 mph

TEAM STATS COMPARISON

2023 LAST 10
ATL NO ATL NO
Record 7-9 8-8 4-6 5-5
Home Record 5-3 4-3 2-2 3-2
Away Record 2-6 4-5 2-4 2-3
Points Scored/Game 19.0 22.1 20.5 24.5
Points Allowed/Game 20.3 19.4 20.5 21.4
Point Differential -21 +44 +0 +31
Yards/Game 330.9 333.3 330.8 345.7
Yards Allowed/Game 316.1 323.3 338.9 350.3
Passing Yards/Game 200.8 234.0 194.1 244.4
Passing Yards Allowed/Game 200.2 200.8 212.8 212.1
Rushing Yards/Game 130.1 99.3 136.7 101.3
Rushing Yards Allowed/Game 115.9 122.5 126.1 138.2
First Downs/Game 19.5 19.4 18.8 20.0
First Downs Allowed/Game 18.3 17.9 19.2 18.7
3rd Down Conv % 40.2 39.1 41.8 40.0
Opp 3rd Down Conv % 33.9 34.4 35.4 35.9
Turnover Margin -9 +8 -3 +6
Total Games 16 16 10 10

Atlanta Falcons 2023 Leaders

PASSING C-A YDS TD INT SK
Taylor Heinicke 74-136 890 5 4 8
RUSHING ATT YDS TD LNG
Bijan Robinson 203 948 4 38
RECEIVING REC YDS TD LNG
Drake London 65 864 2 45

New Orleans Saints 2023 Leaders

PASSING C-A YDS TD INT SK
Derek Carr 353-520 3,614 21 8 29
RUSHING ATT YDS TD LNG
Alvin Kamara 180 694 5 17
RECEIVING REC YDS TD LNG
Chris Olave 84 1,067 4 51

Last 10 Meetings

DATE TIME RESULT
Sun 26-Nov-23 1:00PM ATLANTA FALCONS d. New Orleans Saints 24-15
Sun 18-Dec-22 1:00PM NEW ORLEANS SAINTS d. Atlanta Falcons 21-18
Sun 11-Sep-22 1:00PM New Orleans Saints d. ATLANTA FALCONS 27-26
Sun 09-Jan-22 1:00PM New Orleans Saints d. ATLANTA FALCONS 30-20
Sun 07-Nov-21 1:00PM Atlanta Falcons d. NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 27-25
Sun 06-Dec-20 1:00PM New Orleans Saints d. ATLANTA FALCONS 21-16
Sun 22-Nov-20 1:00PM NEW ORLEANS SAINTS d. Atlanta Falcons 24-9
Thu 28-Nov-19 8:20PM New Orleans Saints d. ATLANTA FALCONS 26-18
Sun 10-Nov-19 1:00PM Atlanta Falcons d. NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 26-9
Thu 22-Nov-18 8:20PM NEW ORLEANS SAINTS d. Atlanta Falcons 31-17

Head-to-Head Stats (last 10)

ATL NO
Last 10 Record 3-7 7-3
Home Record 1-4 3-2
Away Record 2-3 4-1

QB Career Comparison

CMP-ATT PCT YDs TDs INTs SKs PS REC (GMs)
Taylor Heinicke 604-966 62.5% 6,635 39 28 69 0-1 (1)
Derek Carr 3554-5478 64.9% 38,836 238 107 293 0-1 (1)

Starting QB Win-Loss Trends

• Taylor Heinicke W-L last 20 games as a starter: 11-9
• Taylor Heinicke last 20 games vs. New Orleans Saints: 0-1

• Derek Carr W-L last 20 games as a starter: 11-9
• Derek Carr last 20 games vs. Atlanta Falcons: 0-3

Player Trends

• Taylor Heinicke has 9 straight games with at least one passing TD

• Derek Carr has 5 straight games with at least one passing TD

Game Injuries

Atlanta Falcons:

New Orleans Saints:

Betting Odds

• Favorite: New Orleans Saints
• Spread: 3.0
• Over/Under: 42.5

Betting Trends

Atlanta Falcons New Orleans Saints
Last 5 ATS 2-3-0 3-2-0
Last 10 ATS 4-6-0 4-6-0
Last 10 ATS at Home 3-7-0
Last 10 ATS on Road 3-7-0
Last 10 ATS as a Favorite 3-6-1
Last 10 ATS as a Home Favorite 4-6-0
Last 10 ATS as an Underdog 3-7-0
Last 10 ATS as a Road Underdog 4-6-0
Last 10 Over-Under 5-5-0 5-5-0

Latest Super Bowl Odds

• Atlanta Falcons: +75000
• New Orleans Saints: +20000

Falcons vs. Saints Game Prediction

• Oddsmakers: New Orleans Saints d. Atlanta Falcons 24-20
• GFA Model: New Orleans Saints d. Atlanta Falcons 27-18