Sunday, the 2-5 New England Patriots journey to the 5-2 Miami Dolphins with kickoff at 1:00PM ET. The two foes last met on Sunday, September 17, 2023 as the Dolphins bounced the Patriots 24-17. In their last 10 head-to-heads, the Dolphins hold the lead 7-3.
The Patriots are 3-7 over their last 10 games.
The Patriots have lost 6 of their last 8 games, they have also lost their last 2 games on the road.
The Dolphins have won 6 of their last 8 games, and they have also won their last 4 games at home.
According to the odds, the Dolphins are 8.0 point favorites. The over/under is currently set at 46.5. The Patriots are 2-8-0 against the spread. And Dolphins are 8-2-0 in their last 10 against the spread.
The Patriots are guided by Mac Jones who has thrown for 1,480 yards, 7 td passes with 7 interceptions this season.
The Dolphins are paced by Tua Tagovailoa who has thrown for 2,092 yards, 15 td passes with 6 interceptions this year. Raheem Mostert has rumbled for 474 yards with 9 TDs. Tyreek Hill has 53 receptions for 902 yards and 7 TDs.
The Patriots sit in last place in the AFC East. The Dolphins are on top in the AFC East.
Mac Jones is 1-4 as a starter against the Dolphins. Tua Tagovailoa is 5-0 against the Patriots as a starter.
The Dolphins are among the tops in total team offense at present in the league. The Patriots are listed among the worst in total team offense.These squads are ranked among the the lowest on defense at present in the league.
The Patriots enter off a win against the Buffalo Bills 29-25 and the Dolphins arrive after a defeat at the hands of the Philadelphia Eagles 31-17.
Next week the Patriots host the the Washington Commanders while the Dolphins travel to the Kansas City Chiefs.
Game Details
• Matchup: New England Patriots (NE) at Miami Dolphins (MIA)
• Date: October 29, 2023
• Time: 1:00PM ET
• Stadium: Hard Rock Stadium
• TV: CBS
• Hard Rock Stadium Kick-Off Weather Forecast: Rain; 83F; 65% humidity; wind: ENE 17 mph
TEAM STATS COMPARISON
| 2023 | LAST 10 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NE | MIA | NE | MIA | ||
| Record | 2-5 | 5-2 | 3-7 | 6-4 | |
| Home Record | 1-3 | 3-0 | 2-4 | 4-1 | |
| Away Record | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1-3 | 2-3 | |
| Points Scored/Game | 14.4 | 34.3 | 16.5 | 29.2 | |
| Points Allowed/Game | 25.3 | 26.7 | 25.5 | 24.2 | |
| Point Differential | -76 | +53 | -90 | +50 | |
| Yards/Game | 294.3 | 462.3 | 293.5 | 424.7 | |
| Yards Allowed/Game | 311.3 | 345.3 | 328.1 | 315.4 | |
| Passing Yards/Game | 180.3 | 264.1 | 172.0 | 228.3 | |
| Passing Yards Allowed/Game | 174.4 | 188.7 | 182.7 | 169.2 | |
| Rushing Yards/Game | 77.9 | 142.0 | 71.3 | 123.8 | |
| Rushing Yards Allowed/Game | 83.0 | 97.4 | 74.4 | 79.9 | |
| First Downs/Game | 15.7 | 19.9 | 14.5 | 17.1 | |
| First Downs Allowed/Game | 15.9 | 18.7 | 15.7 | 15.9 | |
| 3rd Down Conv % | 36.9 | 45.0 | 37.3 | 41.3 | |
| Opp 3rd Down Conv % | 35.0 | 38.8 | 39.8 | 36.5 | |
| Turnover Margin | -7 | -3 | -3 | -8 | |
| Total Games | 7 | 7 | 10 | 10 | |
New England Patriots 2023 Leaders
| PASSING | C-A | YDS | TD | INT | SK | |
| Mac Jones | 154-231 | 1,480 | 7 | 7 | 13 |
| RUSHING | ATT | YDS | TD | LNG | Rhamondre Stevenson | 87 | 268 | 2 | 15 |
| RECEIVING | REC | YDS | TD | LNG | Kendrick Bourne | 34 | 370 | 3 | 36 |
Miami Dolphins 2023 Leaders
| PASSING | C-A | YDS | TD | INT | SK | |
| Tua Tagovailoa | 163-229 | 2,092 | 15 | 6 | 9 |
| RUSHING | ATT | YDS | TD | LNG | Raheem Mostert | 84 | 474 | 9 | 49 |
| RECEIVING | REC | YDS | TD | LNG | Tyreek Hill | 53 | 902 | 7 | 69 |
Last 10 Meetings
| DATE | TIME | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 17-Sep-23 | 8:20PM | Miami Dolphins d. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS | 24-17 |
| Sun 01-Jan-23 | 1:00PM | NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS d. Miami Dolphins | 23-21 |
| Sun 11-Sep-22 | 1:00PM | MIAMI DOLPHINS d. New England Patriots | 20-7 |
| Sun 09-Jan-22 | 1:00PM | MIAMI DOLPHINS d. New England Patriots | 33-24 |
| Sun 12-Sep-21 | 4:25PM | Miami Dolphins d. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS | 17-16 |
| Sun 20-Dec-20 | 1:00PM | MIAMI DOLPHINS d. New England Patriots | 22-12 |
| Sun 13-Sep-20 | 1:00PM | NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS d. Miami Dolphins | 21-11 |
| Sun 29-Dec-19 | 1:00PM | Miami Dolphins d. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS | 27-24 |
| Sun 15-Sep-19 | 1:00PM | New England Patriots d. MIAMI DOLPHINS | 43-0 |
| Sun 09-Dec-18 | 1:00PM | MIAMI DOLPHINS d. New England Patriots | 34-33 |
Head-to-Head Stats (last 10)
| NE | MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| Last 10 Record | 3-7 | 7-3 |
| Home Record | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Away Record | 1-4 | 3-2 |
QB Career Comparison
| CMP-ATT | PCT | YDs | TDs | INTs | SKs | PS REC (GMs) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac Jones | 794-1194 | 66.5% | 8,278 | 43 | 31 | 75 | 0-1 (1) |
| Tua Tagovailoa | 871-1307 | 66.6% | 10,107 | 67 | 29 | 70 | 0-0 (0) |
Starting QB Win-Loss Trends
• Mac Jones W-L last 20 games as a starter: 8-12
• Mac Jones last 20 games vs. Miami Dolphins: 1-4
• Tua Tagovailoa W-L last 20 games as a starter: 13-7
• Tua Tagovailoa last 20 games vs. New England Patriots: 5-0
Player Trends
• Tua Tagovailoa has 16 straight games with at least one passing TD
• Tua Tagovailoa has 9 straight games with 200+ passing yards & at least one passing TD
• Tyreek Hill has 3 straight games with a TD catch
• Tyreek Hill has 5 straight games with at least 50+ receiving yards
• Tyreek Hill has 3 straight games with at least 5+ catches
Game Injuries
New England Patriots:
Miami Dolphins:
Betting Odds
• Favorite: Miami Dolphins
• Spread: 8.0
• Over/Under: 46.5
Betting Trends
| New England Patriots | Miami Dolphins | |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 ATS | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 |
| Last 10 ATS | 2-8-0 | 8-2-0 |
| Last 10 ATS at Home | 7-3-0 | |
| Last 10 ATS on Road | 5-5-0 | |
| Last 10 ATS as a Favorite | 7-3-0 | |
| Last 10 ATS as a Home Favorite | 7-3-0 | |
| Last 10 ATS as an Underdog | 1-9-0 | |
| Last 10 ATS as a Road Underdog | 3-7-0 | |
| Last 10 Over-Under | 4-6-0 | 6-4-0 |
Latest Super Bowl Odds
• New England Patriots: +25000
• Miami Dolphins: +1100
Patriots vs. Dolphins Game Prediction
• Oddsmakers: Miami Dolphins d. New England Patriots 28-20
• GFA Model: Miami Dolphins d. New England Patriots 36-19