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Game Notes: Indianapolis Colts at Atlanta Falcons (Dec 24, 2023)

The 8-6 Indianapolis Colts head out to the 6-8 Atlanta Falcons on Sunday, December 24 at 1:00PM ET. Their latest collision concluded with the Colts topping the Falcons 27-24 on Sunday, September 22, 2019. Overall, in their last 10 head-to-heads the Colts hold the lead 8-2.

The Colts have won 5 of their last 6 games, they have also won 3 of their last 4 games on the road.

The Falcons have lost their last 2 games, and they have also lost 3 of their last 4 games at home.

Per the odds, the Falcons are 2.5 point favorites. The over/under is currently 45.5. The Colts are 7-3-0 against the spread. And Falcons are 3-7-0 in their last 10 against the spread.

The Colts are anchored by Gardner Minshew II who has thrown for 2,739 yards, 14 td passes with 8 interceptions this season. Zack Moss has rushed for 764 yards with 5 TDs. Michael Pittman Jr. has 99 receptions for 1,062 yards and 4 TDs.

The Falcons are anchored by Desmond Ridder who has thrown for 2,528 yards, 10 td passes with 10 picks this year. Bijan Robinson has rushed for 801 yards with 4 TDs.

The Colts sit on top of the AFC South. The Falcons are in 3rd in the NFC South.

Gardner Minshew II is 0-1 as a starter against the Falcons.

The Colts are listed among the best in team offense in the league. The Falcons are ranked among the worst on offense in the league. The Falcons rank among the leaders in team defense in the league. The Colts rank among the worst defensively currently in the league.

The Colts enter the game off a win against the Pittsburgh Steelers 30-13 and the Falcons come into the game off a setback to the Carolina Panthers 9-7.

Next week the Colts welcome the the Las Vegas Raiders while the Falcons travel to the Chicago Bears.

Game Details

• Matchup: Indianapolis Colts (IND) at Atlanta Falcons (ATL)
• Date: December 24, 2023
• Time: 1:00PM ET
• Stadium: Mercedes-Benz Stadiumdouble-dagger
• TV: FOX
• Mercedes-Benz Stadiumdouble-dagger Kick-Off Weather Forecast: Clouds; 53F; 76% humidity; wind: ESE 9 mph

TEAM STATS COMPARISON

2023 LAST 10
IND ATL IND ATL
Record 8-6 6-8 6-4 4-6
Home Record 3-4 4-3 3-2 2-3
Away Record 5-2 2-5 3-2 2-3
Points Scored/Game 24.6 18.4 24.7 19.6
Points Allowed/Game 24.5 19.9 24.4 20.1
Point Differential +1 -20 +3 -5
Yards/Game 339.6 327.2 346.5 344.4
Yards Allowed/Game 347.5 311.7 330.3 320.1
Passing Yards/Game 224.9 200.8 232.2 218.6
Passing Yards Allowed/Game 220.1 199.5 202.6 208.8
Rushing Yards/Game 114.7 126.4 114.3 125.8
Rushing Yards Allowed/Game 127.4 112.2 127.7 111.3
First Downs/Game 19.1 19.6 19.2 20.1
First Downs Allowed/Game 20.1 17.9 19.0 18.0
3rd Down Conv % 36.1 41.0 37.0 43.1
Opp 3rd Down Conv % 37.2 33.5 36.5 33.6
Turnover Margin +4 -6 +2 -5
Total Games 14 14 10 10

Indianapolis Colts 2023 Leaders

PASSING C-A YDS TD INT SK
Gardner Minshew II 257-406 2,739 14 8 26
RUSHING ATT YDS TD LNG
Zack Moss 177 764 5 56
RECEIVING REC YDS TD LNG
Michael Pittman Jr. 99 1,062 4 75

Atlanta Falcons 2023 Leaders

PASSING C-A YDS TD INT SK
Desmond Ridder 224-354 2,528 10 10 31
RUSHING ATT YDS TD LNG
Bijan Robinson 176 801 4 38
RECEIVING REC YDS TD LNG
Drake London 58 769 2 45

Last 10 Meetings

DATE TIME RESULT
Sun 22-Sep-19 1:00PM INDIANAPOLIS COLTS d. Atlanta Falcons 27-24
Sun 22-Nov-15 1:02PM Indianapolis Colts d. ATLANTA FALCONS 24-21
Sun 06-Nov-11 1:02PM Atlanta Falcons d. INDIANAPOLIS COLTS 31-7
Thu 22-Nov-07 8:16PM Indianapolis Colts d. ATLANTA FALCONS 31-13
Sun 14-Dec-03 1:00PM INDIANAPOLIS COLTS d. Atlanta Falcons 38-7
Sun 16-Dec-01 1:00PM INDIANAPOLIS COLTS d. Atlanta Falcons 41-27
Sun 06-Dec-98 1:00PM ATLANTA FALCONS d. Indianapolis Colts 28-21
Sun 24-Sep-89 1:00PM INDIANAPOLIS COLTS d. Atlanta Falcons 13-9
Sun 07-Dec-86 1:00PM Indianapolis Colts d. ATLANTA FALCONS 28-23
Sun 17-Nov-74 1:00PM Baltimore Colts d. ATLANTA FALCONS 17-7

Head-to-Head Stats (last 10)

IND ATL
Last 10 Record 8-2 2-8
Home Record 4-1 1-4
Away Record 4-1 1-4

QB Career Comparison

CMP-ATT PCT YDs TDs INTs SKs PS REC (GMs)
Gardner Minshew II 571-900 63.4% 6,281 38 17 67 0-0 (0)
Desmond Ridder 297-469 63.3% 3,236 12 10 40 0-0 (0)

Starting QB Win-Loss Trends

• Gardner Minshew II W-L last 20 games as a starter: 7-13
• Gardner Minshew II last 20 games vs. Atlanta Falcons: 0-1

• Desmond Ridder W-L last 20 games as a starter: 8-8
• Desmond Ridder last 20 games vs. Indianapolis Colts: 0-0

Player Trends

• Gardner Minshew II has 3 straight games with at least one passing TD
• Gardner Minshew II has 3 straight games with 200+ passing yards & at least one passing TD
• Michael Pittman Jr. has 6 straight games with at least 50+ receiving yards

• Desmond Ridder has 4 straight games with at least one passing TD

Game Injuries

Indianapolis Colts: Michael Pittman (WR) Concussion – Out; Braden Smith (OT) Knee – Out; Zack Moss (RB) Forearm – Out; Jack Anderson (C) Illness – Out; Segun Olubi (LB) Hip – Out

Atlanta Falcons: ; Kaleb McGary (OT) Knee – MCL – Questionable; David Onyemata (DT) Ankle – Questionable; Bud Dupree (LB) Back – Questionable

Betting Odds

• Favorite: Atlanta Falcons
• Spread: 2.5
• Over/Under: 45.5

Betting Trends

Indianapolis Colts Atlanta Falcons
Last 5 ATS 4-1-0 2-3-0
Last 10 ATS 7-3-0 3-7-0
Last 10 ATS at Home 3-7-0
Last 10 ATS on Road 6-4-0
Last 10 ATS as a Favorite 2-8-0
Last 10 ATS as a Home Favorite 3-7-0
Last 10 ATS as an Underdog 4-6-0
Last 10 ATS as a Road Underdog 4-6-0
Last 10 Over-Under 7-3-0 4-6-0

Latest Super Bowl Odds

• Indianapolis Colts: +10000
• Atlanta Falcons: +25000

Colts vs. Falcons Game Prediction

• Oddsmakers: Atlanta Falcons d. Indianapolis Colts 25-21
• GFA Model: Indianapolis Colts d. Atlanta Falcons 25-23