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Game Notes: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Indianapolis Colts (Nov 26, 2023)

It’s a week 12 battle, the 4-6 Tampa Bay Buccaneers square off against the 5-5 Indianapolis Colts on Sunday, November 26 at 1:00PM ET at Lucas Oil Stadium. Their most recent clash saw the Buccaneers bouncing the Colts 38-31 on Sunday, November 28, 2021. In their last 10 meetings, the Buccaneers are ahead 6-4.

The Buccaneers have lost 5 of their last 6 games, they have also lost their last 3 games on the road.

The Colts have won their last 2 games, and they have also lost their last 2 games at home.

Per the odds, the Colts are favored by 3.0 points. The over/under is currently set at 45.5. The Buccaneers are 7-3-0 against the spread.

The Buccaneers are led by Baker Mayfield who has thrown for 2,389 yards, 15 td passes with 6 interceptions this year. Mike Evans has 48 receptions for 780 yards and 7 TDs.

The Colts are led by Gardner Minshew II who has thrown for 1,721 yards, 8 td passes with 6 picks this season. Zack Moss has rumbled for 617 yards with 5 TDs. Michael Pittman Jr. has 66 catches for 677 yards and 3 TDs.

The Buccaneers are in 2nd in the NFC South. The Colts are in 3rd in the AFC South.

Baker Mayfield is 1-0 as a starter against the Colts. Gardner Minshew II is 5-14 in his last 20 starts.

The Colts are listed among the the bottom in total team defense at present in the league.

The Buccaneers come in off a loss against the San Francisco 49ers 27-14, and the Colts enter the contest following a good performance in a win over the New England Patriots 10-6.

Next week the Buccaneers welcome the the Carolina Panthers, and the Colts visit the Tennessee Titans.

Game Details

• Matchup: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TB) at Indianapolis Colts (IND)
• Date: November 26, 2023
• Time: 1:00PM ET
• Stadium: Lucas Oil Stadium
• TV: CBS
• Lucas Oil Stadium Kick-Off Weather Forecast: Snow; 36F; 93% humidity; wind: SW 9 mph

TEAM STATS COMPARISON

2023 LAST 10
TB IND TB IND
Record 4-6 5-5 4-6 5-5
Home Record 2-3 1-4 2-3 1-4
Away Record 2-3 4-1 2-3 4-1
Points Scored/Game 19.2 24.2 19.2 24.2
Points Allowed/Game 20.0 24.8 20.0 24.8
Point Differential -8 -6 -8 -6
Yards/Game 304.7 336.1 304.7 336.1
Yards Allowed/Game 360.7 358.5 360.7 358.5
Passing Yards/Game 227.8 218.1 227.8 218.1
Passing Yards Allowed/Game 270.7 228.8 270.7 228.8
Rushing Yards/Game 76.9 118.0 76.9 118.0
Rushing Yards Allowed/Game 90.0 129.7 90.0 129.7
First Downs/Game 18.1 18.4 18.1 18.4
First Downs Allowed/Game 20.1 20.7 20.1 20.7
3rd Down Conv % 40.6 39.2 40.6 39.2
Opp 3rd Down Conv % 46.7 38.4 46.7 38.4
Turnover Margin +6 +1 +6 +1
Total Games 10 10 10 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2023 Leaders

PASSING C-A YDS TD INT SK
Baker Mayfield 226-350 2,389 15 6 20
RUSHING ATT YDS TD LNG
Rachaad White 141 459 4 16
RECEIVING REC YDS TD LNG
Mike Evans 48 780 7 70

Indianapolis Colts 2023 Leaders

PASSING C-A YDS TD INT SK
Gardner Minshew II 163-256 1,721 8 6 15
RUSHING ATT YDS TD LNG
Zack Moss 133 617 5 56
RECEIVING REC YDS TD LNG
Michael Pittman Jr. 66 677 3 75

Last 10 Meetings

DATE TIME RESULT
Sun 28-Nov-21 1:00PM Tampa Bay Buccaneers d. INDIANAPOLIS COLTS 38-31
Sun 08-Dec-19 1:00PM TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS d. Indianapolis Colts 38-35
Sun 29-Nov-15 1:02PM INDIANAPOLIS COLTS d. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 25-12
Mon 03-Oct-11 8:40PM TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS d. Indianapolis Colts 24-17
Sun 07-Oct-07 4:05PM INDIANAPOLIS COLTS d. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 33-14
Mon 06-Oct-03 9:15PM Indianapolis Colts d. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS 38-35
Sun 02-Nov-97 1:00PM Tampa Bay Buccaneers d. INDIANAPOLIS COLTS 31-28
Sun 11-Sep-94 1:00PM TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS d. Indianapolis Colts 24-10
Sun 04-Oct-92 1:00PM Indianapolis Colts d. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS 24-14
Sun 22-Dec-91 1:00PM TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS d. Indianapolis Colts 17-3

Head-to-Head Stats (last 10)

TB IND
Last 10 Record 6-4 4-6
Home Record 4-2 2-2
Away Record 2-2 2-4

QB Career Comparison

CMP-ATT PCT YDs TDs INTs SKs PS REC (GMs)
Baker Mayfield 1612-2609 61.8% 18,677 117 70 190 1-1 (2)
Gardner Minshew II 477-750 63.6% 5,263 32 15 56 0-0 (0)

Starting QB Win-Loss Trends

• Baker Mayfield W-L last 20 games as a starter: 6-14
• Baker Mayfield last 20 games vs. Indianapolis Colts: 1-0

• Gardner Minshew II W-L last 20 games as a starter: 5-14
• Gardner Minshew II last 20 games vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 0-0

Player Trends

• Baker Mayfield has 5 straight games with at least one passing TD
• Baker Mayfield has 5 straight games with 200+ passing yards & at least one passing TD

• Michael Pittman Jr. has 3 straight games with at least 5+ catches

Game Injuries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Rachaad White (RB) Knee – Questionable; Logan Hall (DE) Illness – Questionable; Lavonte David (LB) Groin – Out; Devin White (LB) Foot – Questionable; Carlton Davis (CB) Hip – Questionable; Jamel Dean (CB) Ankle – Out; Mike Greene (DT) Calf – Out

Indianapolis Colts: Ryan Kelly (C) Concussion – Out; JuJu Brents (CB) Quadriceps – Out; Drew Ogletree (TE) Foot – Out; Grant Stuard (LB) Illness – Questionable

Betting Odds

• Favorite: Indianapolis Colts
• Spread: 3.0
• Over/Under: 45.5

Betting Trends

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Indianapolis Colts
Last 5 ATS 4-1-0 3-2-0
Last 10 ATS 7-3-0 6-4-0
Last 10 ATS at Home 3-7-0
Last 10 ATS on Road 5-5-0
Last 10 ATS as a Favorite 3-7-0
Last 10 ATS as a Home Favorite 3-7-0
Last 10 ATS as an Underdog 5-5-0
Last 10 ATS as a Road Underdog 7-3-0
Last 10 Over-Under 2-8-0 6-4-0

Latest Super Bowl Odds

• Tampa Bay Buccaneers: +15000
• Indianapolis Colts: +20000

Buccaneers vs. Colts Game Prediction

• Oddsmakers: Indianapolis Colts d. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 25-21
• GFA Model: Tampa Bay Buccaneers d. Indianapolis Colts 26-25