{"id":4698,"date":"2025-11-08T11:00:27","date_gmt":"2025-11-08T16:00:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gofootballanalytics.com\/statsblog\/?p=4698"},"modified":"2025-11-08T11:04:41","modified_gmt":"2025-11-08T16:04:41","slug":"game-notes-new-england-patriots-at-tampa-bay-buccaneers-nov-9-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gofootballanalytics.com\/statsblog\/game-notes-new-england-patriots-at-tampa-bay-buccaneers-nov-9-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Game Notes: New England Patriots at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Nov 9, 2025)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Two first-place teams collide on Sunday afternoon as the 7–2 New England Patriots head south to face the 6–2 Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium. Kickoff is set for 1:00 p.m. ET on CBS, with mild, cloudy conditions expected in Tampa.<\/p>\n

This matchup brings together two of the AFC and NFC’s most consistent contenders. The Patriots have rattled off six straight wins and remain unbeaten on the road this season (4–0 away), while the Buccaneers have captured 12 of their past 15 games, including five of six at home. The teams last met in 2021, when Tampa Bay edged New England 19–17 in Foxborough, but historically, the Patriots have controlled the series, winning seven of the past ten meetings.<\/p>\n

Momentum and Matchups<\/strong><\/p>\n

Under head coach Jerod Mayo, New England has quietly built a balanced, disciplined team. The Patriots rank among the league’s best defensively, allowing just 18.8 points per game and holding opponents under 300 total yards per contest. Their run defense has been particularly stout, yielding only 75 rushing yards per game — the second-best mark in the NFL. Offensively, rookie quarterback Joe Milton has been efficient in limited duty, completing 22 of 29 passes for 241 yards and a touchdown, while Rhamondre Stevenson has powered the ground game with 801 rushing yards and seven touchdowns. Tight end Hunter Henry leads the team in receiving with 66 catches for 674 yards.<\/p>\n

On the other sideline, the Buccaneers have thrived behind the resurgence of Baker Mayfield, who has thrown for 4,685 yards, 43 touchdowns, and 16 interceptions — ranking among the NFL’s leaders in both yardage and scoring. Tampa Bay averages 24.6 points per game, led by Mike Evans, who continues to produce at an elite level with 81 receptions, 1,096 yards, and 12 touchdowns. Running back Bucky Irving has added balance with 1,198 rushing yards and eight scores, though he’s been ruled out for Sunday’s matchup due to a foot injury.<\/p>\n

Inside the Numbers<\/p>\n

New England enters Week 10 with a +68 point differential and 7–3 record against the spread, one of the best marks in the league. The Patriots’ defense has been dominant on third downs, holding opponents to just 33.7% conversions, while their offense ranks 12th overall in scoring efficiency. The Buccaneers, meanwhile, carry a +19 differential and a +7 turnover margin, a key factor in their success despite injuries on both sides of the ball.<\/p>\n

Both teams are entering in good form: New England edged Atlanta 24–23 last week, while Tampa Bay cruised past New Orleans 23–3 behind a four-touchdown performance from Mayfield.<\/p>\n

Betting Outlook<\/strong><\/p>\n

Oddsmakers have installed the Buccaneers as 2.5-point favorites with a total of 48.5 points. Tampa Bay has been an even 5–5 ATS over its last ten games, while New England has been far more reliable for bettors at 7–3 ATS, including 4–1 ATS in its past five. Both clubs are trending slightly to the over — the Patriots 6–4 O\/U, the Buccaneers 5–5 O\/U.<\/p>\n

With both teams leading their divisions — the Patriots atop the AFC East and the Buccaneers pacing the NFC South — this interconference matchup could carry postseason implications.<\/p>\n

Prediction<\/strong><\/p>\n

This one has all the makings of a grind-it-out classic. Tampa Bay\u2019s offense has been explosive, but New England\u2019s defense has proven capable of stifling high-powered attacks. Expect a close, physical contest decided by situational execution and late-game composure.<\/p>\n

Prediction: Buccaneers 27, Patriots 23<\/p>\n

Game Details<\/h3>\n

• Matchup: New England Patriots (NE) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TB)
• Date: November 9, 2025
• Time: 1:00PM ET
• Stadium: Raymond James Stadium
• TV: CBS
• Raymond James Stadium Kick-Off Weather Forecast: Clouds; 74F; 59% humidity; wind: SSW 1 mph<\/p>\n

Team Stats Comparison<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
<\/th>\n2025<\/th>\n<\/th>\nLAST 10<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/th>\nNE<\/th>\nTB<\/th>\n<\/th>\nNE<\/th>\nTB<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n
Record<\/td>\n7-2<\/td>\n6-2<\/td>\n<\/td>\n8-2<\/td>\n8-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Home Record<\/td>\n3-2<\/td>\n2-1<\/td>\n<\/td>\n4-2<\/td>\n4-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Away Record<\/td>\n4-0<\/td>\n4-1<\/td>\n<\/td>\n4-0<\/td>\n4-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Points Scored\/Game<\/td>\n26.3<\/td>\n24.6<\/td>\n<\/td>\n26.0<\/td>\n27.2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Points Allowed\/Game<\/td>\n18.8<\/td>\n22.3<\/td>\n<\/td>\n18.5<\/td>\n21.1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Point Differential<\/td>\n+68<\/td>\n+19<\/td>\n<\/td>\n+75<\/td>\n+61<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Yards\/Game<\/td>\n350.7<\/td>\n323.0<\/td>\n<\/td>\n346.5<\/td>\n353.0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Yards Allowed\/Game<\/td>\n299.0<\/td>\n321.4<\/td>\n<\/td>\n295.0<\/td>\n306.7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Passing Yards\/Game<\/td>\n238.3<\/td>\n224.9<\/td>\n<\/td>\n237.7<\/td>\n236.4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Passing Yards Allowed\/Game<\/td>\n223.6<\/td>\n228.8<\/td>\n<\/td>\n214.1<\/td>\n222.3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Rushing Yards\/Game<\/td>\n112.3<\/td>\n98.1<\/td>\n<\/td>\n108.8<\/td>\n116.6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Rushing Yards Allowed\/Game<\/td>\n75.4<\/td>\n92.6<\/td>\n<\/td>\n80.9<\/td>\n84.4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
First Downs\/Game<\/td>\n20.7<\/td>\n18.9<\/td>\n<\/td>\n20.5<\/td>\n20.4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
First Downs Allowed\/Game<\/td>\n18.0<\/td>\n18.8<\/td>\n<\/td>\n17.8<\/td>\n18.2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
3rd Down Conv %<\/td>\n42.9<\/td>\n36.3<\/td>\n<\/td>\n41.9<\/td>\n43.2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Opp 3rd Down Conv %<\/td>\n33.7<\/td>\n38.8<\/td>\n<\/td>\n34.5<\/td>\n36.0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Turnover Margin<\/td>\n+0<\/td>\n+7<\/td>\n<\/td>\n-1<\/td>\n+6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Total Games<\/td>\n9<\/td>\n8<\/td>\n<\/td>\n10<\/td>\n10<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n

<\/p>\n

New England Patriots 2025 Leaders<\/h3>\n
\n\n\n\n
PASSING<\/strong><\/td>\nC-A<\/td>\nYDS<\/td>\nTD<\/td>\nINT<\/td>\nSK<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Joe Milton<\/td>\n22-29<\/td>\n241<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n\n\n\n
RUSHING<\/strong><\/td>\nATT<\/td>\nYDS<\/td>\nTD<\/td>\nLNG<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Rhamondre Stevenson<\/td>\n207<\/td>\n801<\/td>\n7<\/td>\n33<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n\n\n\n
RECEIVING<\/strong><\/td>\nREC<\/td>\nYDS<\/td>\nTD<\/td>\nLNG<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Hunter Henry<\/td>\n66<\/td>\n674<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n35<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2025 Leaders<\/h3>\n
\n\n\n\n
PASSING<\/strong><\/td>\nC-A<\/td>\nYDS<\/td>\nTD<\/td>\nINT<\/td>\nSK<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Baker Mayfield<\/td>\n422-588<\/td>\n4,685<\/td>\n43<\/td>\n16<\/td>\n41<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n\n\n\n
RUSHING<\/strong><\/td>\nATT<\/td>\nYDS<\/td>\nTD<\/td>\nLNG<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Bucky Irving<\/td>\n224<\/td>\n1,198<\/td>\n8<\/td>\n56<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n\n\n\n
RECEIVING<\/strong><\/td>\nREC<\/td>\nYDS<\/td>\nTD<\/td>\nLNG<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Mike Evans<\/td>\n81<\/td>\n1,096<\/td>\n12<\/td>\n57<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

Last 10 Meetings<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
DATE<\/th>\nTIME<\/th>\nRESULT<\/th>\n<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n
Sun 03-Oct-21<\/td>\n8:20PM<\/td>\nTampa Bay Buccaneers d. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS<\/td>\n19-17<\/a><\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Thu 05-Oct-17<\/td>\n8:25PM<\/td>\nNew England Patriots d. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS<\/td>\n19-14<\/a><\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Sun 22-Sep-13<\/td>\n1:02PM<\/td>\nNEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS d. Tampa Bay Buccaneers<\/td>\n23-3<\/a><\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Sun 25-Oct-09<\/td>\n1:06PM<\/td>\nNew England Patriots d. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS<\/td>\n35-7<\/a><\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Sat 17-Dec-05<\/td>\n1:33PM<\/td>\nNEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS d. Tampa Bay Buccaneers<\/td>\n28-0<\/a><\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Sun 03-Sep-00<\/td>\n1:02PM<\/td>\nTampa Bay Buccaneers d. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS<\/td>\n21-16<\/a><\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Sun 16-Nov-97<\/td>\n1:00PM<\/td>\nTAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS d. New England Patriots<\/td>\n27-7<\/a><\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Sun 11-Dec-88<\/td>\n1:00PM<\/td>\nNEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS d. Tampa Bay Buccaneers<\/td>\n10-7<\/a><\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Sun 27-Oct-85<\/td>\n1:00PM<\/td>\nNew England Patriots d. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS<\/td>\n32-14<\/a><\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Sun 12-Dec-76<\/td>\n1:00PM<\/td>\nNew England Patriots d. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS<\/td>\n31-14<\/a><\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

Head-to-Head Stats (last 10)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
<\/th>\nNE<\/th>\nTB<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n
Last 10 Record<\/td>\n7-3<\/td>\n3-7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Home Record<\/td>\n3-2<\/td>\n1-4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Away Record<\/td>\n4-1<\/td>\n2-3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n

QB Career Comparison<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n
<\/th>\nCMP-ATT<\/th>\nPCT<\/th>\nYDs<\/th>\nTDs<\/th>\nINTs<\/th>\nSKs<\/th>\nPS REC (GMs)<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n
Drake Maye<\/td>\n415-594<\/td>\n69.9%<\/td>\n4,561<\/td>\n32<\/td>\n14<\/td>\n68<\/td>\n0-0 (0)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Baker Mayfield<\/td>\n2329-3664<\/td>\n63.6%<\/td>\n26,751<\/td>\n184<\/td>\n92<\/td>\n267<\/td>\n2-3 (5)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n

Starting QB Win-Loss Trends<\/h3>\n

• Drake Maye W-L last 20 games as a starter: 10-10
• Drake Maye last 20 games vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 0-0<\/p>\n

• Baker Mayfield W-L last 20 games as a starter: 13-7
• Baker Mayfield last 20 games vs. New England Patriots: 0-2<\/p>\n

Player Trends<\/h3>\n

• Drake Maye has 4 straight games with at least one passing TD
• Drake Maye has 4 straight games with 200+ passing yards & at least one passing TD<\/p>\n

Game Injuries<\/h3>\n

New England Patriots: Rhamondre Stevenson (RB) Toe – Out; Christian Elliss (LB) Hip – Out; Kayshon Boutte (WR) Hamstring – Out<\/p>\n

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Bucky Irving (RB) Foot – Out; Luke Haggard (OT) Shoulder – Questionable; Haason Reddick (LB) Ankle – Out; Chris Godwin (WR) Lower Leg – Out; Markees Watts (LB) Hand – Out<\/p>\n

Betting Odds<\/h3>\n

\t\t• Favorite: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
\n\t\t• Spread: 2.5
\n\t\t• Over\/Under: 48.5<\/p>\n

Betting Trends<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
<\/th>\nNew England Patriots<\/th>\nTampa Bay Buccaneers<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n
Last 5 ATS<\/td>\n4-1-0<\/td>\n3-2-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Last 10 ATS<\/td>\n7-3-0<\/td>\n5-5-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Last 10 ATS at Home<\/td>\n<\/td>\n4-6-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Last 10 ATS on Road<\/td>\n6-3-1<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Last 10 ATS as a Favorite<\/td>\n<\/td>\n5-5-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Last 10 ATS as a Home Favorite<\/td>\n<\/td>\n4-5-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Last 10 ATS as an Underdog<\/td>\n5-5-0<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Last 10 ATS as a Road Underdog<\/td>\n4-5-1<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Last 10 Over-Under<\/td>\n6-4-0<\/td>\n5-5-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n

Latest Super Bowl Odds<\/h3>\n

• New England Patriots: +2500
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers: +2200<\/p>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

Patriots vs. Buccaneers Game Prediction<\/h3>\n

\t\t• Oddsmakers: Tampa Bay Buccaneers d. New England Patriots 27-23
\n\t\t• GFA Model: New England Patriots d. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 26-25<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Two first-place teams collide on Sunday afternoon as the 7–2 New England Patriots head south to face the 6–2 Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium. Kickoff is set for 1:00 p.m. ET on CBS, with mild, cloudy conditions expected in Tampa. This matchup brings together two of the AFC and NFC’s most consistent contenders.… Game Notes: New England Patriots at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Nov 9, 2025)<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"off","neve_meta_content_width":70,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[29,30],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4698","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-game-notes","category-news"],"yoast_head":"\nGame Notes: New England Patriots at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Nov 9, 2025)<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Game Notes: New England Patriots at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Nov 9, 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Notes: New England Patriots at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Nov 9, 2025)","og_url":"https:\/\/www.gofootballanalytics.com\/statsblog\/game-notes-new-england-patriots-at-tampa-bay-buccaneers-nov-9-2025\/","og_site_name":"News | GoFootballAnalytics.com","article_published_time":"2025-11-08T16:00:27+00:00","article_modified_time":"2025-11-08T16:04:41+00:00","author":"Mick Tucker","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Mick Tucker","Est. reading time":"6 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/www.gofootballanalytics.com\/statsblog\/game-notes-new-england-patriots-at-tampa-bay-buccaneers-nov-9-2025\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.gofootballanalytics.com\/statsblog\/game-notes-new-england-patriots-at-tampa-bay-buccaneers-nov-9-2025\/"},"author":{"name":"Mick Tucker","@id":"https:\/\/www.gofootballanalytics.com\/statsblog\/#\/schema\/person\/44eb3a29ed2d183fb0506ed1b5fa68f5"},"headline":"Game Notes: New England Patriots at Tampa Bay 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