{"id":4564,"date":"2025-10-27T14:08:12","date_gmt":"2025-10-27T18:08:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gofootballanalytics.com\/statsblog\/?p=4564"},"modified":"2025-10-27T14:16:18","modified_gmt":"2025-10-27T18:16:18","slug":"game-notes-washington-commanders-at-kansas-city-chiefs-oct-27-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gofootballanalytics.com\/statsblog\/game-notes-washington-commanders-at-kansas-city-chiefs-oct-27-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Game Notes: Washington Commanders at Kansas City Chiefs (Oct 27, 2025)"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Washington Commanders travel to Kansas City on Monday night, October 27, to face the Chiefs at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, with kickoff set for 8:15 PM ET on ABC. It\u2019s a rematch of their 2021 meeting, when Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs rolled to a 31\u201313 victory. Kansas City has dominated the all-time series, winning nine of the last ten matchups between the two franchises.<\/p>\n

Washington enters the game at 3\u20134, losers of two straight and three of their last four on the road. Despite flashes of offensive brilliance from rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels, defensive inconsistency and turnovers have plagued the Commanders. Kansas City, meanwhile, comes in at 4\u20133, having won two straight and three of their last four overall, including a 31\u20130 rout of the Las Vegas Raiders last week.<\/p>\n

Oddsmakers have the Chiefs as 11.5-point favorites, with an over\/under of 47.5. Kansas City\u2019s combination of elite quarterback play and stingy defense has made them one of the most balanced teams in the league. The Chiefs are allowing just 17.7 points per game, nearly a touchdown fewer than Washington, while outscoring opponents by a +62 point differential through seven weeks.<\/p>\n

Daniels has been the Commanders\u2019 engine, accounting for over 5,400 total yards this season \u2014 4,390 through the air with 30 touchdown passes and another 1,026 yards rushing with seven scores. His top target, Terry McLaurin, continues to shine with 96 catches for 1,323 yards and 16 touchdowns, ranking among the league leaders in every major receiving category. But the rookie quarterback will be sidelined Monday with a hamstring injury, a massive blow for Washington\u2019s offense.<\/p>\n

On the other side, Patrick Mahomes remains the gold standard at his position. The two-time MVP has thrown for 4,607 yards and 31 touchdowns this season, extending his streak to 17 straight games with at least one passing score. Tight end Travis Kelce has been his reliable go-to, catching 110 passes for 998 yards and four touchdowns, while Kareem Hunt provides balance on the ground with 845 rushing yards and nine scores.<\/p>\n

Mahomes has been dominant in primetime, boasting a 29\u201312 record as a starter under the lights, while Kansas City has gone 7\u20133 in its last ten night games. The Commanders, by contrast, are 4\u20136 in their last ten under the lights and just 3\u20137 against the spread in their last ten road contests.<\/p>\n

Injuries have hit Washington hard, with Daniels and tight end Colson Yankoff both out, and kicker Matt Gay and defensive tackle Daron Payne questionable. Kansas City will be without tackle Josh Simmons for personal reasons, but otherwise enters relatively healthy.<\/p>\n

The Commanders currently sit second in the NFC East, while the Chiefs are third in the AFC West but remain within striking distance of the division lead. With Daniels sidelined and Kansas City heating up, the matchup looks lopsided on paper. The Chiefs have averaged 26.6 points per game and continue to dominate at Arrowhead, where Mahomes has lost just four times in his career.<\/p>\n

Expect Kansas City to keep rolling behind Mahomes\u2019 precision and a defense that\u2019s quietly become one of the league\u2019s best. The Commanders\u2019 defense has struggled to contain explosive plays, allowing over 364 yards per game, and could be in for a long night against the league\u2019s most creative offense.<\/p>\n

Prediction: Chiefs 34, Commanders 19. Kansas City extends its win streak to three, while Washington\u2019s season slips further into uncertainty before a divisional matchup with the Giants next week.<\/p>\n

\n

Game Details<\/h3>\n

\u2022 Matchup: Washington Commanders (WAS) at Kansas City Chiefs (KC)
\n\u2022 Date: October 27, 2025
\n\u2022 Time: 8:15PM ET
\n\u2022 Stadium: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
\n\u2022 TV: ABC
\n\u2022 GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium Kick-Off Weather Forecast:<\/p>\n

Team Stats Comparison<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
<\/th>\n2025<\/th>\n<\/th>\nLAST 10<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/th>\nWAS<\/th>\nKC<\/th>\n<\/th>\nWAS<\/th>\nKC<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n
Record<\/td>\n3-4<\/td>\n4-3<\/td>\n<\/td>\n6-4<\/td>\n6-4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Home Record<\/td>\n2-1<\/td>\n3-1<\/td>\n<\/td>\n4-1<\/td>\n4-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Away Record<\/td>\n1-3<\/td>\n1-2<\/td>\n<\/td>\n2-3<\/td>\n2-3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Points Scored\/Game<\/td>\n25.7<\/td>\n26.6<\/td>\n<\/td>\n26.9<\/td>\n24.2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Points Allowed\/Game<\/td>\n24.3<\/td>\n17.7<\/td>\n<\/td>\n24.6<\/td>\n19.1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Point Differential<\/td>\n+10<\/td>\n+62<\/td>\n<\/td>\n+23<\/td>\n+51<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Yards\/Game<\/td>\n345.0<\/td>\n370.6<\/td>\n<\/td>\n346.4<\/td>\n345.6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Yards Allowed\/Game<\/td>\n364.3<\/td>\n280.3<\/td>\n<\/td>\n360.3<\/td>\n311.6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Passing Yards\/Game<\/td>\n196.1<\/td>\n247.1<\/td>\n<\/td>\n198.0<\/td>\n237.2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Passing Yards Allowed\/Game<\/td>\n238.3<\/td>\n174.6<\/td>\n<\/td>\n223.4<\/td>\n193.2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Rushing Yards\/Game<\/td>\n148.9<\/td>\n123.4<\/td>\n<\/td>\n148.4<\/td>\n108.4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Rushing Yards Allowed\/Game<\/td>\n126.0<\/td>\n105.7<\/td>\n<\/td>\n136.9<\/td>\n118.4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
First Downs\/Game<\/td>\n19.4<\/td>\n23.3<\/td>\n<\/td>\n20.6<\/td>\n21.3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
First Downs Allowed\/Game<\/td>\n19.7<\/td>\n16.7<\/td>\n<\/td>\n20.4<\/td>\n18.9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
3rd Down Conv %<\/td>\n35.5<\/td>\n44.4<\/td>\n<\/td>\n40.0<\/td>\n41.8<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Opp 3rd Down Conv %<\/td>\n39.1<\/td>\n35.1<\/td>\n<\/td>\n35.6<\/td>\n43.6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Turnover Margin<\/td>\n-5<\/td>\n+5<\/td>\n<\/td>\n-9<\/td>\n+9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Total Games<\/td>\n7<\/td>\n7<\/td>\n<\/td>\n10<\/td>\n10<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

 <\/p>\n

Washington Commanders 2025 Leaders<\/h3>\n
\n\n\n\n\n
PASSING<\/strong><\/td>\nC-A<\/td>\nYDS<\/td>\nTD<\/td>\nINT<\/td>\nSK<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Jayden Daniels<\/td>\n406-594<\/td>\n4,390<\/td>\n30<\/td>\n10<\/td>\n51<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n\n\n\n\n
RUSHING<\/strong><\/td>\nATT<\/td>\nYDS<\/td>\nTD<\/td>\nLNG<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Jayden Daniels<\/td>\n183<\/td>\n1,026<\/td>\n7<\/td>\n46<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n\n\n\n\n
RECEIVING<\/strong><\/td>\nREC<\/td>\nYDS<\/td>\nTD<\/td>\nLNG<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Terry McLaurin<\/td>\n96<\/td>\n1,323<\/td>\n16<\/td>\n86<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

Kansas City Chiefs 2025 Leaders<\/h3>\n
\n\n\n\n\n
PASSING<\/strong><\/td>\nC-A<\/td>\nYDS<\/td>\nTD<\/td>\nINT<\/td>\nSK<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Patrick Mahomes<\/td>\n447-664<\/td>\n4,607<\/td>\n31<\/td>\n13<\/td>\n47<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n\n\n\n\n
RUSHING<\/strong><\/td>\nATT<\/td>\nYDS<\/td>\nTD<\/td>\nLNG<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Kareem Hunt<\/td>\n228<\/td>\n845<\/td>\n9<\/td>\n20<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n\n\n\n\n
RECEIVING<\/strong><\/td>\nREC<\/td>\nYDS<\/td>\nTD<\/td>\nLNG<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Travis Kelce<\/td>\n110<\/td>\n998<\/td>\n4<\/td>\n49<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

Last 10 Meetings<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
DATE<\/th>\nTIME<\/th>\nRESULT<\/th>\n<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n
Sun 17-Oct-21<\/td>\n1:00PM<\/td>\nKansas City Chiefs d. WASHINGTON FOOTBALL TEAM<\/td>\n31-13<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Mon 02-Oct-17<\/td>\n8:30PM<\/td>\nKANSAS CITY CHIEFS d. Washington Redskins<\/td>\n29-20<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Sun 08-Dec-13<\/td>\n1:03PM<\/td>\nKansas City Chiefs d. WASHINGTON REDSKINS<\/td>\n45-10<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Sun 18-Oct-09<\/td>\n1:03PM<\/td>\nKansas City Chiefs d. WASHINGTON REDSKINS<\/td>\n14-6<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Sun 16-Oct-05<\/td>\n1:00PM<\/td>\nKANSAS CITY CHIEFS d. Washington Redskins<\/td>\n28-21<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Sun 30-Sep-01<\/td>\n1:01PM<\/td>\nKansas City Chiefs d. WASHINGTON REDSKINS<\/td>\n45-13<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Sun 05-Nov-95<\/td>\n1:00PM<\/td>\nKANSAS CITY CHIEFS d. Washington Redskins<\/td>\n24-3<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Sun 15-Nov-92<\/td>\n1:00PM<\/td>\nKANSAS CITY CHIEFS d. Washington Redskins<\/td>\n35-16<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Sun 18-Sep-83<\/td>\n1:00PM<\/td>\nWASHINGTON REDSKINS d. Kansas City Chiefs<\/td>\n27-12<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Sun 10-Oct-76<\/td>\n1:00PM<\/td>\nKansas City Chiefs d. WASHINGTON REDSKINS<\/td>\n33-30<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

Head-to-Head Stats (last 10)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
<\/th>\nWAS<\/th>\nKC<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n
Last 10 Record<\/td>\n1-9<\/td>\n9-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Home Record<\/td>\n1-5<\/td>\n4-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Away Record<\/td>\n0-4<\/td>\n5-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

QB Career Comparison<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n
<\/th>\nCMP-ATT<\/th>\nPCT<\/th>\nYDs<\/th>\nTDs<\/th>\nINTs<\/th>\nSKs<\/th>\nPS REC (GMs)<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n
Jayden Daniels<\/td>\n420-626<\/td>\n67.1%<\/td>\n4,599<\/td>\n33<\/td>\n10<\/td>\n60<\/td>\n2-1 (3)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Patrick Mahomes<\/td>\n2942-4419<\/td>\n66.6%<\/td>\n34,153<\/td>\n259<\/td>\n76<\/td>\n195<\/td>\n17-4 (21)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

Starting QB Win-Loss Trends<\/h3>\n

\u2022 Jayden Daniels W-L last 20 games as a starter: 13-7
\n\u2022 Jayden Daniels last 20 games vs. Kansas City Chiefs: 0-0<\/p>\n

\u2022 Patrick Mahomes W-L last 20 games as a starter: 16-4
\n\u2022 Patrick Mahomes last 20 games vs. Washington Commanders: 1-0<\/p>\n

Player Trends<\/h3>\n

\u2022 Jayden Daniels has 5 straight games with at least one passing TD<\/p>\n

\u2022 Patrick Mahomes has 17 straight games with at least one passing TD
\n\u2022 Patrick Mahomes has 5 straight games with 200+ passing yards & at least one passing TD
\n\u2022 Travis Kelce has 3 straight games with at least 50+ receiving yards<\/p>\n

Primetime Night Game Stats and Trends<\/h3>\n

\u2022 In their 10 last night games, the Washington Commanders are 4-6
\n\u2022 Recently, the Washington Commanders are 3-3 on the road at night
\n\u2022 Washington Commanders QB Jayden Daniels is 2-3 as a starter at night<\/p>\n

\u2022 In their 10 last night games, the Kansas City Chiefs are 7-3
\n\u2022 Recently, the Kansas City Chiefs are 1-3 at home at night
\n\u2022 Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes is 29-12 as a starter at night<\/p>\n

Game Injuries<\/h3>\n

Washington Commanders: Jayden Daniels (QB) Hamstring – Out; Matt Gay (K) Back – Questionable; Daron Payne (DT) Toe – Questionable; Colson Yankoff (TE) Hamstring – Out<\/p>\n

Kansas City Chiefs: Josh Simmons (OT) Personal – Out<\/p>\n

Betting Odds<\/h3>\n

\u2022 Favorite: Kansas City Chiefs
\n\u2022 Spread: 11.5
\n\u2022 Over\/Under: 47.5<\/p>\n

Betting Trends<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
<\/th>\nWashington Commanders<\/th>\nKansas City Chiefs<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n
Last 5 ATS<\/td>\n3-2-0<\/td>\n4-1-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Last 10 ATS<\/td>\n6-4-0<\/td>\n5-5-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Last 10 ATS at Home<\/td>\n<\/td>\n5-5-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Last 10 ATS on Road<\/td>\n3-7-0<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Last 10 ATS as a Favorite<\/td>\n<\/td>\n7-3-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Last 10 ATS as a Home Favorite<\/td>\n<\/td>\n5-5-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Last 10 ATS as an Underdog<\/td>\n7-3-0<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Last 10 ATS as a Road Underdog<\/td>\n5-5-0<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Last 10 Over-Under<\/td>\n5-5-0<\/td>\n5-5-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

Latest Super Bowl Odds<\/h3>\n

\u2022 Washington Commanders: +5000
\n\u2022 Kansas City Chiefs: +500<\/p>\n

Commanders vs. Chiefs Game Prediction<\/h3>\n

\u2022 Oddsmakers: Kansas City Chiefs d. Washington Commanders 30-18
\n\u2022 GFA Model: Kansas City Chiefs d. Washington Commanders 34-19<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The Washington Commanders travel to Kansas City on Monday night, October 27, to face the Chiefs at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, with kickoff set for 8:15 PM ET on ABC. It\u2019s a rematch of their 2021 meeting, when Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs rolled to a 31\u201313 victory. Kansas City has dominated the all-time… Game Notes: Washington Commanders at Kansas City Chiefs (Oct 27, 2025)<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"off","neve_meta_content_width":70,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[29,30],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4564","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-game-notes","category-news"],"yoast_head":"\nGame Notes: Washington Commanders at Kansas City Chiefs (Oct 27, 2025)<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Game Notes: Washington Commanders at Kansas City Chiefs (Oct 27, 2025)\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" 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