{"id":2627,"date":"2024-01-07T11:55:58","date_gmt":"2024-01-07T16:55:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gofootballanalytics.com\/statsblog\/?p=2627"},"modified":"2024-01-07T11:55:58","modified_gmt":"2024-01-07T16:55:58","slug":"game-notes-buffalo-bills-at-miami-dolphins-jan-7-2023","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gofootballanalytics.com\/statsblog\/game-notes-buffalo-bills-at-miami-dolphins-jan-7-2023\/","title":{"rendered":"Game Notes: Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins (Jan 7, 2023)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
In closer to the 2023 regular season, the 10-6 Buffalo Bills<\/a> head out to the 11-5 Miami Dolphins<\/a> on Sunday, January 7 with kickoff at 8:20PM ET in Miami Gardens. The winner takes the AFC East title, and for the Bills, a loss knocks them out of the playoffs! These two foes recently met on earlier this year on Sunday, October 1 when the Bills topped the Dolphins 48-20<\/a>. The Bills have the edge 9-1 in their latest meetings.<\/p>\n

The Bills have won their last 4 games, they have also won their last 2 games on the road. <\/p>\n

The Dolphins have won 5 of their last 7 games, and they have also won their last 2 games at home. <\/p>\n

The Bills are 3.0 point favorites according to the latest lines. The over\/under sits at 48.5. <\/p>\n

The Bills are anchored by Josh Allen<\/a> who has thrown for 3,947 yards, 27 td passes with 16 interceptions this year. James Cook<\/a> has run for 1,086 yards with 2 TDs. Stefon Diggs<\/a> has 100 receptions for 1,096 yards and 8 TDs.<\/p>\n

The Dolphins are paced by Tua Tagovailoa<\/a> who has thrown for 4,451 yards, 28 td passes with 12 picks this year. Raheem Mostert<\/a> has barreled for 1,012 yards with 18 TDs. Tyreek Hill<\/a> has 112 catches for 1,717 yards and 12 TDs.<\/p>\n

The Bills are in 2nd in the AFC East while the Dolphins lead the AFC East.<\/p>\n

Josh Allen is 9-2 as a starter against the Dolphins. Tua Tagovailoa is 1-5 against the Bills as a starter. <\/p>\n

These two are listed among the tops in offense currently in the NFL. The Bills are among the best in total team defense in the NFL. <\/p>\n

The Bills enter the game off a win against the New England Patriots 27-21 and the Dolphins come into the game off a defeat at the hands of the Baltimore Ravens 56-19. <\/p>\n

The Bills have a bye next week; the Dolphins have a bye next week. <\/p><\/div>\n

\n

<\/span><\/p>\n

Game Details<\/h3>\n

\u2022 Matchup: Buffalo Bills (BUF) at Miami Dolphins (MIA)
\u2022 Date: January 7, 2024
\u2022 Time: 8:20PM ET
\u2022 Stadium: Hard Rock Stadium
\u2022 TV: NBC
\u2022 Hard Rock Stadium Kick-Off Weather Forecast: Clouds; 70F; 51% humidity; wind: NNE 12 mph<\/p>\n

TEAM STATS COMPARISON<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
<\/th>\n2023<\/th>\n<\/th>\nLAST 10<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/th>\nBUF<\/th>\nMIA<\/th>\n<\/th>\nBUF<\/th>\nMIA<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n
Record<\/td>\n10-6<\/td>\n11-5<\/td>\n<\/td>\n6-4<\/td>\n6-4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Home Record<\/td>\n7-2<\/td>\n7-1<\/td>\n<\/td>\n4-1<\/td>\n4-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Away Record<\/td>\n3-4<\/td>\n4-4<\/td>\n<\/td>\n2-3<\/td>\n2-3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Points Scored\/Game<\/td>\n26.9<\/td>\n30.1<\/td>\n<\/td>\n25.7<\/td>\n25.9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Points Allowed\/Game<\/td>\n18.6<\/td>\n23.1<\/td>\n<\/td>\n20.8<\/td>\n21.4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Point Differential<\/td>\n+133<\/td>\n+112<\/td>\n<\/td>\n+49<\/td>\n+45<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Yards\/Game<\/td>\n368.3<\/td>\n409.2<\/td>\n<\/td>\n364.4<\/td>\n355.5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Yards Allowed\/Game<\/td>\n309.2<\/td>\n308.6<\/td>\n<\/td>\n300.4<\/td>\n287.6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Passing Yards\/Game<\/td>\n218.7<\/td>\n256.0<\/td>\n<\/td>\n226.9<\/td>\n244.6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Passing Yards Allowed\/Game<\/td>\n182.8<\/td>\n194.1<\/td>\n<\/td>\n203.4<\/td>\n204.1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Rushing Yards\/Game<\/td>\n123.8<\/td>\n128.6<\/td>\n<\/td>\n137.5<\/td>\n110.9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Rushing Yards Allowed\/Game<\/td>\n101.9<\/td>\n88.6<\/td>\n<\/td>\n97.0<\/td>\n83.5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
First Downs\/Game<\/td>\n20.7<\/td>\n20.3<\/td>\n<\/td>\n22.3<\/td>\n19.7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
First Downs Allowed\/Game<\/td>\n17.3<\/td>\n16.9<\/td>\n<\/td>\n18.7<\/td>\n16.6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
3rd Down Conv %<\/td>\n49.0<\/td>\n42.9<\/td>\n<\/td>\n48.8<\/td>\n41.4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Opp 3rd Down Conv %<\/td>\n39.0<\/td>\n36.6<\/td>\n<\/td>\n36.4<\/td>\n34.7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Turnover Margin<\/td>\n+3<\/td>\n+1<\/td>\n<\/td>\n-1<\/td>\n+5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Total Games<\/td>\n16<\/td>\n16<\/td>\n<\/td>\n10<\/td>\n10<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n

<\/p>\n

Buffalo Bills 2023 Leaders<\/h3>\n
\n\n\n\n
PASSING<\/strong><\/td>\nC-A<\/td>\nYDS<\/td>\nTD<\/td>\nINT<\/td>\nSK<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Josh Allen<\/td>\n355-541<\/td>\n3,947<\/td>\n27<\/td>\n16<\/td>\n21<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n\n\n
RUSHING<\/strong><\/td>\nATT<\/td>\nYDS<\/td>\nTD<\/td>\nLNG<\/td>\n<\/tr>\nJames Cook<\/td>\n224<\/td>\n1,086<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n42<\/td>\n<\/table>\n\n\n
RECEIVING<\/strong><\/td>\nREC<\/td>\nYDS<\/td>\nTD<\/td>\nLNG<\/td>\n<\/tr>\nStefon Diggs<\/td>\n100<\/td>\n1,096<\/td>\n8<\/td>\n55<\/td>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

Miami Dolphins 2023 Leaders<\/h3>\n
\n\n\n\n
PASSING<\/strong><\/td>\nC-A<\/td>\nYDS<\/td>\nTD<\/td>\nINT<\/td>\nSK<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Tua Tagovailoa<\/td>\n371-533<\/td>\n4,451<\/td>\n28<\/td>\n12<\/td>\n29<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n\n\n
RUSHING<\/strong><\/td>\nATT<\/td>\nYDS<\/td>\nTD<\/td>\nLNG<\/td>\n<\/tr>\nRaheem Mostert<\/td>\n209<\/td>\n1,012<\/td>\n18<\/td>\n49<\/td>\n<\/table>\n\n\n
RECEIVING<\/strong><\/td>\nREC<\/td>\nYDS<\/td>\nTD<\/td>\nLNG<\/td>\n<\/tr>\nTyreek Hill<\/td>\n112<\/td>\n1,717<\/td>\n12<\/td>\n78<\/td>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

Last 10 Meetings<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
DATE<\/th>\nTIME<\/th>\nRESULT<\/th>\n<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n
Sun 01-Oct-23<\/td>\n1:00PM<\/td>\nBUFFALO BILLS d. Miami Dolphins<\/td>\n48-20<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Sat 17-Dec-22<\/td>\n8:15PM<\/td>\nBUFFALO BILLS d. Miami Dolphins<\/td>\n32-29<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Sun 25-Sep-22<\/td>\n1:00PM<\/td>\nMIAMI DOLPHINS d. Buffalo Bills<\/td>\n21-19<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Sun 31-Oct-21<\/td>\n1:00PM<\/td>\nBUFFALO BILLS d. Miami Dolphins<\/td>\n26-11<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Sun 19-Sep-21<\/td>\n1:00PM<\/td>\nBuffalo Bills d. MIAMI DOLPHINS<\/td>\n35-0<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Sun 03-Jan-21<\/td>\n1:00PM<\/td>\nBUFFALO BILLS d. Miami Dolphins<\/td>\n56-26<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Sun 20-Sep-20<\/td>\n1:00PM<\/td>\nBuffalo Bills d. MIAMI DOLPHINS<\/td>\n31-28<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Sun 17-Nov-19<\/td>\n1:00PM<\/td>\nBuffalo Bills d. MIAMI DOLPHINS<\/td>\n37-20<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Sun 20-Oct-19<\/td>\n1:00PM<\/td>\nBUFFALO BILLS d. Miami Dolphins<\/td>\n31-21<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Sun 30-Dec-18<\/td>\n1:00PM<\/td>\nBUFFALO BILLS d. Miami Dolphins<\/td>\n42-17<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

Head-to-Head Stats (last 10)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
<\/th>\nBUF<\/th>\nMIA<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n
Last 10 Record<\/td>\n9-1<\/td>\n1-9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Home Record<\/td>\n6-0<\/td>\n1-3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Away Record<\/td>\n3-1<\/td>\n0-6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n

QB Career Comparison<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n
<\/th>\nCMP-ATT<\/th>\nPCT<\/th>\nYDs<\/th>\nTDs<\/th>\nINTs<\/th>\nSKs<\/th>\nPS REC (GMs)<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n
Josh Allen<\/td>\n1959-3107<\/td>\n63.1%<\/td>\n22,344<\/td>\n165<\/td>\n76<\/td>\n172<\/td>\n4-4 (8)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Tua Tagovailoa<\/td>\n1079-1611<\/td>\n67%<\/td>\n12,466<\/td>\n80<\/td>\n35<\/td>\n90<\/td>\n0-0 (0)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n

Starting QB Win-Loss Trends<\/h3>\n

\u2022 Josh Allen W-L last 20 games as a starter: 14-6
\u2022 Josh Allen last 20 games vs. Miami Dolphins: 9-2<\/p>\n

\u2022 Tua Tagovailoa W-L last 20 games as a starter: 11-9
\u2022 Tua Tagovailoa last 20 games vs. Buffalo Bills: 1-5<\/p>\n

Player Trends<\/h3>\n

\u2022 Tua Tagovailoa has 3 straight games with at least one passing TD
\u2022 Tua Tagovailoa has 3 straight games with 200+ passing yards & at least one passing TD
\u2022 Tyreek Hill has 13 straight games with at least 50+ receiving yards<\/p>\n

Primetime Night Game Stats and Trends<\/h3>\n

\t\t\t\t\u2022 In their 10 last night games, the Buffalo Bills are 6-4
\n\t\t\t\t\u2022 Recently, the Buffalo Bills are 2-2 on the road at night
\n\t\t\t\t\u2022 Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen is 14-7 as a starter at night<\/p>\n

\t\t\t\t\u2022 In their 10 last night games, the Miami Dolphins are 4-6
\n\t\t\t\t\u2022 Recently, the Miami Dolphins are 4-2 at home at night
\n\t\t\t\t\u2022 Miami Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa is 4-7 as a starter at night<\/p>\n

Game Injuries<\/h3>\n

Buffalo Bills: <\/p>\n

Miami Dolphins: Raheem Mostert (RB) Knee – Questionable; Jerome Baker (LB) Knee – Questionable; Xavien Howard (CB) Foot – Out; Jevon Holland (S) Knee – Questionable; Jaylen Waddle (WR) Ankle – Questionable<\/p>\n

Betting Odds<\/h3>\n

\t\t\u2022 Favorite: Buffalo Bills
\n\t\t\u2022 Spread: 3.0
\n\t\t\u2022 Over\/Under: 48.5<\/p>\n

Betting Trends<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
<\/th>\nBuffalo Bills<\/th>\nMiami Dolphins<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n
Last 5 ATS<\/td>\n2-2-1<\/td>\n2-2-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Last 10 ATS<\/td>\n3-6-1<\/td>\n4-5-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Last 10 ATS at Home<\/td>\n<\/td>\n6-3-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Last 10 ATS on Road<\/td>\n4-5-1<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Last 10 ATS as a Favorite<\/td>\n3-7-0<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Last 10 ATS as a Road Favorite<\/td>\n4-5-1<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Last 10 ATS as an Underdog<\/td>\n<\/td>\n4-6-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Last 10 ATS as a Home Underdog<\/td>\n<\/td>\n4-6-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Last 10 Over-Under<\/td>\n4-6-0<\/td>\n5-5-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n

Latest Super Bowl Odds<\/h3>\n

\u2022 Buffalo Bills: +800
\u2022 Miami Dolphins: +1400<\/p>\n

Bills vs. Dolphins Game Prediction<\/h3>\n

\t\t\u2022 Oddsmakers: Buffalo Bills d. Miami Dolphins 27-23
\n\t\t\u2022 GFA Model: Buffalo Bills d. Miami Dolphins 27-26<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

In closer to the 2023 regular season, the 10-6 Buffalo Bills head out to the 11-5 Miami Dolphins on Sunday, January 7 with kickoff at 8:20PM ET in Miami Gardens. The winner takes the AFC East title, and for the Bills, a loss knocks them out of the playoffs! These two foes recently met on… Game Notes: Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins (Jan 7, 2023)<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[29],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2627","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-game-notes"],"yoast_head":"\nGame Notes: Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins (Jan 7, 2023)<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Game Notes: Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins (Jan 7, 2023)\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, 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