{"id":2495,"date":"2023-12-31T11:19:07","date_gmt":"2023-12-31T16:19:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gofootballanalytics.com\/statsblog\/?p=2495"},"modified":"2023-12-31T11:19:07","modified_gmt":"2023-12-31T16:19:07","slug":"game-notes-new-england-patriots-at-buffalo-bills-dec-31-2023","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gofootballanalytics.com\/statsblog\/game-notes-new-england-patriots-at-buffalo-bills-dec-31-2023\/","title":{"rendered":"Game Notes: New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills (Dec 31, 2023)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
Week 17 of the NFL season features the 4-11 New England Patriots<\/a> making the trip to the 9-6 Buffalo Bills<\/a> on Sunday, December 31 with kickoff at 1:00PM ET at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park. The two foes last played on earlier this year on Sunday, October 22 as the Patriots defeated the Bills 29-25<\/a>. <\/p>\n

The Patriots are 3-7 over their last 10 games. <\/p>\n

The Patriots have lost 12 of their last 16 games, they have also won their last 2 games on the road. <\/p>\n

The Bills have won their last 3 games, and they have also won their last 2 games at home. <\/p>\n

The Bills are 14.0 point favorites in the most recent odds. The over\/under currently sits at 40.5. The Patriots are 3-7-0 against the spread. <\/p>\n

The Patriots are anchored by Bailey Zappe<\/a> who has thrown for 975 yards, 6 td passes with 4 interceptions this year.<\/p>\n

The Bills are guided by Josh Allen<\/a> who has thrown for 3,778 yards, 27 td passes with 15 interceptions this year. James Cook<\/a> has rushed for 1,038 yards with 2 TDs. Stefon Diggs<\/a> has 96 receptions for 1,070 yards and 8 TDs.<\/p>\n

The Patriots sit in last place in the AFC East while the Bills are in 2nd in the AFC East.<\/p>\n

The Bills are listed among the best offensively at present in the league. The Patriots are ranked among the the bottom on the offensive side of the ball. The Bills are among the best defensively currently in the NFL. <\/p>\n

The Patriots come in off a win over the Denver Broncos 26-23 while the Bills come into the game off a good performance in a win over the Los Angeles Chargers 24-22. <\/p>\n

Next week the Patriots host the the New York Jets. The Bills visit the Miami Dolphins. <\/p><\/div>\n

\n

<\/span><\/p>\n

Game Details<\/h3>\n

\u2022 Matchup: New England Patriots (NE) at Buffalo Bills (BUF)
\u2022 Date: December 31, 2023
\u2022 Time: 1:00PM ET
\u2022 Stadium: Highmark Stadium
\u2022 TV: CBS
\u2022 Highmark Stadium Kick-Off Weather Forecast: Snow; 35F; 90% humidity; wind: WSW 2 mph<\/p>\n

TEAM STATS COMPARISON<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
<\/th>\n2023<\/th>\n<\/th>\nLAST 10<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/th>\nNE<\/th>\nBUF<\/th>\n<\/th>\nNE<\/th>\nBUF<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n
Record<\/td>\n4-11<\/td>\n9-6<\/td>\n<\/td>\n3-7<\/td>\n6-4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Home Record<\/td>\n1-7<\/td>\n6-2<\/td>\n<\/td>\n1-4<\/td>\n4-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Away Record<\/td>\n3-4<\/td>\n3-4<\/td>\n<\/td>\n2-3<\/td>\n2-3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Points Scored\/Game<\/td>\n14.1<\/td>\n26.9<\/td>\n<\/td>\n15.7<\/td>\n24.4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Points Allowed\/Game<\/td>\n21.5<\/td>\n18.4<\/td>\n<\/td>\n19.1<\/td>\n19.6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Point Differential<\/td>\n-110<\/td>\n+127<\/td>\n<\/td>\n-34<\/td>\n+48<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Yards\/Game<\/td>\n285.5<\/td>\n374.1<\/td>\n<\/td>\n284.6<\/td>\n366.0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Yards Allowed\/Game<\/td>\n306.1<\/td>\n310.2<\/td>\n<\/td>\n310.0<\/td>\n302.7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Passing Yards\/Game<\/td>\n176.5<\/td>\n223.0<\/td>\n<\/td>\n182.9<\/td>\n228.4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Passing Yards Allowed\/Game<\/td>\n204.5<\/td>\n182.2<\/td>\n<\/td>\n236.8<\/td>\n202.8<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Rushing Yards\/Game<\/td>\n92.2<\/td>\n123.5<\/td>\n<\/td>\n101.7<\/td>\n137.6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Rushing Yards Allowed\/Game<\/td>\n76.5<\/td>\n101.8<\/td>\n<\/td>\n73.2<\/td>\n99.9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
First Downs\/Game<\/td>\n15.3<\/td>\n20.8<\/td>\n<\/td>\n15.7<\/td>\n22.6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
First Downs Allowed\/Game<\/td>\n16.7<\/td>\n17.4<\/td>\n<\/td>\n18.3<\/td>\n19.1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
3rd Down Conv %<\/td>\n31.4<\/td>\n49.2<\/td>\n<\/td>\n30.3<\/td>\n49.2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Opp 3rd Down Conv %<\/td>\n35.4<\/td>\n38.9<\/td>\n<\/td>\n37.9<\/td>\n38.4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Turnover Margin<\/td>\n-7<\/td>\n+0<\/td>\n<\/td>\n+1<\/td>\n-6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Total Games<\/td>\n15<\/td>\n15<\/td>\n<\/td>\n10<\/td>\n10<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n

<\/p>\n

New England Patriots 2023 Leaders<\/h3>\n
\n\n\n\n
PASSING<\/strong><\/td>\nC-A<\/td>\nYDS<\/td>\nTD<\/td>\nINT<\/td>\nSK<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Bailey Zappe<\/td>\n99-156<\/td>\n975<\/td>\n6<\/td>\n4<\/td>\n15<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n\n\n
RUSHING<\/strong><\/td>\nATT<\/td>\nYDS<\/td>\nTD<\/td>\nLNG<\/td>\n<\/tr>\nRhamondre Stevenson<\/td>\n156<\/td>\n619<\/td>\n4<\/td>\n64<\/td>\n<\/table>\n\n\n
RECEIVING<\/strong><\/td>\nREC<\/td>\nYDS<\/td>\nTD<\/td>\nLNG<\/td>\n<\/tr>\nDemario Douglas<\/td>\n44<\/td>\n517<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n42<\/td>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

Buffalo Bills 2023 Leaders<\/h3>\n
\n\n\n\n
PASSING<\/strong><\/td>\nC-A<\/td>\nYDS<\/td>\nTD<\/td>\nINT<\/td>\nSK<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Josh Allen<\/td>\n340-511<\/td>\n3,778<\/td>\n27<\/td>\n15<\/td>\n20<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n\n\n
RUSHING<\/strong><\/td>\nATT<\/td>\nYDS<\/td>\nTD<\/td>\nLNG<\/td>\n<\/tr>\nJames Cook<\/td>\n208<\/td>\n1,038<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n42<\/td>\n<\/table>\n\n\n
RECEIVING<\/strong><\/td>\nREC<\/td>\nYDS<\/td>\nTD<\/td>\nLNG<\/td>\n<\/tr>\nStefon Diggs<\/td>\n96<\/td>\n1,070<\/td>\n8<\/td>\n55<\/td>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

Last 10 Meetings<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
DATE<\/th>\nTIME<\/th>\nRESULT<\/th>\n<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n
Sun 22-Oct-23<\/td>\n1:00PM<\/td>\nNEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS d. Buffalo Bills<\/td>\n29-25<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Sun 08-Jan-23<\/td>\n1:00PM<\/td>\nBUFFALO BILLS d. New England Patriots<\/td>\n35-23<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Thu 01-Dec-22<\/td>\n8:15PM<\/td>\nBuffalo Bills d. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS<\/td>\n24-10<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Sun 26-Dec-21<\/td>\n1:00PM<\/td>\nBuffalo Bills d. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS<\/td>\n33-21<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Mon 06-Dec-21<\/td>\n8:15PM<\/td>\nNew England Patriots d. BUFFALO BILLS<\/td>\n14-10<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Mon 28-Dec-20<\/td>\n8:15PM<\/td>\nBuffalo Bills d. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS<\/td>\n38-9<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Sun 01-Nov-20<\/td>\n1:00PM<\/td>\nBUFFALO BILLS d. New England Patriots<\/td>\n24-21<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Sat 21-Dec-19<\/td>\n4:30PM<\/td>\nNEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS d. Buffalo Bills<\/td>\n24-17<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Sun 29-Sep-19<\/td>\n1:00PM<\/td>\nNew England Patriots d. BUFFALO BILLS<\/td>\n16-10<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Sun 23-Dec-18<\/td>\n1:00PM<\/td>\nNEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS d. Buffalo Bills<\/td>\n24-12<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

Head-to-Head Stats (last 10)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
<\/th>\nNE<\/th>\nBUF<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n
Last 10 Record<\/td>\n5-5<\/td>\n5-5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Home Record<\/td>\n3-3<\/td>\n2-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Away Record<\/td>\n2-2<\/td>\n3-3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n

QB Career Comparison<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n
<\/th>\nCMP-ATT<\/th>\nPCT<\/th>\nYDs<\/th>\nTDs<\/th>\nINTs<\/th>\nSKs<\/th>\nPS REC (GMs)<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n
Bailey Zappe<\/td>\n164-248<\/td>\n66.1%<\/td>\n1,756<\/td>\n11<\/td>\n7<\/td>\n21<\/td>\n0-0 (0)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Josh Allen<\/td>\n1944-3077<\/td>\n63.2%<\/td>\n22,175<\/td>\n165<\/td>\n75<\/td>\n171<\/td>\n4-4 (8)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n

Starting QB Win-Loss Trends<\/h3>\n

\u2022 Bailey Zappe W-L last 20 games as a starter: 4-2
\u2022 Bailey Zappe last 20 games vs. Buffalo Bills: 0-0<\/p>\n

\u2022 Josh Allen W-L last 20 games as a starter: 14-6
\u2022 Josh Allen last 20 games vs. New England Patriots: 5-5<\/p>\n

Player Trends<\/h3>\n

\u2022 Bailey Zappe has 3 straight games with at least one passing TD
\u2022 Bailey Zappe has 3 straight games with a turnover<\/p>\n

\u2022 Josh Allen has 23 straight games with at least one passing TD
\u2022 Josh Allen has 4 straight games with at least one passing TD and a rushing TD<\/p>\n

Game Injuries<\/h3>\n

New England Patriots: Hunter Henry (TE) Knee – Questionable; Anfernee Jennings (LB) Knee – Questionable; Myles Bryant (CB) Chest – Questionable; Shaun Wade (CB) Hip – Questionable; Kyle Dugger (S) Illness – Questionable; Jabrill Peppers (S) Hamstring – Out; Christian Barmore (DT) Knee – Questionable; Jonathan Jones (CB) Knee – Questionable; Kayshon Boutte (WR) Illness – Out; Matthew Slater (WR) Hamstring – Questionable<\/p>\n

Buffalo Bills: DaQuan Jones (DT) Pectoral – Questionable; A.J. Epenesa (DE) Ribs – Questionable; Damar Hamlin (S) Shoulder – Questionable<\/p>\n

Betting Odds<\/h3>\n

\t\t\u2022 Favorite: Buffalo Bills
\n\t\t\u2022 Spread: 14.0
\n\t\t\u2022 Over\/Under: 40.5<\/p>\n

Betting Trends<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
<\/th>\nNew England Patriots<\/th>\nBuffalo Bills<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n
Last 5 ATS<\/td>\n2-3-0<\/td>\n3-1-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Last 10 ATS<\/td>\n3-7-0<\/td>\n3-6-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Last 10 ATS at Home<\/td>\n<\/td>\n4-6-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Last 10 ATS on Road<\/td>\n4-6-0<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Last 10 ATS as a Favorite<\/td>\n<\/td>\n4-6-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Last 10 ATS as a Home Favorite<\/td>\n<\/td>\n4-6-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Last 10 ATS as an Underdog<\/td>\n3-7-0<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Last 10 ATS as a Road Underdog<\/td>\n5-5-0<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Last 10 Over-Under<\/td>\n5-5-0<\/td>\n3-7-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n

Latest Super Bowl Odds<\/h3>\n

\u2022 New England Patriots:
\u2022 Buffalo Bills: +1000<\/p>\n

Patriots vs. Bills Game Prediction<\/h3>\n

\t\t\u2022 Oddsmakers: Buffalo Bills d. New England Patriots 28-14
\n\t\t\u2022 GFA Model: Buffalo Bills d. New England Patriots 33-17<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Week 17 of the NFL season features the 4-11 New England Patriots making the trip to the 9-6 Buffalo Bills on Sunday, December 31 with kickoff at 1:00PM ET at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park. The two foes last played on earlier this year on Sunday, October 22 as the Patriots defeated the Bills 29-25.… Game Notes: New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills (Dec 31, 2023)<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[29],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2495","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-game-notes"],"yoast_head":"\nGame Notes: New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills (Dec 31, 2023)<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Game Notes: New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills (Dec 31, 2023)\" 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