{"id":4982,"date":"2025-11-25T15:03:16","date_gmt":"2025-11-25T20:03:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gofootballanalytics.com\/statsblog\/?p=4982"},"modified":"2025-11-25T15:03:16","modified_gmt":"2025-11-25T20:03:16","slug":"2025-nfl-week-13-point-spreads-and-favorites","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gofootballanalytics.com\/statsblog\/2025-nfl-week-13-point-spreads-and-favorites\/","title":{"rendered":"2025 NFL Week 13 Point Spreads And Favorites"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The NFL enters Week 13 with a holiday slate loaded with playoff implications and betting intrigue. The schedule kicks off Thursday with three Thanksgiving matchups, continues into Friday\u2019s Black Friday showdown, and rolls through a jam-packed Sunday and Monday finish.<\/p>\n<p><strong>THANKSGIVING DAY \u2014 Thursday, November 27<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>1:00 PM \u2014 Packers (7-3-1) at Lions (7-4) \u2014 DET -2.5<br \/>\nDetroit is a slight home favorite in the holiday opener, and both teams enter above .500 against the spread (Lions 6-5 ATS, Packers 4-6-1 ATS). The Lions have been strong at home this year, while the Packers have struggled to cover on the road. Early bettors may note that underdogs have covered in 48.6% of games this season, nearly matching the favorites.<\/p>\n<p>4:30 PM \u2014 Chiefs (6-5) at Cowboys (5-5-1) \u2014 KC -3<br \/>\nKansas City is favored on the road despite a losing ATS record (5-6 ATS), while Dallas has been reliable at the window (6-5 ATS). The Cowboys have been inconsistent straight up but are trending as a home dog spot to watch, given favorites have been covering just 50.3% of the time league-wide.<\/p>\n<p>8:20 PM \u2014 Bengals (3-8) at Ravens (6-5) \u2014 BAL -7<br \/>\nBaltimore enters as a strong TD favorite but has struggled relative to expectations at 5-6 ATS. Meanwhile, the Bengals are 4-7 ATS \u2014 one of the worst marks in the league. Large spreads have been historically risky this season: double-digit favorites cover only 38.5% of the time, which brings added intrigue to another near-touchdown line.<\/p>\n<p><strong>BLACK FRIDAY \u2014 Friday, November 28<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>3:00 PM \u2014 Bears (8-3) at Eagles (8-3) \u2014 PHI -7<br \/>\nThe weekend\u2019s marquee early matchup pits two 8-3 leaders. Philadelphia sits among the best against the spread (7-4 ATS), while Chicago is a respectable 6-5 ATS. With both teams above .500 straight-up and against the spread, this could be one of the most evenly handicapped heavyweight contests of the week.<\/p>\n<p><strong>SUNDAY &amp; MONDAY \u2014 Full Week 13 Slate<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The biggest spreads appear Sunday, with three matchups in particular drawing sharp attention:<\/p>\n<p>Matchup Spread Notes:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Rams at Panthers LAR -10.5 Rams are 8-3 ATS, tied for best in the NFL. Rare spot where a big favorite is also an elite ATS team.<\/li>\n<li>Vikings at Seahawks SEA -10.5 Seahawks also 8-3 ATS, matching the Rams for the league lead.<\/li>\n<li>Raiders at Chargers LAC -9.5 Chargers just 5-6 ATS, while Las Vegas is 4-7 ATS and struggling to compete.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The ATS elite continue to be the Rams (8-3), Seahawks (8-3), Colts (7-4), Jets (7-4) and Eagles (7-4). Notably, the four biggest Week 13 favorites include the two best ATS teams, making this a rare week where power rankings and betting performance align.<\/p>\n<p>Other notable spreads:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Broncos (9-2) at Commanders (3-8) \u2014 DEN -6.5<\/li>\n<li>Bills (7-4) at Steelers (6-5) \u2014 BUF -3.5<\/li>\n<li>Giants (2-10) at Patriots (10-2) \u2014 NE -7.5 (Patriots 7-5 ATS \u2014 most profitable of any double-digit win team)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>League-wide Betting Notes<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Through 178 games this season:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Favorites ATS: 50.3%<\/li>\n<li>Underdogs ATS: 48.6%<\/li>\n<li>Home teams ATS: 51.0%<\/li>\n<li>Road teams ATS: 49.3%<\/li>\n<li>Overs vs. Unders: 89\u201389, perfectly 50\/50<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Trends by week have been volatile \u2014 unders have been dominant recently, with Week 12 seeing only 28.6% overs, while home favorites have cooled off significantly since Week 7.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Early Week 13 Takeaways<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Thanksgiving slate is loaded with near pick\u2019ems, each sitting at 7 points or fewer.<\/p>\n<p>The Rams and Seahawks are the strongest ATS plays of the week, giving bettors unusually favorable alignment between spreads and team performance.<\/p>\n<p>Be cautious with double-digit favorites \u2014 they cover only 38.5% of the time in 2025.<\/p>\n<p>Overs and unders show no long-term lean, meaning game-specific analysis outweighs trend chasing this season.<\/p>\n<p>Here are the latest point spread odds for week 13:<\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>11\/27 1:00<\/td>\n<td>Green Bay Packers (7-3-1) at Detroit Lions (7-4)<\/td>\n<td>DET -2.5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>11\/27 4:30<\/td>\n<td>Kansas City Chiefs (6-5) at Dallas Cowboys (5-5-1)<\/td>\n<td>KC -3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>11\/27 8:20<\/td>\n<td>Cincinnati Bengals (3-8) at Baltimore Ravens (6-5)<\/td>\n<td>BAL -7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>11\/28 3:00<\/td>\n<td>Chicago Bears (8-3) at Philadelphia Eagles (8-3)<\/td>\n<td>PHI -7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>11\/30 1:00<\/td>\n<td>San Francisco 49ers (8-4) at Cleveland Browns (3-8)<\/td>\n<td>SF -5.5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>11\/30 1:00<\/td>\n<td>Jacksonville Jaguars (7-4) at Tennessee Titans (1-10)<\/td>\n<td>JAX -6.5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>11\/30 1:00<\/td>\n<td>Houston Texans (6-5) at Indianapolis Colts (8-3)<\/td>\n<td>IND -4.5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>11\/30 1:00<\/td>\n<td>New Orleans Saints (2-9) at Miami Dolphins (4-7)<\/td>\n<td>MIA -6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>11\/30 1:00<\/td>\n<td>Atlanta Falcons (4-7) at New York Jets (2-9)<\/td>\n<td>ATL -2.5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>11\/30 1:00<\/td>\n<td>Arizona Cardinals (3-8) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-5)<\/td>\n<td>TB -3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>11\/30 1:00<\/td>\n<td>Los Angeles Rams (9-2) at Carolina Panthers (6-6)<\/td>\n<td>LAR -10.5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>11\/30 4:05<\/td>\n<td>Minnesota Vikings (4-7) at Seattle Seahawks (8-3)<\/td>\n<td>SEA -10.5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>11\/30 4:25<\/td>\n<td>Buffalo Bills (7-4) at Pittsburgh Steelers (6-5)<\/td>\n<td>BUF -3.5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>11\/30 4:25<\/td>\n<td>Las Vegas Raiders (2-9) at Los Angeles Chargers (7-4)<\/td>\n<td>LAC -9.5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>11\/30 8:20<\/td>\n<td>Denver Broncos (9-2) at Washington Commanders (3-8)<\/td>\n<td>DEN -6.5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>12\/1 8:15<\/td>\n<td>New York Giants (2-10) at New England Patriots (10-2)<\/td>\n<td>NE -7.5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The NFL enters Week 13 with a holiday slate loaded with playoff implications and betting intrigue. The schedule kicks off Thursday with three Thanksgiving matchups, continues into Friday\u2019s Black Friday showdown, and rolls through a jam-packed Sunday and Monday finish. THANKSGIVING DAY \u2014 Thursday, November 27 1:00 PM \u2014 Packers (7-3-1) at Lions (7-4) \u2014&hellip;&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.gofootballanalytics.com\/statsblog\/2025-nfl-week-13-point-spreads-and-favorites\/\" rel=\"bookmark\"><span class=\"screen-reader-text\">2025 NFL Week 13 Point Spreads And Favorites<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"off","neve_meta_content_width":70,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[6,30],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4982","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-betting","category-news"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is 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