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Game Notes: New England Patriots at Denver Broncos (Dec 24, 2023)

It’s a week 16 collision, the 3-11 New England Patriots visit the 7-7 Denver Broncos on Sunday, December 24 at 8:15PM ET at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver. They recently played with the Broncos bouncing the Patriots 18-12 on Sunday, October 18, 2020. Between the two, in their last 10 match-ups, the Patriots are ahead 7-3.

The Patriots are 2-8 over their last 10 games.

The Patriots have lost 6 of their last 7 games, they have also lost 4 of their last 5 games on the road.

The Broncos have won 6 of their last 8 games, and they have also won their last 4 games at home.

According to oddsmakers, the Broncos are 7.5 point favorites. The over/under is currently 35.5. The Patriots are 2-8-0 against the spread.

The Patriots are guided by Bailey Zappe who has thrown for 719 yards, 4 td passes with 4 picks this season.

The Broncos are led by Russell Wilson who has thrown for 2,832 yards, 24 td passes with 8 interceptions this year.

The Patriots are in last place in the AFC East while the Broncos are in 2nd in the AFC West.

Russell Wilson is 3-0 against the Patriots as a starter. In their most recent primetime games, the Patriots have a 3-7 record.

The Patriots rank among the the lowest in offense currently in the NFL.The Broncos are ranked among the worst in total team defense in the NFL.

The Patriots enter off a defeat to the Kansas City Chiefs 27-17, and the Broncos come into the game off a setback to the Detroit Lions 42-17.

Next week the Patriots travel to the the Buffalo Bills; the Broncos travel to the Los Angeles Chargers.

Game Details

• Matchup: New England Patriots (NE) at Denver Broncos (DEN)
• Date: December 24, 2023
• Time: 8:15PM ET
• Stadium: Empower Field at Mile High
• TV: NFL NET
• Empower Field at Mile High Kick-Off Weather Forecast: Clouds; 29F; 51% humidity; wind: NE 4 mph

TEAM STATS COMPARISON

2023 LAST 10
NE DEN NE DEN
Record 3-11 7-7 2-8 6-4
Home Record 1-7 4-3 1-5 4-1
Away Record 2-4 3-4 1-3 2-3
Points Scored/Game 13.3 21.7 13.1 20.4
Points Allowed/Game 21.4 25.1 20.2 20.1
Point Differential -113 -47 -71 +3
Yards/Game 285.3 299.8 271.3 286.4
Yards Allowed/Game 308.3 382.4 312.8 350.8
Passing Yards/Game 172.6 171.8 171.0 166.8
Passing Yards Allowed/Game 205.3 214.1 234.3 215.6
Rushing Yards/Game 94.6 105.8 100.3 119.6
Rushing Yards Allowed/Game 76.1 134.7 78.5 135.3
First Downs/Game 15.5 16.6 15.3 17.3
First Downs Allowed/Game 16.6 19.4 18.1 19.4
3rd Down Conv % 32.0 35.9 28.5 36.4
Opp 3rd Down Conv % 35.8 32.0 38.0 29.3
Turnover Margin -8 +5 -3 +7
Total Games 14 14 10 10

New England Patriots 2023 Leaders

PASSING C-A YDS TD INT SK
Bailey Zappe 74-123 719 4 4 13
RUSHING ATT YDS TD LNG
Rhamondre Stevenson 156 619 4 64
RECEIVING REC YDS TD LNG
Demario Douglas 39 443 0 42

Denver Broncos 2023 Leaders

PASSING C-A YDS TD INT SK
Russell Wilson 272-410 2,832 24 8 40
RUSHING ATT YDS TD LNG
Javonte Williams 182 677 1 21
RECEIVING REC YDS TD LNG
Courtland Sutton 58 770 10 46

Last 10 Meetings

DATE TIME RESULT
Sun 18-Oct-20 1:00PM Denver Broncos d. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 18-12
Sun 12-Nov-17 8:30PM New England Patriots d. DENVER BRONCOS 41-16
Sun 18-Dec-16 4:25PM New England Patriots d. DENVER BRONCOS 16-3
Sun 29-Nov-15 8:30PM DENVER BRONCOS d. New England Patriots 30-24
Sun 02-Nov-14 4:25PM NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS d. Denver Broncos 43-21
Sun 24-Nov-13 8:30PM NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS d. Denver Broncos 34-31
Sun 07-Oct-12 4:25PM NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS d. Denver Broncos 31-21
Sun 18-Dec-11 4:16PM New England Patriots d. DENVER BRONCOS 41-23
Sun 11-Oct-09 4:16PM DENVER BRONCOS d. New England Patriots 20-17
Mon 20-Oct-08 8:40PM NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS d. Denver Broncos 41-7

Head-to-Head Stats (last 10)

NE DEN
Last 10 Record 7-3 3-7
Home Record 4-1 2-3
Away Record 3-2 1-4

QB Career Comparison

CMP-ATT PCT YDs TDs INTs SKs PS REC (GMs)
Bailey Zappe 139-215 64.7% 1,500 9 7 19 0-0 (0)
Russell Wilson 3643-5628 64.7% 43,415 332 106 522 9-7 (16)

Starting QB Win-Loss Trends

• Bailey Zappe W-L last 20 games as a starter: 3-2
• Bailey Zappe last 20 games vs. Denver Broncos: 0-0

• Russell Wilson W-L last 20 games as a starter: 8-12
• Russell Wilson last 20 games vs. New England Patriots: 3-0

Player Trends

• Russell Wilson has 18 straight games with at least one passing TD
• Russell Wilson has 4 straight games with a turnover
• Courtland Sutton has 6 straight games with at least 50+ receiving yards

Primetime Night Game Stats and Trends

• In their 10 last night games, the New England Patriots are 3-7
• Recently, the New England Patriots are 3-3 on the road at night
• New England Patriots QB Bailey Zappe is 1-0 as a starter at night

• In their 10 last night games, the Denver Broncos are 4-6
• Recently, the Denver Broncos are 0-4 at home at night
• Denver Broncos QB Russell Wilson is 34-16 as a starter at night

Game Injuries

New England Patriots: Rhamondre Stevenson (RB) Ankle – Out; Hunter Henry (TE) Knee – Out; Trent Brown (OT) Hand – Questionable; Ja’Whaun Bentley (LB) Knee – Questionable; Anfernee Jennings (LB) Illness – Questionable; Jahlani Tavai (LB) Ankle – Questionable; Jonathan Jones (CB) Knee – Questionable; Jabrill Peppers (S) Hamstring – Out; Christian Barmore (DT) Shoulder – Questionable; JuJu Smith-Schuster (WR) Ankle – Out; Matthew Slater (WR) Hamstring – Questionable

Denver Broncos: Nik Bonitto (LB) Knee – Out

Betting Odds

• Favorite: Denver Broncos
• Spread: 7.5
• Over/Under: 35.5

Betting Trends

New England Patriots Denver Broncos
Last 5 ATS 1-4-0 2-3-0
Last 10 ATS 2-8-0 5-5-0
Last 10 ATS at Home 5-4-1
Last 10 ATS on Road 3-7-0
Last 10 ATS as a Favorite 2-7-1
Last 10 ATS as a Home Favorite 2-7-1
Last 10 ATS as an Underdog 2-8-0
Last 10 ATS as a Road Underdog 3-7-0
Last 10 Over-Under 4-6-0 3-7-0

Latest Super Bowl Odds

• New England Patriots:
• Denver Broncos: +12500

Patriots vs. Broncos Game Prediction

• Oddsmakers: Denver Broncos d. New England Patriots 22-14
• GFA Model: Denver Broncos d. New England Patriots 27-20