{"id":6329,"date":"2026-11-14T17:50:18","date_gmt":"2026-11-14T22:50:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gofootballanalytics.com\/statsblog\/?p=6329"},"modified":"2026-11-14T17:50:18","modified_gmt":"2026-11-14T22:50:18","slug":"pittsburgh-steelers-vs-cincinnati-bengals-preview-2026-week-10","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gofootballanalytics.com\/statsblog\/pittsburgh-steelers-vs-cincinnati-bengals-preview-2026-week-10\/","title":{"rendered":"Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals Preview | 2026 Week 10"},"content":{"rendered":"
\r\n
\"Pittsburgh<\/section>\r\n
\r\n

Steelers vs.<\/em> Bengals<\/h1>\r\n

A data-first view of offensive efficiency, defensive resistance, and the statistical edges that shape this matchup. Figures combine nflverse play-by-play, credited team statistics, and season team totals.<\/p>\r\n<\/section>\r\n

\r\n
\r\n
Pittsburgh Steelers<\/small>PIT<\/strong>Pittsburgh Steelers<\/div>\r\n\"Pittsburgh<\/div>\r\n
VS<\/div>\r\n
\r\n
Cincinnati Bengals<\/small>CIN<\/strong>Cincinnati Bengals<\/div>\r\n\"Cincinnati<\/div>\r\n<\/section>\r\n
\r\n
\r\n
\r\n

01 \/ TEAM PROFILE<\/p>\r\n

Offensive efficiency<\/h2>\r\n

Season-to-date efficiency, production, and situational performance.<\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\nNFL RANKS \u00b7 MIXED DIRECTIONS<\/span><\/div>\r\n

\r\n
\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n
STATISTIC<\/th>\r\nPIT<\/th>\r\nCIN<\/th>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<\/thead>\r\n
EPA \/ PLAY<\/span>Expected points added per eligible offensive play<\/span><\/td>\r\n-0.027<\/span>#19 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n
+0.142<\/span>#3 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n
SUCCESS RATE<\/span>Share of succesful eligible plays<\/span><\/td>\r\n42.1%<\/span>#19 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n
50.4%<\/span>#2 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n
YARDS \/ PLAY<\/span>Average yards gained per eligible offensive play<\/span><\/td>\r\n5.34<\/span>#17 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n
6.14<\/span>#4 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n
EPA \/ DROPBACK<\/span>EPA on QB dropbacks, including sacks and scrambles<\/span><\/td>\r\n-0.110<\/span>#26 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n
+0.261<\/span>#3 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n
EPA \/ RUSH<\/span>EPA on designed rushes; excludes QB scrambles<\/span><\/td>\r\n+0.119<\/span>#1 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n
-0.095<\/span>#18 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n
YARDS \/ DROPBACK<\/span>Yards gained per QB dropback, including sacks and scrambles<\/span><\/td>\r\n5.45<\/span>#26 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n
7.29<\/span>#5 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n
EXPLOSIVE PLAY RATE<\/span>20+ yards on dropbacks or 10+ on designed rushes<\/span><\/td>\r\n9.3%<\/span>#11 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n
9.1%<\/span>#13 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n
3RD DOWN CONVERSION %<\/span>Conversions \/ attempts, from teamstats; includes official team conversions<\/span><\/td>\r\n37.9%<\/span>#16 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n
53.6%<\/span>#1 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n
RED ZONE PLAY SUCCESS %<\/span>nflverse success on plays snapped inside opponent’s 20<\/span><\/td>\r\n40.3%<\/span>#24 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n
56.8%<\/span>#1 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n
TEAM POINTS \/ GAME<\/span>Team points per game, all scoring phases<\/span><\/td>\r\n22.50<\/span>#17 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n
30.00<\/span>#2 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n
GIVEAWAYS \/ GAME<\/span>Total giveaways per game; lower is better<\/span><\/td>\r\n1.00<\/span>#9 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n
1.25<\/span>#16 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<\/tbody>\r\n<\/table>\r\n<\/div>\r\n
Bars indicate league rank (longer is better), not the numerical value of the statistic. Rankings use full-precision database values.<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/section>\r\n
\r\n
\r\n
\r\n

02 \/ TEAM PROFILE<\/p>\r\n

Defensive efficiency<\/h2>\r\n

Opponent efficiency, scoring, and defensive impact statistics.<\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\nNFL RANKS \u00b7 MIXED DIRECTIONS<\/span><\/div>\r\n

\r\n
\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n
STATISTIC<\/th>\r\nPIT<\/th>\r\nCIN<\/th>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<\/thead>\r\n
EPA \/ PLAY ALLOWED<\/span>Opponent EPA per eligible offensive play<\/span><\/td>\r\n-0.074<\/span>#7 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n
+0.005<\/span>#18 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n
SUCCESS RATE ALLOWED<\/span>Opponent nflverse play success percentage<\/span><\/td>\r\n41.8%<\/span>#11 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n
44.3%<\/span>#22 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n
YARDS \/ PLAY ALLOWED<\/span>Opponent yards gained per eligible play<\/span><\/td>\r\n5.04<\/span>#7 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n
5.79<\/span>#24 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n
EPA \/ DROPBACK ALLOWED<\/span>Opponent EPA on QB dropbacks<\/span><\/td>\r\n-0.028<\/span>#8 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n
+0.029<\/span>#14 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n
EPA \/ RUSH ALLOWED<\/span>Opponent EPA on designed rushes, excluding scrambles<\/span><\/td>\r\n-0.161<\/span>#4 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n
-0.038<\/span>#24 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n
EXPLOSIVE RATE ALLOWED<\/span>20+ yard opponent dropbacks or 10+ yard designed rushes<\/span><\/td>\r\n8.4%<\/span>#14 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n
9.6%<\/span>#22 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n
OPP 3RD DOWN CONV %<\/span>Opponent conversions \/ attempts<\/span><\/td>\r\n34.3%<\/span>#7 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n
47.5%<\/span>#30 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n
RED ZONE PLAY SUCCESS ALLOWED<\/span>Opponent nflverse play success inside the 20; not drive scoring rate<\/span><\/td>\r\n30.8%<\/span>#3 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n
36.4%<\/span>#6 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n
OPP POINTS \/ GAME<\/span>Opponent points per game, including all scoring phases<\/span><\/td>\r\n18.00<\/span>#4 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n
21.88<\/span>#14 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n
OPP COMPLETION %<\/span>Opponent completions \/ pass attempts<\/span><\/td>\r\n65.4%<\/span>#21 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n
63.7%<\/span>#14 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n
SACKS \/ GAME<\/span>Sacks by defense per game<\/span><\/td>\r\n3.25<\/span>#4 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n
2.88<\/span>#9 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n
INTERCEPTIONS \/ GAME<\/span>Interceptions generated per game<\/span><\/td>\r\n0.88<\/span>#8 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n
0.62<\/span>#19 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n
TAKEAWAYS \/ GAME<\/span>Total takeaways per game<\/span><\/td>\r\n1.62<\/span>#4 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n
1.50<\/span>#7 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n
TACKLES FOR LOSS \/ GAME<\/span>Credited tackles for loss, from nflverse team stats; may overlap sacks<\/span><\/td>\r\n6.25<\/span>#2 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n
4.88<\/span>#16 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n
FORCED FUMBLES \/ GAME<\/span>Credited forced fumbles<\/span><\/td>\r\n1.25<\/span>#5 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n
1.38<\/span>#2 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n
PASSES DEFENDED \/ GAME<\/span>Credited passes defended, from nflverse team stats; not necessarily identical to pass breakups<\/span><\/td>\r\n6.38<\/span>#1 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n
4.50<\/span>#14 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n
OPP FUMBLES RECOVERED \/ GAME<\/span>Recoveries of opponent fumbles, from nflverse team stats; all phases<\/span><\/td>\r\n0.75<\/span>#5 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n
0.88<\/span>#2 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n
QB HITS \/ GAME<\/span>Credited QB hits, may overlap sacks<\/span><\/td>\r\n6.62<\/span>#7 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n
5.75<\/span>#17 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n
STUFFED RUN RATE<\/span>Opponent designed rushes gaining zero or fewer yards; excludes scrambles<\/span><\/td>\r\n23.8%<\/span>#1 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n
23.3%<\/span>#2 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n
HAVOC RATE<\/span>Eligible plays with sack, TFL, interception, forced fumble, or pass breakup; counted once<\/span><\/td>\r\n21.8%<\/span>#1 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n
16.1%<\/span>#12 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n
PASSING HAVOC RATE<\/span>Havoc on opponent QB dropbacks, including sacks and scrambles<\/span><\/td>\r\n25.5%<\/span>#1 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n
19.6%<\/span>#13 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n
RUSHING HAVOC RATE<\/span>Havoc on opponent designed rushing plays, excluding scrambles<\/span><\/td>\r\n14.9%<\/span>#1 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n
9.7%<\/span>#17 \/ 32<\/span>\r\n
\r\n
\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<\/tbody>\r\n<\/table>\r\n<\/div>\r\n
Bars indicate league rank (longer is better), not the numerical value of the statistic. Rankings use full-precision database values.<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/section>\r\n
\r\n
\r\n
\r\n

03 \/ HEAD-TO-HEAD<\/p>\r\n

Where the matchups tilt<\/h2>\r\n

Each offense against the opposing defense.<\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n

\r\n
MATCHUP A \/ PIT BALL<\/span>\r\n

Pittsburgh Steelers offense vs. Cincinnati Bengals defense<\/h3>\r\n
\r\n
PIT offensive EPA<\/small>-0.027<\/b>#19 NFL<\/small><\/article>\r\n
CIN EPA allowed<\/small>+0.005<\/b>#18 NFL<\/small><\/article>\r\n<\/div>\r\n

PIT passing EPA: -0.110 (#26). CIN passing EPA allowed: +0.029 (#15).<\/p>\r\n<\/article>\r\n

MATCHUP B \/ CIN BALL<\/span>\r\n

Cincinnati Bengals offense vs. Pittsburgh Steelers defense<\/h3>\r\n
\r\n
CIN offensive EPA<\/small>+0.142<\/b>#3 NFL<\/small><\/article>\r\n
PIT EPA allowed<\/small>-0.074<\/b>#7 NFL<\/small><\/article>\r\n<\/div>\r\n

CIN rushing EPA: -0.095 (#18). PIT rushing EPA allowed: -0.161 (#4).<\/p>\r\n<\/article>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/section>\r\n

\r\n
\r\n
\r\n

04 \/ THE READOUT<\/p>\r\n

Four numbers worth knowing<\/h2>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n
\r\n
01 \/ TWO-WAY PROFILE<\/span>\r\n

PIT: #19 offense, #7 defense<\/h3>\r\n

Pittsburgh Steelers averages -0.027 EPA\/play on offense and allows -0.074 on defense.<\/p>\r\n<\/article>\r\n

02 \/ GROUND GAME<\/span>\r\n

CIN run offense vs. PIT run defense<\/h3>\r\n

Cincinnati Bengals has -0.095 rushing EPA\/play (#18). Pittsburgh Steelers allows -0.161 rushing EPA\/play (#4).<\/p>\r\n<\/article>\r\n

03 \/ AIR ATTACK<\/span>\r\n

PIT pass offense vs. CIN pass defense<\/h3>\r\n

Pittsburgh Steelers generates -0.110 passing EPA\/play (#26); Cincinnati Bengals allows +0.029 (#15).<\/p>\r\n<\/article>\r\n

04 \/ SUCCESS RATE<\/span>\r\n

Play-to-play consistency<\/h3>\r\n

PIT success rate: 42.1% (#19) vs. CIN: 50.4% (#2). On defense: PIT 41.8% allowed (#11), CIN 44.3% (#22).<\/p>\r\n<\/article>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/section>\r\n

\r\n
\r\n
\r\n

05 \/ GO FOOTBALL ANALYTICS MODEL<\/p>\r\n

Predicted final score<\/h2>\r\n

Historically trained NFL score projection, using only prior-game team form.<\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n

\r\n
\r\n
\"Pittsburgh\r\n
STEELERS<\/div>\r\n
22<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n
VS<\/div>\r\n
\"Cincinnati\r\n
BENGALS<\/div>\r\n
27<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n
Projected spread:<\/strong> CIN -5.0 Projected total:<\/strong> 49.2 Venue:<\/strong> CIN home<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n

The model was trained on 2021\u20132024 regular-season games, evaluated on unseen 2025 games, then refitted through 2025. In the 2025 holdout (272 games), its average absolute score error was 7.53 points per team<\/strong> (simple baseline: 7.55). Winner accuracy: 60.2%. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees; injuries, lineup changes, and weather are not included. Data reflects all completed games available at generation time.<\/p>\r\n<\/section>\r\n<\/main>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Steelers vs. Bengals A data-first view of offensive efficiency, defensive resistance, and the statistical edges that shape this matchup. Figures combine nflverse play-by-play, credited team statistics, and season team totals. Pittsburgh SteelersPITPittsburgh Steelers VS Cincinnati BengalsCINCincinnati Bengals 01 \/ TEAM PROFILE Offensive efficiency Season-to-date efficiency, production, and situational performance. NFL RANKS \u00b7 MIXED DIRECTIONS STATISTIC… Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals Preview | 2026 Week 10<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"off","neve_meta_content_width":70,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[145,30],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6329","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-analytics","category-news"],"yoast_head":"\nPittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals Preview | 2026 Week 10<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals Preview | 2026 Week 10\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, 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